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We study the symmetry of large deviation functions associated with time-integrated currents in Markov pure jump processes. One current known to have this symmetry is the fluctuating entropy production and this is the content of the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-12-03 A. C. Barato , R. Chetrite

Due to their heterogeneity, insurance risks can be properly described as a mixture of different fixed models, where the weights assigned to each model may be estimated empirically from a sample of available data. If a risk measure is…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-02-12 Valeria Bignozzi , Claudio Macci , Lea Petrella

High-performance graphical processing units (GPU) are used for the repeated parallelised propagation of non-linear partial differential equations on large spatio-temporal grids. The main challenge results as a combination of the requirement…

The inverse temperature parameter of the Potts model governs the strength of spatial cohesion and therefore has a major influence over the resulting model fit. A difficulty arises from the dependence of an intractable normalising constant…

Computation · Statistics 2018-08-20 Matthew T. Moores , Geoff K. Nicholls , Anthony N. Pettitt , Kerrie Mengersen

The thermal sensitive electrical parameter (TSEP) method is crucial for enhancing the reliability of power devices through junction temperature monitoring. The TSEP method comprises three key processes: calibration, regression, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-10 Qinghao Zhang , Wenrui Li , Pinjia Zhang

We have developed a technique to accelerate the acquisition of effectively uncorrelated configurations for off-lattice models of dense polymer melts which makes use of both parallel tempering and large scale Monte Carlo moves. The method is…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-31 Alex Bunker , Burkhard Duenweg

Stochastic processes with random reinforced relocations have been introduced in the physics literature to model animal foraging behaviour. Such a process evolves as a Markov process, except at random relocation times, when it chooses a time…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-07-12 Erion-Stelios Boci , Cécile Mailler

All-atom molecular dynamics (MD) computer simulations are a valuable tool for characterizing the conformational ensembles of intrinsically disordered proteins (IDPs). IDP conformational ensembles are highly heterogeneous and contain…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2025-05-06 Jaya Krishna Koneru , Korey M. Reid , Paul Robustelli

We establish an abstract, effective, exponential large deviations type estimate for Markov systems satisfying a weaker form of mixing. We employ this result to derive such estimates, as well as a central limit theorem, for the skew product…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-07-17 Ao Cai , Pedro Duarte , Silvius Klein

An extended ensemble Monte Carlo algorithm is proposed by introducing a violation of the detailed balance condition to the update scheme of the inverse temperature in simulated tempering. Our method, irreversible simulated tempering, is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-09-13 Yuji Sakai , Koji Hukushima

This paper deals with rare events in a general {interacting gas} at high temperature, by means of Large Deviations Principles. The main result is an LDP for the tagged empirical field, which features the competition of an energy term and an…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-17 David Padilla-Garza

We prove the large deviation principle for the trajectory of a broad class of mean field interacting Markov jump processes via a general analytic approach based on viscosity solutions. Examples include generalized Ehrenfest models as well…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-24 Richard Kraaij

A combination of reaction-diffusion models with moving-boundary problems yields a system in which the diffusion (spreading and penetration) and reaction (transformation) evolve the system's state and geometry over time. These systems can be…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2020-08-26 Mojtaba Barzegari , Liesbet Geris

Diversity is an essential metric for evaluating the creativity of outputs generated by language models. Temperature-based sampling is a common strategy to increase diversity. However, for tasks that require high precision, e.g.,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-03 Sergey Troshin , Wafaa Mohammed , Yan Meng , Christof Monz , Antske Fokkens , Vlad Niculae

Variational inference (VI) combined with data subsampling enables approximate posterior inference over large data sets, but suffers from poor local optima. We first formulate a deterministic annealing approach for the generic class of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-05-31 Stephan Mandt , James McInerney , Farhan Abrol , Rajesh Ranganath , David Blei

The large-deviation method allows to characterize an ergodic counting process in terms of a thermodynamic frame where a free energy function determines the asymptotic non-stationary statistical properties of its fluctuations. Here, we study…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-12-13 Adrian A. Budini

Data assimilation algorithms integrate prior information from numerical model simulations with observed data. Ensemble-based filters, regarded as state-of-the-art, are widely employed for large-scale estimation tasks in disciplines such as…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-05-24 Iris Rammelmüller , Gottfried Hastermann , Jana de Wiljes

Semi-Markov processes play an important role in the effective description of partially accessible systems in stochastic thermodynamics. They occur, for instance, in coarse-graining procedures such as state lumping and when analyzing waiting…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-01-19 Alexander M. Maier , Jonas H. Fritz , Udo Seifert

Bayesian inference is useful to obtain a predictive distribution with a small generalization error. However, since posterior distributions are rarely evaluated analytically, we employ the variational Bayesian inference or sampling method to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-03 Yohei Saito , Shun Kimura , Koujin Takeda

This paper investigates the optimization problem of an infinite stage discrete time Markov decision process (MDP) with a long-run average metric considering both mean and variance of rewards together. Such performance metric is important…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-08-11 Li Xia