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Varying coefficient models are popular for estimating nonlinear regression functions in functional data models. Their Bayesian variants have received limited attention in large data applications, primarily due to prohibitively slow…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-03 Rajarshi Guhaniyogi , Laura Baracaldo , Sudipto Banerjee

We propose VarFA, a variational inference factor analysis framework that extends existing factor analysis models for educational data mining to efficiently output uncertainty estimation in the model's estimated factors. Such uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-08-18 Zichao Wang , Yi Gu , Andrew Lan , Richard Baraniuk

Kernel smooth is the most fundamental technique for data density and regression estimation. However, time-consuming is the biggest obstacle for the application that the direct evaluation of kernel smooth for $N$ samples needs ${O}\left(…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-19 Ying Wang , Min Li , Deirel Paz-Linares , Maria L. Bringas Vega , Pedro A. Valdés-Sosa

Gaussian process regression is a frequently used statistical method for flexible yet fully probabilistic non-linear regression modeling. A common obstacle is its computational complexity which scales poorly with the number of observations.…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-10 Adam Gorm Hoffmann , Claus Thorn Ekstrøm , Andreas Kryger Jensen

The INLA package provides a tool for computationally efficient Bayesian modeling and inference for various widely used models, more formally the class of latent Gaussian models. It is a non-sampling based framework which provides…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-26 Janet van Niekerk , Haakon Bakka , Haavard Rue , Olaf Schenk

This paper proposes and analyzes fully data driven methods for inference about the mean function of a stochastic process from a sample of independent trajectories of the process, observed at discrete time points and corrupted by additive…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-05-20 F. Bunea , M. H. Wegkamp , A. E. Ivanescu

Conformal prediction has emerged as a popular technique for facilitating valid predictive inference across a spectrum of machine learning models, under minimal assumption of exchangeability. Recently, Hoff (2023) showed that full conformal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-24 Pankaj Bhagwat , Linglong Kong , Bei Jiang

We propose a new framework for 2-D interpreting (features and samples) black-box machine learning models via a metamodeling technique, by which we study the output and input relationships of the underlying machine learning model. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-05 Mohammadhossein Toutiaee , John Miller

Weighting methods are essential tools for estimating causal effects in observational studies, with the goal of balancing pre-treatment covariates across treatment groups. Traditional approaches pursue this objective indirectly, for example,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-09 Diptanil Santra , Guanhua Chen , Chan Park

Clinical outcome prediction from high-dimensional data is problematic in the common setting where there is only a relatively small number of samples. The imbalance causes data overfitting, and outcome prediction becomes computationally…

Computation · Statistics 2014-06-20 A Shalabi , A C C Coolen , E de Rinaldis

We investigate joint modeling of longevity trends using the spatial statistical framework of Gaussian Process regression. Our analysis is motivated by the Human Mortality Database (HMD) that provides unified raw mortality tables for nearly…

Applications · Statistics 2020-03-06 Nhan Huynh , Mike Ludkovski

We develop a robust Bayesian functional principal component analysis (RB-FPCA) method that utilizes the skew elliptical class of distributions to model functional data, which are observed over a continuous domain. This approach effectively…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-15 Jiarui Zhang , Jiguo Cao , Liangliang Wang

Bayesian optimization (BO) is a widely-used method for optimizing expensive (to evaluate) problems. At the core of most BO methods is the modeling of the objective function using a Gaussian Process (GP) whose covariance is selected from a…

In many real-world applications, functional data exhibit considerable variability in both amplitude and phase. This is especially true in biomechanical data such as the knee flexion angle dataset motivating our work, where timing…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-18 Jacopo Gardella , Raffaele Argiento , Alessandro Casa , Alessia Pini

We study Bayesian inference methods for solving linear inverse problems, focusing on hierarchical formulations where the prior or the likelihood function depend on unspecified hyperparameters. In practice, these hyperparameters are often…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-08-01 Qingping Zhou , Wenqing Liu , Jinglai Li , Youssef M. Marzouk

We propose a model for functional data registration that compares favorably to the best methods of functional data registration currently available. It also extends current inferential capabilities for unregistered data by providing a…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-06-06 Cecilia Earls , Giles Hooker

Functional data are typically modeled as sample paths of smooth stochastic processes in order to mitigate the fact that they are often observed discretely and noisily, occasionally irregularly and sparsely. The smoothness assumption is…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-23 Neda Mohammadi , Victor M. Panaretos

We consider a Bayesian functional data analysis for observations measured as extremely long sequences. Splitting the sequence into a number of small windows with manageable length, the windows may not be independent especially when they are…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-10 Suvo Chatterjee , Shrabanti Chowdhury , Duchwan Ryu , Sanjib Basu

Instrumental variables are a popular tool to infer causal effects under unobserved confounding, but choosing suitable instruments is challenging in practice. We propose gIVBMA, a Bayesian model averaging procedure that addresses this…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-02 Gregor Steiner , Mark Steel

The `equation-free toolbox' empowers the computer-assisted analysis of complex, multiscale systems. Its aim is to enable you to immediately use microscopic simulators to perform macro-scale system level tasks and analysis, because…

Mathematical Software · Computer Science 2020-04-08 John Maclean , J. E. Bunder , A. J. Roberts