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Stochastic forecasting is critical for efficient decision-making in uncertain systems, such as energy markets and finance, where estimating the full distribution of future scenarios is essential. We propose Diffusion Scenario Tree (DST), a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-16 Stelios Zarifis , Ioannis Kordonis , Petros Maragos

Dispatching mobile resources such as repair crews and mobile emergency generators is essential for the rapid restoration of distribution systems after extreme events. However, the restoration process is affected by various uncertain factors…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-12-23 Mingxuan Li , Wei Wei , Yin Xu , Ying Wang , Shanshan Shi

Road user trajectory prediction in dynamic environments is a challenging but crucial task for various applications, such as autonomous driving. One of the main challenges in this domain is the multimodal nature of future trajectories…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-10-24 Younwoo Choi , Ray Coden Mercurius , Soheil Mohamad Alizadeh Shabestary , Amir Rasouli

There exist excellent codes for an efficient numerical treatment of stiff and differential-algebraic problems. Let us mention {\sc Radau5} which is based on the $3$-stage Radau IIA collocation method, and its extension to problems with…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-01-23 Nicola Guglielmi , Ernst Hairer

Organizations that develop software have recognized that software process models are particularly useful for maintaining a high standard of quality. In the last decade, simulations of software processes were used in several settings and…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2014-02-24 Holger Neu , Thomas Hanne , Jürgen Münch , Stefan Nickel , Andreas Wirsen

This paper is a survey of recent contributions on estimation in stochastic differential equations with mixed-effects. These models involve N stochastic differential equations with common drift and diffusion functions but random parameters…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-17 Maud Delattre

Opportunistic scheduling and routing can in principle greatly increase the throughput of decentralized wireless networks, but to be practical they must do so with small amounts of timely side information. In this paper, we propose three…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2011-07-21 Chun-Hung Liu , Jeffrey G. Andrews

Distributed state estimation is examined for a sensor network tasked with reconstructing a system's state through the use of a distributed and event-triggered observer. Each agent in the sensor network employs a deep neural network (DNN) to…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-02-07 Federico M. Zegers , Runhan Sun , Girish Chowdhary , Warren E. Dixon

Procedures in assessing the impact of serial dependency on performance analysis are usually built on parametrically specified models. In this paper, we propose a robust, nonparametric approach to carry out this assessment, by computing the…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-06-22 Henry Lam

Explicit finite-sample statistical guarantees on model performance are an important ingredient in responsible machine learning. Previous work has focused mainly on bounding either the expected loss of a predictor or the probability that an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-07 Zhun Deng , Thomas P. Zollo , Jake C. Snell , Toniann Pitassi , Richard Zemel

Distributed Complex Event Processing (DCEP) is a commonly used paradigm to detect and act on situational changes of many applications, including the Internet of Things (IoT). DCEP achieves this using a simple specification of analytical…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2021-07-09 Manisha Luthra , Boris Koldehofe , Niels Danger , Pascal Weisenburger , Guido Salvaneschi , Ioannis Stavrakakis

The notion of complex systems is common to many domains, from Biology to Economy, Computer Science, Physics, etc. Often, these systems are made of sets of entities moving in an evolving environment. One of their major characteristics is the…

Mathematical Software · Computer Science 2008-12-18 Yoann Pigné , Antoine Dutot , Frédéric Guinand , Damien Olivier

Assessing the technical efficiency of a set of observations requires that the associated data composed of inputs and outputs are perfectly known. If this is not the case, then biased estimates will likely be obtained. Data Envelopment…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-21 Diogo Cunha Ferreira , Josè RUi Figueira , Salvatore Greco , Rui Marques

This paper considers a problem where multiple users make repeated decisions based on their own observed events. The events and decisions at each time step determine the values of a utility function and a collection of penalty functions. The…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-05-13 Michael J. Neely

We analyze a power distribution line with high penetration of distributed generation and strong variations of power consumption and generation levels. In the presence of uncertainty the statistical description of the system is required to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2010-06-02 Konstantin S. Turitsyn

Code annotations is a widely used feature in Java systems to configure custom metadata on programming elements. Their increasing presence creates the need for approaches to assess and comprehend their usage and distribution. In this…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2022-10-14 Phyllipe Lima , Jorge Melegati , Everaldo Gomes , Nathalya Stefhany Pereira , Eduardo Guerra , Paulo Meirelles

The complex dynamics of physical systems can often be modeled with stochastic differential equations. However, computational constraints inhibit the estimation of dynamics from large time-series datasets. I present a method for estimating…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2023-11-02 William Davis

This paper presents the design of a novel distributed algorithm d-IRA for the reachability analysis of linear hybrid automata. Recent work on iterative relaxation abstraction (IRA) is leveraged to distribute the computational problem among…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2007-10-22 Sumit Kumar Jha

This paper proposes a novel dynamic forecasting method using a new supervised Principal Component Analysis (PCA) when a large number of predictors are available. The new supervised PCA provides an effective way to bridge the gap between…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-06-14 Zhaoxing Gao , Ruey S. Tsay

This paper studies an optimization-based state estimation approach for discrete-time nonlinear systems under bounded process and measurement disturbances. We first introduce a full information estimator (FIE), which is given as a solution…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-03-18 Wuhua Hu , Lihua Xie , Keyou You