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In quantitative finance, we often model asset prices as a noisy Ito semimartingale. As this model is not identifiable, approximating by a time-changed Levy process can be useful for generative modelling. We give a new estimate of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-11-17 Adam D. Bull

In this paper, we present the asymptotic properties of the moment estimator for autoregressive (AR for short) models subject to Markovian changes in regime under the assumption that the errors are uncorrelated but not necessarily…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-06 Yacouba Boubacar Mainassara , Landy Rabehasaina , Armel Bra

We present for the first time an asymptotic convergence analysis of two time-scale stochastic approximation driven by "controlled" Markov noise. In particular, the faster and slower recursions have non-additive controlled Markov noise…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-03 Prasenjit Karmakar

A general many quantiles + noise model is studied in the robust formulation (allowing non-normal, non-independent observations), where the identifiability requirement for the noise is formulated in terms of quantiles rather than the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-21 Eduard Belitser , Paulo Serra , Alexandra Vegelien

This paper considers the problem of remote state estimation for Markov jump linear systems in the presence of uncertainty in the posterior mode probabilities. Such uncertainty may arise when the estimator receives noisy or incomplete…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-05 Ioannis Tzortzis , Themistoklis Charalambous , Charalambos D. Charalambous

We address the problem of adaptive minimax estimation in white gaussian noise model under $L_p$--loss, $1\leq p\leq\infty,$ on the anisotropic Nikolskii classes. We present the estimation procedure based on a new data-driven selection…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-05-20 Oleg Lepski

Consider semiparametric estimation where a doubly robust estimating function for a low-dimensional parameter is available, depending on two working models. With high-dimensional data, we develop regularized calibrated estimation as a…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-28 Satyajit Ghosh , Zhiqiang Tan

In this paper, we propose a new way to obtain optimal convergence rates for smooth stochastic (strong) convex optimization tasks. Our approach is based on results for optimization tasks where gradients have nonrandom noise. In contrast to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-04-16 Darina Dvinskikh , Alexander Tyurin , Alexander Gasnikov , Sergey Omelchenko

We investigate robust nonparametric regression in the presence of heavy-tailed noise, where the hypothesis class may contain unbounded functions and robustness is ensured via a robust loss function $\ell_\sigma$. Using Huber regression as a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-14 Yunlong Feng , Qiang Wu

Despite decades of research and recent progress in adaptive control and reinforcement learning, there remains a fundamental lack of understanding in designing controllers that provide robustness to inherent non-asymptotic uncertainties…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-13 Benjamin Gravell , Tyler Summers

There exist several methods developed for the canonical change point problem of detecting multiple mean shifts, which search for changes over sections of the data at multiple scales. In such methods, estimation of the noise level is often…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-07 Euan T. McGonigle , Haeran Cho

We consider the non-parametric regression problem under Huber's $\epsilon$-contamination model, in which an $\epsilon$ fraction of observations are subject to arbitrary adversarial noise. We first show that a simple local binning median…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-05-29 Simon S. Du , Yining Wang , Sivaraman Balakrishnan , Pradeep Ravikumar , Aarti Singh

This work proposes an accelerated first-order algorithm we call the Robust Momentum Method for optimizing smooth strongly convex functions. The algorithm has a single scalar parameter that can be tuned to trade off robustness to gradient…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-02-27 Saman Cyrus , Bin Hu , Bryan Van Scoy , Laurent Lessard

In this paper, we take a first step towards answering the question of how to design fair machine learning algorithms that are robust to adversarial attacks. Using a minimax framework, we aim to design an adversarially robust fair regression…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2022-11-09 Yulu Jin , Lifeng Lai

While model selection is a well-studied topic in parametric and nonparametric regression or density estimation, selection of possibly high-dimensional nuisance parameters in semiparametric problems is far less developed. In this paper, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-06 Yifan Cui , Eric Tchetgen Tchetgen

This paper addresses the problem of semiparametric efficiency bounds for conditional moment restriction models with different conditioning variables. We characterize such an efficiency bound, that in general is not explicit, as a limit of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-11-29 Marian Hristache , Valentin Patilea

We propose a learning-based robust predictive control algorithm that compensates for significant uncertainty in the dynamics for a class of discrete-time systems that are nominally linear with an additive nonlinear component. Such systems…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-10-15 Rohan Sinha , James Harrison , Spencer M. Richards , Marco Pavone

We study the problem of learning robust acoustic models in adverse environments, characterized by a significant mismatch between training and test conditions. This problem is of paramount importance for the deployment of speech recognition…

Sound · Computer Science 2022-06-30 Dino Oglic , Zoran Cvetkovic , Peter Sollich , Steve Renals , Bin Yu

This paper investigates tradeoffs among optimization errors, statistical rates of convergence and the effect of heavy-tailed errors for high-dimensional robust regression with nonconvex regularization. When the additive errors in linear…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-01 Xiaoou Pan , Qiang Sun , Wen-Xin Zhou

In real-world scenarios, the observation data for reinforcement learning with continuous control is commonly noisy and part of it may be dynamically missing over time, which violates the assumption of many current methods developed for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-18 Yuhui Wang , Hao He , Xiaoyang Tan
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