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The interpretation of sampling data plays a crucial role in policy response to the spread of a disease during an epidemic, such as the COVID-19 epidemic of 2020. However, this is a non-trivial endeavor due to the complexity of real world…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-30 James D. Brunner , Nicholas Chia

In this paper, we consider the problem of social learning, where a group of agents embedded in a social network are interested in learning an underlying state of the world. Agents have incomplete, noisy, and heterogeneous sources of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-27 Mahyar JafariNodeh , Amir Ajorlou , Ali Jadbabaie

The primary tool for predicting infectious disease spread and intervention effectiveness is the mass action Susceptible-Infected-Recovered model of Kermack and McKendrick. Its usefulness derives largely from its conceptual and mathematical…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-09-03 Joel C. Miller , Anja C. Slim , Erik M. Volz

The outcome of an epidemic is closely related to the network of interactions between the individuals. Likewise, protein functions depend on the 3D arrangement of their residues and on the underlying energetic interaction network. Borrowing…

Biomolecules · Quantitative Biology 2021-07-19 Mattia Miotto , Lorenzo Di Rienzo , Pietro Corsi , Giancarlo Ruocco , Domenico Raimondo , Edoardo Milanetti

The interplay of biological, social, structural and random factors makes disease forecasting extraordinarily complex. The course of an epidemic exhibits average growth dynamics determined by features of the pathogen and the population, yet…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-02-24 Andrea J. Allen , Mariah C. Boudreau , Nicholas J. Roberts , Antoine Allard , Laurent Hébert-Dufresne

Network sampling is used around the world for surveys of vulnerable, hard-to-reach populations including people at risk for HIV, opioid misuse, and emerging epidemics. The sampling methods include tracing social links to add new people to…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-05 Steve Thompson

Comparing two population means of network data is of paramount importance in a wide range of scientific applications. Many existing network inference solutions focus on global testing of entire networks, without comparing individual network…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-10 Yin Xia , Lexin Li

Understanding the spread of any disease is a highly complex and interdisciplinary exercise as biological, social, geographic, economic, and medical factors may shape the way a disease moves through a population and options for its eventual…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-12-14 Aristides Moustakas

In this work, the aim is to study the spread of a contagious disease and information on a multilayer social system. The main idea is to find a criterion under which the adoption of the spreading information blocks or suppresses the epidemic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-03-16 Semra Gunduc

We investigate how individuals form expectations about population behavior using statistical inference based on observations of their social relations. Misperceptions about others' connectedness and behavior arise from sampling bias…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-05-27 Andreas Bjerre-Nielsen , Martin Benedikt Busch

The increasing availability of time --and space-- resolved data describing human activities and interactions gives insights into both static and dynamic properties of human behavior. In practice, nevertheless, real-world datasets can often…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-11-27 Nicolas Tremblay , Alain Barrat , Cary Forest , Mark Nornberg , Jean-François Pinton , Pierre Borgnat

Social and biological contagions are influenced by the spatial embeddedness of networks. Historically, many epidemics spread as a wave across part of the Earth's surface; however, in modern contagions long-range edges -- for example, due to…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2015-07-31 Dane Taylor , Florian Klimm , Heather A. Harrington , Miroslav Kramar , Konstantin Mischaikow , Mason A. Porter , Peter J. Mucha

Non-pharmaceutical measures such as social distancing, can play an important role to control an epidemic in the absence of vaccinations. In this paper, we study the impact of social distancing on epidemics for which it is executable. We use…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-08-04 Sina Sajjadi , Alireza Hashemi , Fakhteh Ghanbarnejad

Network surveys of key populations at risk for HIV are an essential part of the effort to understand how the epidemic spreads and how it can be prevented. Estimation of population values from the sample data has been probematical, however,…

Applications · Statistics 2019-09-12 Steve Thompson

Contact patterns in populations fundamentally influence the spread of infectious diseases. Current mathematical methods for epidemiological forecasting on networks largely assume that contacts between individuals are fixed, at least for the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 Erik Volz , Lauren Ancel Meyers

Diseases and other contagion phenomena in nature and society can interact asymmetrically, such that one can benefit from the other, which in turn impairs the first, in analogy with predator-prey systems. Here, we consider two models for…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-02-17 Paulo Cesar Ventura , Yamir Moreno , Francisco A. Rodrigues

Network data is a major object data type that has been widely collected or derived from common sources such as brain imaging. Such data contains numeric, topological, and geometrical information, and may be necessarily considered in certain…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-29 Han Feng , Xing Qiu , Hongyu Miao

I study the spreading of infectious diseases on heterogeneous populations. I represent the population structure by a contact-graph where vertices represent agents and edges represent disease transmission channels among them. The population…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-11-13 Alexei Vazquez

The impact that information diffusion has on epidemic spreading has recently attracted much attention. As a disease begins to spread in the population, information about the disease is transmitted to others, which in turn has an effect on…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-15 Xiu-Xiu Zhan , Chuang Liu , Ge Zhou , Zi-Ke Zhang , Gui-Quan Sun , Jonathan J. H. Zhu

We study the diffusion of epidemics on networks that are partitioned into local communities. The gross structure of hierarchical networks of this kind can be described by a quotient graph. The rationale of this approach is that individuals…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-01-19 Stefano Bonaccorsi , Stefania Ottaviano , Delio Mugnolo , Francesco De Pellegrini