Related papers: Estimating parameters of nonlinear systems using t…
Multi-modal densities appear frequently in time series and practical applications. However, they cannot be represented by common state estimators, such as the Extended Kalman Filter (EKF) and the Unscented Kalman Filter (UKF), which…
Particle Filter algorithm (PF) suffers from some problems such as the loss of particle diversity, the need for large number of particles, and the costly selection of the importance density functions. In this paper, a novel Exponential…
We combine conditional state density construction with an extension of the Scenario Approach for stochastic Model Predictive Control to nonlinear systems to yield a novel particle-based formulation of stochastic nonlinear output-feedback…
Ensemble learning that can be used to combine the predictions from multiple learners has been widely applied in pattern recognition, and has been reported to be more robust and accurate than the individual learners. This ensemble logic has…
The extended Kalman filter (EKF) has been the industry standard for state estimation problems over the past sixty years. The classical formulation of the EKF is posed for nonlinear systems defined on global Euclidean spaces. The design…
An Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF, the predictor) is used make a large change in the state, followed by a Particle Filer (PF, the corrector) which assigns importance weights to describe non-Gaussian distribution. The weights are obtained by…
Identification of nonlinear dynamic systems remains a significant challenge across engineering. This work suggests an approach based on Bayesian filtering to extract and identify the contribution of an unknown nonlinear term in the system…
Accurate modeling and prediction of complex physical systems often rely on data assimilation techniques to correct errors inherent in model simulations. Traditional methods like the Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF) and its variants as well as…
Data assimilation combines information from models, measurements, and priors to estimate the state of a dynamical system such as the atmosphere. The Ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) is a family of ensemble-based data assimilation approaches…
For modelling geophysical systems, large-scale processes are described through a set of coarse-grained dynamical equations while small-scale processes are represented via parameterizations. This work proposes a method for identifying the…
Particle filters are a frequent choice for inference tasks in nonlinear and non-Gaussian state-space models. They can either be used for state inference by approximating the filtering distribution or for parameter inference by approximating…
The particle filter is a popular Bayesian filtering algorithm for use in cases where the state-space model is nonlinear and/or the random terms (initial state or noises) are non-Gaussian distributed. We study the behavior of the error in…
Complex dynamic systems can be investigated by fitting mechanistic stochastic dynamic models to time series data. In this context, commonly used Monte Carlo inference procedures for model selection and parameter estimation quickly become…
We describe the decomposition of QSO absorption line ensembles applying an evolutionary forward modelling technique. The modelling is optimized using an evolution strategy (ES) based on a novel concept of completely derandomized…
As neural networks are increasingly being applied to real-world applications, mechanisms to address distributional shift and sequential task learning without forgetting are critical. Methods incorporating network expansion have shown…
Based on probability density evolution method (PDEM) and Bayes law, a new filter strategy is proposed, in which the prior probability of system state of interest is predicted by solving the general density evolution equation (GDEE), the…
Many researchers are interested to use Extended Kalman Filter (EKF) for state estimation of complex nonlinear dynamics with uncertainties which modeled with white noises. On the other hand behavior of the chaotic systems in time domain…
Particle filters for data assimilation in nonlinear problems use "particles" (replicas of the underlying system) to generate a sequence of probability density functions (pdfs) through a Bayesian process. This can be expensive because a…
Counter-adversarial system design problems have lately motivated the development of inverse Bayesian filters. For example, inverse Kalman filter (I-KF) has been recently formulated to estimate the adversary's Kalman-filter-tracked estimates…
In the context of signal detection in the presence of an unknown time-varying channel parameter, receivers based on the Expectation Propagation (EP) framework appear to be very promising. EP is a message-passing algorithm based on factor…