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We address the problem of sequentially selecting and observing processes from a given set to find the anomalies among them. The decision-maker observes one process at a time and obtains a noisy binary indicator of whether or not the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-14 Geethu Joseph , M. Cenk Gursoy , Pramod K. Varshney

The parameters of a discrete stationary Markov model are transition probabilities between states. Traditionally, data consist in sequences of observed states for a given number of individuals over the whole observation period. In such a…

Computation · Statistics 2012-04-30 Alberto Pasanisi , Shuai Fu , Nicolas Bousquet

We propose a new estimator for the spot covariance matrix of a multi-dimensional continuous semi-martingale log asset price process which is subject to noise and non-synchronous observations. The estimator is constructed based on a local…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-07-11 Markus Bibinger , Nikolaus Hautsch , Peter Malec , Markus Reiß

Higher-order Markov chains are frequently used to model categorical time series. However, a major problem with fitting such models is the exponentially growing number of parameters in the model order. A popular approach to parsimonious…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-03 Tuhin Majumder , Soumendra Lahiri , Donald Martin

The purpose of this paper is to study the problem of estimating a compactly supported density of probability from noisy observations of its moments. In fact, we provide a statistical approach to the famous Hausdorff classical moment…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-10-09 Thanh Mai Pham Ngoc

We demonstrate that waves in distinct layers of a neuronal network can become phase-locked by common spatiotemporal noise. This phenomenon is studied for stationary bumps, traveling waves, and breathers. A weak noise expansion is used to…

Pattern Formation and Solitons · Physics 2015-04-22 Zachary P. Kilpatrick

Periodic recurrence is a prominent behavioural of many biological phenomena, including cell cycle and circadian rhythms. Although deterministic models are commonly used to represent the dynamics of periodic phenomena, it is known that they…

Formal Languages and Automata Theory · Computer Science 2024-05-16 Paolo Ballarini , Mahmoud Bentriou , Paul-Henry Cournède

In this paper is proposed a novel incremental iterative Gauss-Newton-Markov-Kalman filter method for state estimation of dynamic models given noisy measurements. The mathematical formulation of the proposed filter is based on the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-09-17 Bojana Rosic

Combining information both within and across trajectories, we propose a simple estimator for the local regularity of the trajectories of a stochastic process. Independent trajectories are measured with errors at randomly sampled time…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-03-15 Steven Golovkine , Nicolas Klutchnikoff , Valentin Patilea

We consider stochastic optimization problems where data is drawn from a Markov chain. Existing methods for this setting crucially rely on knowing the mixing time of the chain, which in real-world applications is usually unknown. We propose…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-14 Ron Dorfman , Kfir Y. Levy

We present a new method for inferring hidden Markov models from noisy time sequences without the necessity of assuming a model architecture, thus allowing for the detection of degenerate states. This is based on the statistical prediction…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2012-01-24 David Kelly , Mark Dillingham , Andrew Hudson , Karoline Wiesner

Suppose we can choose from a set of linear autonomous systems with bounded process noise, the dynamics of each system are unknown, and we would like to design a stabilizing policy. The underlying question is how to estimate the dynamics of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-04-30 Pedro Hespanhol , Anil Aswani

Applications of stochastic models often involve the evaluation of steady-state performance, which requires solving a set of balance equations. In most cases of interest, the number of equations is infinite or even uncountable. As a result,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-04-08 Shukai Li , Sanjay Mehrotra

Many stochastic time series can be described by a Langevin equation composed of a deterministic and a stochastic dynamical part. Such a stochastic process can be reconstructed by means of a recently introduced nonparametric method, thus…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2013-01-01 J. Carvalho , F. Raischel , M. Haase , P. G. Lind

For a class of coupled limit cycle oscillators, we give a condition on a linear coupling operator that is necessary and sufficient for exponential stability of the synchronous solution. We show that with certain modifications our method of…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2010-02-24 Georgi S. Medvedev

In array processing, a common problem is to estimate the angles of arrival of $K$ deterministic sources impinging on an array of $M$ antennas, from $N$ observations of the source signal, corrupted by gaussian noise. The problem reduces to…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-06-28 Walid Hachem , Philippe Loubaton , Xavier Mestre , Jamal Najim , Pascal Vallet

The limit distribution of the nonparametric maximum likelihood estimator for interval censored data with more than one observation time per unobservable observation, is still unknown in general. For the so-called separated case, where one…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-12 Piet Groeneboom

The generalized least square (GLS) is one of the most basic tools in regression analyses. A major issue in implementing the GLS is estimation of the conditional variance function of the error term, which typically requires a restrictive…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-01-24 Yoichi Arai , Taisuke Otsu , Mengshan Xu

In this paper, we focus on activating only a few sensors, among many available, to estimate the state of a stochastic process of interest. This problem is important in applications such as target tracking and simultaneous localization and…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-09-28 Vasileios Tzoumas , Nikolay A. Atanasov , Ali Jadbabaie , George J. Pappas

Specialized classifiers, namely those dedicated to a subset of classes, are often adopted in real-world recognition systems. However, integrating such classifiers is nontrivial. Existing methods, e.g. weighted average, usually implicitly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-09-08 Zhizhong Li , Dahua Lin