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This paper considers a sequential estimation and sensor scheduling problem with one sensor and one estimator. The sensor makes sequential observations about the state of an underlying memoryless stochastic process, and makes a decision as…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-11-17 Xiaobin Gao , Emrah Akyol , Tamer Basar

In this paper, the consensus problems of the continuous-time integrator systems under noisy measurements are considered. The measurement noises, which appear when agents measure their neighbors' states, are modeled to be multiplicative. By…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-04-22 Yuan-Hua Ni , Xun Li

Motivated by theoretical advancements in dimensionality reduction techniques we use a recent model, called Block Markov Chains, to conduct a practical study of clustering in real-world sequential data. Clustering algorithms for Block Markov…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-05 Alexander Van Werde , Albert Senen-Cerda , Gianluca Kosmella , Jaron Sanders

This paper considers the problem of linear time-invariant (LTI) system identification using input/output data. Recent work has provided non-asymptotic results on partially observed LTI system identification using a single trajectory but is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-11-23 Yang Zheng , Na Li

A method is proposed to generate an optimal fit of a number of connected linear trend segments onto time-series data. To be able to efficiently handle many lines, the method employs a stochastic search procedure to determine optimal…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2017-04-11 Myrl G. Marmarelis

Pseudo-marginal Markov chain Monte Carlo methods for sampling from intractable distributions have gained recent interest and have been theoretically studied in considerable depth. Their main appeal is that they are exact, in the sense that…

Computation · Statistics 2015-03-25 Felipe J. Medina-Aguayo , Anthony Lee , Gareth O. Roberts

In recent years, there is a growing need for processing methods aimed at extracting useful information from large datasets. In many cases the challenge is to discover a low-dimensional structure in the data, often concealed by the existence…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-05 Yariv Aizenbud , Boris Landa , Yoel Shkolnisky

In this paper, we study the following model of hidden Markov chain: $Y_i=X_i+\epsilon_i$, $i=1,...,n+1$ with $(X_i)$ a real-valued stationary Markov chain and $(\epsilon_i)_{1\leq i\leq n+1}$ a noise having a known distribution and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Claire Lacour

Stochastic transitions between discrete microscopic states play an important role in many physical and biological systems. Often, these transitions lead to fluctuations on a macroscopic scale. A classic example from neuroscience is the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-02-20 Lukas Ramlow , Benjamin Lindner

In the paper, we study a new rate of convergence estimate for homogeneous discrete-time nonlinear Markov chains based on the Markov-Dobrushin condition. This result generalizes the convergence estimates for any positive number of transition…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-22 Aleksandr A. Shchegolev

Single-chain Markov chain Monte Carlo simulates realizations from a Markov chain to estimate expectations with the empirical average. The single-chain simulation is generally of considerable length and restricts many advantages of modern…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-01 Austin Brown

We describe an inference task in which a set of timestamped event observations must be clustered into an unknown number of temporal sequences with independent and varying rates of observations. Various existing approaches to multi-object…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-09-20 Dan Stowell , Mark D. Plumbley

If the state space of a homogeneous continuous-time Markov chain is too large, making inferences - here limited to determining marginal or limit expectations - becomes computationally infeasible. Fortunately, the state space of such a chain…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-01 Alexander Erreygers , Jasper De Bock

Motivated by single-particle cryo-electron microscopy, we study the sample complexity of the multi-target detection (MTD) problem, in which an unknown signal appears multiple times at unknown locations within a long, noisy observation. We…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-31 Kweku Abraham , Amnon Balanov , Tamir Bendory , Carlos Esteve-Yagüe

Let X be a continuous-time Markov chain in a finite set I, let h be a mapping of I onto another set, and let Y be defined by Y_t=h(X_t), (for t nonnegative). We address the filtering problem for X in terms of the observation Y, which is not…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-09-07 Fulvia Confortola , Marco Fuhrman

An efficient estimator is constructed for the quadratic covariation or integrated co-volatility matrix of a multivariate continuous martingale based on noisy and nonsynchronous observations under high-frequency asymptotics. Our approach…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-07-02 Markus Bibinger , Nikolaus Hautsch , Peter Malec , Markus Reiß

In large-scale data processing scenarios, data often arrive in sequential streams generated by complex systems that exhibit drifting distributions and time-varying system parameters. This nonstationarity challenges theoretical analysis, as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-13 Yifei Jin , Xin Zheng , Lei Guo

Method of moment estimators exhibit appealing statistical properties, such as asymptotic unbiasedness, for nonconvex problems. However, they typically require a large number of samples and are extremely sensitive to model misspecification.…

Computation · Statistics 2016-03-30 Dustin Tran , Minjae Kim , Finale Doshi-Velez

Multistate Markov models are a canonical parametric approach for data modeling of observed or latent stochastic processes supported on a finite state space. Continuous-time Markov processes describe data that are observed irregularly over…

We consider the problem of recursively and causally reconstructing time sequences of sparse signals (with unknown and time-varying sparsity patterns) from a limited number of noisy linear measurements. The sparsity pattern is assumed to…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2010-07-28 Namrata Vaswani