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A piecewise-deterministic Markov process, specified by random jumps and switching semi-flows, as well as the associated Markov chain given by its post-jump locations, are investigated in this paper. The existence of an exponentially…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-07 Dawid Czapla , Katarzyna Horbacz , Hanna Wojewódka-Ściążko

We develop a practical approach to establish the stability, that is, the recurrence in a given set, of a large class of controlled Markov chains. These processes arise in various areas of applied science and encompass important numerical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-02-02 Christophe Andrieu , Vladislav B. Tadić , Matti Vihola

Whereas classical invariance principles for ergodic Markov chains address the situation in which the time horizon of observations is much larger than the mixing time, the quality of approximation is questionable when this is not the case…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-12 Gabriele Bellerino , Angelika Rohde

In this work, we study a natural nonparametric estimator of the transition probability matrices of a finite controlled Markov chain. We consider an offline setting with a fixed dataset, collected using a so-called logging policy. We develop…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-17 Imon Banerjee , Harsha Honnappa , Vinayak Rao

We address the problem of estimating the mixing time $t_{\mathsf{mix}}$ of an arbitrary ergodic finite-state Markov chain from a single trajectory of length $m$. The reversible case was addressed by Hsu et al. [2019], who left the general…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-08-17 Geoffrey Wolfer , Aryeh Kontorovich

This paper aims to establish a central limit theorem for Markov processes conditioned not to be absorbed under a very general assumption on quasi-stationarity for the underlying process. To do so, a central limit theorem has been…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-03-31 William Oçafrain

Many years ago B.S. Pitskel observed that the metric entropy of the shift transformation in the sample space of a stationary random process $X=\{X_n,\,n\in \mathbb Z\}$ with a countable number of states is equal to the conditional entropy…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-06-03 Boris Gurevich

We study a fairly general class of time-homogeneous stochastic evolutions driven by noises that are not white in time. As a consequence, the resulting processes do not have the Markov property. In this setting, we obtain constructive…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-02-12 M. Hairer

We present some new results on sample path optimality for the ergodic control problem of a class of non-degenerate diffusions controlled through the drift. The hypothesis most often used in the literature to ensure the existence of an a.s.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-03-20 Ari Arapostathis

Theory and application of stochastic approximation (SA) have become increasingly relevant due in part to applications in optimization and reinforcement learning. This paper takes a new look at SA with constant step-size $\alpha>0$, defined…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-12 Caio Kalil Lauand , Ioannis Kontoyiannis , Sean Meyn

In the paper, we study a new rate of convergence estimate for homogeneous discrete-time nonlinear Markov chains based on the Markov-Dobrushin condition. This result generalizes the convergence estimates for any positive number of transition…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-22 Aleksandr A. Shchegolev

We study the problem of sequentially testing whether a given stochastic process is generated by a known Markov chain. Formally, given access to a stream of random variables, we want to quickly determine whether this sequence is a trajectory…

Applications · Statistics 2025-01-24 Greg Fields , Tara Javidi , Shubhanshu Shekhar

We introduce a statistical mechanics formalism for the study of constrained graph evolution as a Markovian stochastic process, in analogy with that available for spin systems, deriving its basic properties and highlighting the role of the…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2015-05-13 A. C. C. Coolen , A. De Martino , A. Annibale

We find the class, ${\cal{C}}_k, k \ge 0$, of all zero mean stationary Gaussian processes, $Y(t), ~t \in \reals$ with $k$ derivatives, for which \begin{equation} Z(t) \equiv (Y^{(0)}(t), Y^{(1)}(t), \ldots, Y^{(k)}(t) ), ~ t \ge 0…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-01-03 Larry Brown , Philip Ernst , Larry Shepp , Bob Wolpert

This paper provides a new path method that can be used to determine when an ergodic continuous-time Markov chain on $\mathbb Z^d$ converges exponentially fast to its stationary distribution in $L^2$. Specifically, we provide general…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-02 David F. Anderson , Daniele Cappelletti , Wai-Tong Louis Fan , Jinsu Kim

Markov chains are fundamental models for stochastic dynamics, with applications in a wide range of areas such as population dynamics, queueing systems, reinforcement learning, and Monte Carlo methods. Estimating the transition matrix and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-26 Lasse Leskelä , Maximilien Dreveton

The generic behavior of quantum systems has long been of theoretical and practical interest. Any quantum process is represented by a sequence of quantum channels. We consider general ergodic sequences of stochastic channels with arbitrary…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2022-07-08 Ramis Movassagh , Jeffrey Schenker

For a network of discrete states with a periodically driven Markovian dynamics, we develop an inference scheme for an external observer who has access to some transitions. Based on waiting-time distributions between these transitions, the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-09-12 Alexander M. Maier , Julius Degünther , Jann van der Meer , Udo Seifert

We consider the class of stationary-increment harmonizable stable processes with infinite control measure, which most notably includes real harmonizable fractional stable motions. We give conditions for the integrability of the paths of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-08-20 Ly Viet Hoang , Evgeny Spodarev

In this paper we discuss how the notion of subgeometric ergodicity in Markov chain theory can be exploited to study stationarity and ergodicity of nonlinear time series models. Subgeometric ergodicity means that the transition probability…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-11-11 Mika Meitz , Pentti Saikkonen
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