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The goal of the change-point detection is to discover changes of time series distribution. One of the state of the art approaches of the change-point detection are based on direct density ratio estimation. In this work we show how existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-22 Mikhail Hushchyn , Andrey Ustyuzhanin

This work proposes an unsupervised learning framework for trajectory (sequence) outlier detection that combines ranking tests with user sequence models. The overall framework identifies sequence outliers at a desired false positive rate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-09 Mohamed A. Zahran , Leonardo Teixeira , Vinayak Rao , Bruno Ribeiro

We consider the problem of detecting abrupt changes in the distribution of a multi-dimensional time series, with limited computing power and memory. In this paper, we propose a new, simple method for model-free online change-point detection…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-02 Nicolas Keriven , Damien Garreau , Iacopo Poli

Graph-based change point detection (CPD) play an irreplaceable role in discovering anomalous graphs in the time-varying network. While several techniques have been proposed to detect change points by identifying whether there is a…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-12-20 Yongshun Gong , Xue Dong , Jian Zhang , Meng Chen

A network provides powerful means of representing complex relationships between entities by abstracting entities as vertices, and relationships as edges connecting vertices in a graph. Beyond the presence or absence of relationships, a…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-01-15 Isuru Udayangani Hewapathirana

In the multisensor sequential change detection problem, a disruption occurs in an environment monitored by multiple sensors. This disruption induces a change in the observations of an unknown subset of sensors. In the Byzantine version of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-08-25 Georgios Fellouris , Erhan Bayraktar , Lifeng Lai

A binomial time series describes binary behaviors of individuals within a group, which depend on group behaviors in the past. Binomial time series data is widely applied in fields such as infection tracking and behavior analysis. In this…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-09 Yajun Liu , Beth Andrews

We study sequential change-point detection procedures based on linear sketches of high-dimensional signal vectors using generalized likelihood ratio (GLR) statistics. The GLR statistics allow for an unknown post-change mean that represents…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-05-01 Yang Cao , Andrew Thompson , Meng Wang , Yao Xie

The detection of anomalies or transitions in complex dynamical systems is of critical importance to various applications. In this study, we propose the use of machine learning to detect changepoints for high-dimensional dynamical systems.…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-05-18 Sen Lin , Gianmarco Mengaldo , Romit Maulik

Sequential change diagnosis is the joint problem of detection and identification of a sudden and unobservable change in the distribution of a random sequence. In this problem, the common probability law of a sequence of i.i.d. random…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-10-29 Savas Dayanik , Christian Goulding , H. Vincent Poor

Oftentimes in practice, the observed process changes statistical properties at an unknown point in time and the duration of a change is substantially finite, in which case one says that the change is intermittent or transient. We provide an…

Applications · Statistics 2023-04-11 Grigory Sokolov , Valentin S. Spivak , Alexander G. Tartakovsky

The aim of change-point detection is to identify behavioral shifts within time series data. This article focuses on scenarios where the data is derived from an inhomogeneous Poisson process or a marked Poisson process. We present a…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-07 C. Dion-Blanc , D. Hawat , E. Lebarbier , S. Robin

This paper develops change-point methods for the spectrum of a locally stationary time series. We focus on series with a bounded spectral density that change smoothly under the null hypothesis but exhibits change-points or becomes less…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-08-08 Alessandro Casini , Pierre Perron

Many real world systems or web services can be represented as a network such as social networks and transportation networks. In the past decade, many algorithms have been developed to detect the communities in a network using connections…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-01-21 Zhi Liu , Yan Huang

This article introduces the sequential Kalman filter, a computationally scalable approach for online changepoint detection with temporally correlated data. The temporal correlation was not considered in the Bayesian online changepoint…

Applications · Statistics 2024-01-02 Hanmo Li , Yuedong Wang , Mengyang Gu

We propose an algorithm for simultaneously detecting and locating changepoints in a time series, and a framework for predicting the distribution of the next point in the series. The kernel of the algorithm is a system of equations that…

Applications · Statistics 2008-12-09 Allen B. Downey

Sequential change point detection for multivariate autocorrelated data is a very common problem in practice. However, when the sensing resources are limited, only a subset of variables from the multivariate system can be observed at each…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-04-02 Haijie Xu , Xiaochen Xian , Chen Zhang , Kaibo Liu

Detecting changes in high-dimensional time series is difficult because it involves the comparison of probability densities that need to be estimated from finite samples. In this paper, we present the first feature extraction method tailored…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-03-19 Duncan Blythe , Paul von Bünau , Frank Meinecke , Klaus-Robert Müller

Sequential change-point detection for time series enables us to sequentially check the hypothesis that the model still holds as more and more data are observed. It is widely used in data monitoring in practice. In this work, we consider…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-10 Yajun Liu , Beth Andrews

Monitoring economic conditions and financial stability with an early warning system serves as a prevention mechanism for unexpected economic events. In this paper, we investigate the statistical performance of sequential break-point…

Applications · Statistics 2021-12-14 Christis Katsouris
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