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In this paper we propose a flexible class of multivariate nonlinear non-Gaussian state space models, based on copulas. More precisely, we assume that the observation equation and the state equation are defined by copula families that are…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-11-04 Alexander Kreuzer , Luciana Dalla Valle , Claudia Czado

The increasing use of vine copulas in high-dimensional settings, where the number of parameters is often of the same order as the sample size, calls for asymptotic theory beyond the traditional fixed-$p$, large-$n$ framework. We establish…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-28 Jana Gauss , Thomas Nagler

This study suggests a coupling uncertainty analysis method to investigate the stiffness characteristics of variable stiffness (VS) composite. The D-vine copula function is used to address the coupling of random variables. To identify the…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2018-04-23 Qidi Li , Hu Wang , Yang Zeng , Zhiwei Lv

Uncertain information on input parameters of reliability models is usually modeled by considering these parameters as random, and described by marginal distributions and a dependence structure of these variables. In numerous real-world…

Applications · Statistics 2018-04-30 Nazih Benoumechiara , Bertrand Michel , Philippe Saint-Pierre , Nicolas Bousquet

The copulas of random vectors with standard uniform univariate margins truncated from the right are considered and a general formula for such right-truncated conditional copulas is derived. This formula is analytical for copulas that can be…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-19 Marius Hofert

The key to VI is the selection of a tractable density to approximate the Bayesian posterior. For large and complex models a common choice is to assume independence between multivariate blocks in a partition of the parameter space. While…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-07 Yu Fu , Michael Stanley Smith , Anastasios Panagiotelis

High-dimensional data sets are often available in genome-enabled predictions. Such data sets include nonlinear relationships with complex dependence structures. For such situations, vine copula based (quantile) regression is an important…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-24 Özge Sahin , Claudia Czado

This paper proposes multivariate copula models for hierarchical data. They account for two types of correlation: one is between variables measured on the same unit and the other is a correlation between units in the same cluster. This model…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-24 Talagbe Gabin Akpo , Louis-Paul Rivest

Simplified vine copulas are flexible tools over standard multivariate distributions for modeling and understanding different dependence properties in high-dimensional data. Their conditional distributions are of utmost importance, from…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-26 Ariane Hanebeck , Özge Şahin , Petra Havlíčková , Claudia Czado

The aim of this work is studying the use of copulas and vines in the optimization with Estimation of Distribution Algorithms (EDAs). Two EDAs are built around the multivariate product and normal copulas, and other two are based on…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2015-01-14 Marta Soto , Yasser González-Fernández , Alberto Ochoa

In this paper, we construct a bound copula, which can reach both Frechet's lower and upper bounds for perfect positive and negative dependence cases. Since it covers a wide range of dependency and simple for computational purposes, it can…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-01 Suman Thapa , Yiqiang Q. Zhao

Understanding the dependence relationship of credit spreads of corporate bonds is important for risk management. Vine copula models with tail dependence are used to analyze a credit spread dataset of Chinese corporate bonds, understand the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-16 Shenyi Pan , Harry Joe , Guofu Li

Analysis of multivariate time series is a common problem in areas like finance and economics. The classical tool for this purpose are vector autoregressive models. These however are limited to the modeling of linear and symmetric…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-04-05 Eike Christian Brechmann , Claudia Czado

This paper introduces an innovative method for constructing copula models capable of describing arbitrary non-monotone dependence structures. The proposed method enables the creation of such copulas in parametric form, thus allowing the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-26 Manfred Marvin Marchione , Fabio Baione

We consider the problem of modeling the dependence among many time series. We build high dimensional time-varying copula models by combining pair-copula constructions (PCC) with stochastic autoregressive copula (SCAR) models to capture…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-02-10 Carlos Almeida , Claudia Czado , Hans Manner

This paper considers the problem of invoking auxiliary, unobservable variables to facilitate the structuring of causal tree models for a given set of continuous variables. Paralleling the treatment of bi-valued variables in [Pearl 1986], we…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-11 Lei Xu , Judea Pearl

The increasing complexity of data requires methods and models that can effectively handle intricate structures, as simplifying them would result in loss of information. While several analytical tools have been developed to work with complex…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-16 Riccardo Giubilei , Tullia Padellini , Pierpaolo Brutti

The ability to adequately model risks is crucial for insurance companies. The method of "Copula-based hierarchical risk aggregation" by Arbenz et al. offers a flexible way in doing so and has attracted much attention recently. We briefly…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-22 Fabio Derendinger

The advent of high-throughput sequencing technologies has lead to vast comparative genome sequences. The construction of gene-gene interaction networks or dependence graphs on the genome scale is vital for understanding the regulation of…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-06 Xinyao Fan , Harry Joe , Yongjin Park

Copulas have become an important tool in the modern best practice Enterprise Risk Management, often supplanting other approaches to modelling stochastic dependence. However, choosing the `right' copula is not an easy task, and the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-10-10 Jianxi Su , Edward Furman