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Nonlinear optimization methods are typically iterative and make use of gradient information to determine a direction of improvement and function information to effectively check for progress. When this information is corrupted by noise,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-21 Albert S. Berahas , Michael J. O'Neill , Clément W. Royer

Many dynamical systems are subjected to stochastic influences, such as random excitations, noise, and unmodeled behavior. Tracking the system's state and parameters based on a physical model is a common task for which filtering algorithms,…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-07-03 Jan Grashorn , Matteo Broggi , Ludovic Chamoin , Michael Beer

We consider a node-monitor pair, where the node's state varies with time. The monitor needs to track the node's state at all times; however, there is a fixed cost for each state query. So the monitor may instead predict the state using…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-28 Kumar Saurav , Ness B. Shroff , Yingbin Liang

We consider the Bayesian optimal filtering problem: i.e. estimating some conditional statistics of a latent time-series signal from an observation sequence. Classical approaches often rely on the use of assumed or estimated transition and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-03-16 Adrian N. Bishop , Edwin V. Bonilla

This paper investigates a recursive formulation of auto-regressive multi-fidelity Gaussian process regression in the challenging setting of noisy and non-nested high- and low-fidelity data. We propose a decoupled optimization strategy based…

Applications · Statistics 2026-05-21 Nils Baillie , Baptiste Kerleguer , Cyril Feau , Josselin Garnier

We study recursive maximum likelihood estimation for stochastic interacting particle systems based on continuous observation of a single particle. In this regime, consistent estimation of the finite-particle log-likelihood is not possible,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-04 Louis Sharrock , Nikolas Kantas , Grigorios A. Pavliotis

As an example of the recently-introduced concept of rate of innovation, signals that are linear combinations of a finite number of Diracs per unit time can be acquired by linear filtering followed by uniform sampling. However, in reality,…

Applications · Statistics 2009-03-09 Vincent Y. F. Tan , Vivek K. Goyal

The mutual information (MI) of Poisson-type channels has been linked to a filtering problem since the 70s, but its evaluation for specific continuous-time, discrete-state systems remains a demanding task. As an advantage, Markov renewal…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-06-18 Maximilian Gehri , Nicolai Engelmann , Heinz Koeppl

In this paper, we consider the finite-state approximation of a discrete-time constrained Markov decision process (MDP) under the discounted and average cost criteria. Using the linear programming formulation of the constrained discounted…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-07-10 Naci Saldi

Stochastic approximation is a powerful class of algorithms with celebrated success. However, a large body of previous analysis focuses on stochastic approximations driven by contractive operators, which is not applicable in some important…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-21 Ethan Blaser , Shangtong Zhang

We investigate the utility to computational Bayesian analyses of a particular family of recursive marginal likelihood estimators characterized by the (equivalent) algorithms known as "biased sampling" or "reverse logistic regression" in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-10-16 Ewan Cameron , Anthony Pettitt

Stochastic models in biomolecular contexts can have a state-dependent process noise covariance. The choice of the process noise covariance is an important parameter in the design of a Kalman Filter for state estimation and the theoretical…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-08-05 Krishan Kumar Gola , Shaunak Sen

Recursive marginal quantization (RMQ) allows the construction of optimal discrete grids for approximating solutions to stochastic differential equations in d-dimensions. Product Markovian quantization (PMQ) reduces this problem to d…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-06-30 Ralph Rudd , Thomas A. McWalter , Joerg Kienitz , Eckhard Platen

We consider the problem of compressed sensing and of (real-valued) phase retrieval with random measurement matrix. We derive sharp asymptotics for the information-theoretically optimal performance and for the best known polynomial algorithm…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-04 Benjamin Aubin , Bruno Loureiro , Antoine Baker , Florent Krzakala , Lenka Zdeborová

In order to maintain stable grid operations, system monitoring and control processes require the computation of grid states (e.g. voltage magnitude and angles) at high granularity. It is necessary to infer these grid states from…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-12-25 Chinthaka Dinesh , Junfei Wang , Gene Cheung , Pirathayini Srikantha

This paper addresses the challenge of a particular class of noisy state observations in Markov Decision Processes (MDPs), a common issue in various real-world applications. We focus on modeling this uncertainty through a confusion matrix…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-15 Amirhossein Afsharrad , Sanjay Lall

Stabilization of non-stationary linear systems over noisy communication channels is considered. Stochastically stable sources, and unstable but noise-free or bounded-noise systems have been extensively studied in information theory and…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2012-05-07 Serdar Yüksel

We provide a stochastic interpretation of non-commutative Dirichlet forms in the context of quantum filtering. For stochastic processes motivated by quantum optics experiments, we derive an optimal finite time deviation bound expressed in…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2022-08-10 Tristan Benoist , Lisa Hänggli , Cambyse Rouzé

We consider off-policy temporal-difference (TD) learning methods for policy evaluation in Markov decision processes with finite spaces and discounted reward criteria, and we present a collection of convergence results for several…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-03-30 Huizhen Yu

Gradient matching with Gaussian processes is a promising tool for learning parameters of ordinary differential equations (ODE's). The essence of gradient matching is to model the prior over state variables as a Gaussian process which…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-10-25 Nico S. Gorbach , Stefan Bauer , Joachim M. Buhmann