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It is important to estimate the errors of probabilistic inference algorithms. Existing diagnostics for Markov chain Monte Carlo methods assume inference is asymptotically exact, and are not appropriate for approximate methods like…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-02 Justin Domke

This paper presents an algorithm that generates the conditional moment inequalities that characterize the identified set of the common parameter of various semi-parametric panel multinomial choice models. I consider both static and dynamic…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-26 Eric Mbakop

These lecture notes consist of three chapters. In the first chapter we present oracle inequalities for the prediction error of the Lasso and square-root Lasso and briefly describe the scaled Lasso. In the second chapter we establish…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-10-01 Sara van de Geer

In the following article we provide an exposition of exact computational methods to perform parameter inference from partially observed network models. In particular, we consider the duplication attachment (DA) model which has a likelihood…

Computation · Statistics 2013-06-20 Junshan Wang , Ajay Jasra , Maria De Iorio

We propose a residual randomization procedure designed for robust Lasso-based inference in the high-dimensional setting. Compared to earlier work that focuses on sub-Gaussian errors, the proposed procedure is designed to work robustly in…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-20 Y. Samuel Wang , Si Kai Lee , Panos Toulis , Mladen Kolar

These notes survey and explore an emerging method, which we call the low-degree method, for predicting and understanding statistical-versus-computational tradeoffs in high-dimensional inference problems. In short, the method posits that a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-29 Dmitriy Kunisky , Alexander S. Wein , Afonso S. Bandeira

Estimation and inference with modern longitudinal data from wearable devices, which consist of biological signals at high-frequency time points, is burdened by massive computational costs. We propose a distributed estimation and inference…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-13 Cole Manschot , Emily C. Hector

For many probability laws, in parametric models, the estimation of the parameters can be done in the frame of the maximum likelihood method, or in the frame of moment estimation methods, or by using the plug-in method, etc. Usually, for…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-10 Gorgui Gning , Aladji Babacar Niang , Modou Ngom , Gane Samb Lo

We study the Cox models with semiparametric relative risk, which can be partially linear with one nonparametric component, or multiple additive or nonadditive nonparametric components. A penalized partial likelihood procedure is proposed to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-10-20 Pang Du , Shuangge Ma , Hua Liang

We develop a projected least squares estimator for the change point parameter in a high dimensional time series model with a potential change point. Importantly we work under the setup where the jump size may be near the boundary of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-19 Abhishek Kaul , Venkata K Jandhyala , Stergios B Fotopoulos

In this paper, we propose a two-step procedure based on the group LASSO estimator in combination with a backward elimination algorithm to detect multiple structural breaks in linear regressions with multivariate responses. Applying the…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-09-24 Karsten Schweikert

We consider parameter inference for linear quantile regression with non-stationary predictors and errors, where the regression parameters are subject to inequality constraints. We show that the constrained quantile coefficient estimators…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-08 Yuan Sun , Zhou Zhou

We develop results for the use of Lasso and Post-Lasso methods to form first-stage predictions and estimate optimal instruments in linear instrumental variables (IV) models with many instruments, $p$. Our results apply even when $p$ is much…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-05 Alexandre Belloni , Daniel Chen , Victor Chernozhukov , Christian Hansen

Discrete-state stochastic models have become a well-established approach to describe biochemical reaction networks that are influenced by the inherent randomness of cellular events. In the last years severalmethods for accurately…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2017-07-03 Alexander Lück , Verena Wolf

In many applications it is desirable to infer coarse-grained models from observational data. The observed process often corresponds only to a few selected degrees of freedom of a high-dimensional dynamical system with multiple time scales.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-05-06 Serafim Kalliadasis , Sebastian Krumscheid , Grigorios A. Pavliotis

Selective inference methods are developed for group lasso estimators for use with a wide class of distributions and loss functions. The method includes the use of exponential family distributions, as well as quasi-likelihood modeling for…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-28 Yiling Huang , Sarah Pirenne , Snigdha Panigrahi , Gerda Claeskens

Inference on the parametric part of a semiparametric model is no trivial task. If one approximates the infinite dimensional part of the semiparametric model by a parametric function, one obtains a parametric model that is in some sense…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-23 Adam Lee , Emil A. Stoltenberg , Per A. Mykland

Inference and prediction under the sparsity assumption have been a hot research topic in recent years. However, in practice, the sparsity assumption is difficult to test, and more importantly can usually be violated. In this paper, to study…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-10-18 Yanmei Shi , Zhiruo Li , Qi Zhang

This paper studies parameter estimation using L-moments, an alternative to traditional moments with attractive statistical properties. The estimation of model parameters by matching sample L-moments is known to outperform maximum likelihood…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-28 Luis Alvarez , Chang Chiann , Pedro Morettin

Using an asymmetric Laplace distribution, which provides a mechanism for Bayesian inference of quantile regression models, we develop a fully Bayesian approach to fitting single-index models in conditional quantile regression. In this work,…

Computation · Statistics 2015-03-19 Yuao Hua , Robert B. Gramacy , Heng Lian
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