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Time-series anomaly detection deals with the problem of detecting anomalous timesteps by learning normality from the sequence of observations. However, the concept of normality evolves over time, leading to a "new normal problem", where the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-23 Dongmin Kim , Sunghyun Park , Jaegul Choo

The mainstream theory of hypothesis testing in high-dimensional regression typically assumes the underlying true model is a low-dimensional linear regression model, yet the Box-Cox transformation is a regression technique commonly used to…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-22 He Zhou , Hui Zou

Dealing with distribution shifts is one of the central challenges for modern machine learning. One fundamental situation is the covariate shift, where the input distributions of data change from training to testing stages while the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-28 Yu-Jie Zhang , Zhen-Yu Zhang , Peng Zhao , Masashi Sugiyama

We consider parameter estimation, hypothesis testing and variable selection for partially time-varying coefficient models. Our asymptotic theory has the useful feature that it can allow dependent, nonstationary error and covariate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-08-20 Ting Zhang , Wei Biao Wu

For regression models, most of existing specification tests can be categorized into the class of local smoothing tests and of global smoothing tests. Compared with global smoothing tests, local smoothing tests can only detect local…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-18 Lingzhu Li , Lixing Zhu

We consider the scenario where the parameters of a probabilistic model are expected to vary over time. We construct a novel prior distribution that promotes sparsity and adapts the strength of correlation between parameters at successive…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-11-10 Dani Yogatama , Bryan R. Routledge , Noah A. Smith

The paper concerns inference in the ill-conditioned functional response model, which is a part of functional data analysis. In this regression model, the functional response is modeled using several independent scalar variables. To verify…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-07 Łukasz Smaga , Natalia Stefańska

From a model-building perspective, we propose a paradigm shift for fitting over-parameterized models. Philosophically, the mindset is to fit models to future observations rather than to the observed sample. Technically, given an imputation…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-09 Yiran Jiang , Chuanhai Liu

We provide first the functional analysis background required for reduced order modeling and present the underlying concepts of reduced basis model reduction. The projection-based model reduction framework under affinity assumptions,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-08-30 Gianluigi Rozza , Martin Hess , Giovanni Stabile , Marco Tezzele , Francesco Ballarin

This paper discusses a model-based approach to testing as a vital part of software development. It argues that an approach using models as central development artifact needs to be added to the portfolio of software engineering techniques,…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2014-09-24 Bernhard Rumpe

Reliable inference for spatial regression remains challenging because it requires the correct specification of the spatial dependence structure, the mean trend, and the error distribution. Existing parametric testing methods rely on…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-12 Kanghyun Wi , Hyoeun Kim , Tomáš Mrkvička , Jorge Mateu , Jaewoo Park

We propose an instance-wise adaptive sampling framework for constructing compact and informative training datasets for supervised learning of inverse problem solutions. Typical learning-based approaches aim to learn a general-purpose…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-20 Jiequn Han , Kui Ren , Nathan Soedjak

Many high-dimensional hypothesis tests aim to globally examine marginal or low-dimensional features of a high-dimensional joint distribution, such as testing of mean vectors, covariance matrices and regression coefficients. This paper…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-04 Yinqiu He , Gongjun Xu , Chong Wu , Wei Pan

Transfer learning with a small amount of target data is an effective and common approach to adapting a pre-trained model to distribution shifts. In some situations, target data labels may be expensive to obtain, so we may only have access…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-26 Annie S. Chen , Yoonho Lee , Amrith Setlur , Sergey Levine , Chelsea Finn

In a recent paper Birke and Bissantz (2008) considered the problem of nonparametric estimation in inverse regression models with convolution-type operators. For multivariate predictors nonparametric methods suffer from the curse of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-03-19 T. Hildebrandt , N. Bissantz , H. Dette

We develop methods for forming prediction sets in an online setting where the data generating distribution is allowed to vary over time in an unknown fashion. Our framework builds on ideas from conformal inference to provide a general…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-10 Isaac Gibbs , Emmanuel Candès

Probabilistic wind power forecasting approaches have significantly advanced in recent decades. However, forecasters often assume data completeness and overlook the challenge of missing values resulting from sensor failures, network…

Applications · Statistics 2024-04-25 Honglin Wen

This paper develops a novel Bayesian approach for nonlinear regression with symmetric matrix predictors, often used to encode connectivity of different nodes. Unlike methods that vectorize matrices as predictors that result in a large…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-22 Xiaomeng Ju , Hyung G. Park , Thaddeus Tarpey

A nonparametric procedure for robust regression estimation and for quantile regression is proposed which is completely data-driven and adapts locally to the regularity of the regression function. This is achieved by considering in each…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-04-06 Markus Reiss , Yves Rozenholc , Charles-Andre Cuenod

An inference procedure is proposed to provide consistent estimators of parameters in a modal regression model with a covariate prone to measurement error. A score-based diagnostic tool exploiting parametric bootstrap is developed to assess…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-02 Qingyang Liu , Xianzheng Huang