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Ordinary differential equation (ODE) is an important tool to study the dynamics of a system of biological and physical processes. A central question in ODE modeling is to infer the significance of individual regulatory effect of one signal…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-06 Xiaowu Dai , Lexin Li

We explore a novel methodology for constructing confidence regions for parameters of linear models, using predictions from any arbitrary predictor. Our framework requires minimal assumptions on the noise and can be extended to functions…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-01-30 Charles Guille-Escuret , Eugene Ndiaye

Robert Machol's surprising result, that from a single observation it is possible to have finite length confidence intervals for the parameters of location-scale models, is re-produced and extended. Two previously unpublished modifications…

bayes-an · Physics 2008-04-17 Carlos C. Rodriguez

In this paper, we establish uniform asymptotic certainty bands for the conditional cumulative distribution function. To this aim, we give exact rate of strong uniform consistency for the local linear estimator of this function. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-07-21 Sandie Ferrigno , Bernard Foliguet , Myriam Maumy-Bertrand , Aurélie Muller-Gueudin

We review the methods of constructing confidence intervals that account for a priori information about one-sided constraints on the parameter being estimated. We show that the so-called method of sensitivity limit yields a correct solution…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-05-20 A. V. Lokhov , F. V. Tkachov

We consider the problem of constructing confidence intervals for nonparametric functional data analysis using empirical likelihood. In this doubly infinite-dimensional context, we demonstrate the Wilks's phenomenon and propose a…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-04-07 Heng Lian

The logistic loss function is often advocated in machine learning and statistics as a smooth and strictly convex surrogate for the 0-1 loss. In this paper we investigate the question of whether these smoothness and convexity properties make…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-05-16 Elad Hazan , Tomer Koren , Kfir Y. Levy

Errors-in-variables curves are curves where errors exist not only in the independent variable but also in the dependent variable. We address the challenge of constructing simultaneous confidence bands (SCBs) for such curves. Our method…

Applications · Statistics 2025-01-30 Ziqing Dong , Francesco Bartolucci , Satoshi Kuriki , Antonietta Mira

It has been recently shown that nonparametric estimators of the additive regression function could be obtained in the presence of right censoring by coupling the marginal integration method with initial kernel-type Inverse Probability of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Mohammed Debbarh , Vivian Viallon

We explore band structures of one-dimensional open systems described by periodic non-Hermitian operators, based on continuum models and tight-binding models. We show that imaginary scalar potentials do not open band gaps but instead lead to…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-01-10 Ken Mochizuki , Tomoki Ozawa

In this paper we consider the problem of constructing confidence intervals for coefficients of martingale regression models (in particular, time series models) after variable selection. Although constructing confidence intervals are common…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-19 Ka Wai Tsang , Wei Dai

Motivated by new capabilities to realise artificial gauge fields in ultracold atomic systems, and by their potential to access correlated topological phases in lattice systems, we present a new strategy for designing topologically…

Quantum Gases · Physics 2012-11-22 N. R. Cooper , R. Moessner

It is in general challenging to provide confidence intervals for individual variables in high-dimensional regression without making strict or unverifiable assumptions on the design matrix. We show here that a "group-bound" confidence…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-06-12 Nicolai Meinshausen

We propose an optimal experimental design for a curvilinear regression model that minimizes the band-width of simultaneous confidence bands. Simultaneous confidence bands for curvilinear regression are constructed by evaluating the volume…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-02 Satoshi Kuriki , Henry P. Wynn

In this paper, we use the empirical likelihood method to construct the confidence regions for the difference between the parameters of a two-phases nonlinear model with random design. We show that the empirical likelihood ratio has an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-02-18 Zahraa Salloum

The purpose of this paper is to construct confidence intervals for the regression coefficients in high-dimensional Cox proportional hazards regression models where the number of covariates may be larger than the sample size. Our debiased…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-03-06 Yi Yu , Jelena Bradic , Richard J. Samworth

Confidence sets play a fundamental role in statistical inference. In this paper, we consider confidence intervals for high dimensional linear regression with random design. We first establish the convergence rates of the minimax expected…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-11-30 T. Tony Cai , Zijian Guo

There is a fast growing literature that set-identifies structural vector autoregressions (SVARs) by imposing sign restrictions on the responses of a subset of the endogenous variables to a particular structural shock (sign-restricted…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-02-08 Eleonora Granziera , Hyungsik Roger Moon , Frank Schorfheide

Simultaneous confidence bands (SCBs) for percentiles in linear regression are valuable tools with many applications. In this paper, we propose a novel criterion for comparing SCBs for percentiles, termed the Minimum Area Confidence Set…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-15 Lingjiao Wang , Yang Han , Wei Liu , Frank Bretz

I propose a new type of confidence interval for correct asymptotic inference after using data to select a model of interest without assuming any model is correctly specified. This hybrid confidence interval is constructed by combining…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-25 Adam McCloskey
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