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Discrete-state, continuous-time Markov models are becoming commonplace in the modelling of biochemical processes. The mathematical formulations that such models lead to are opaque, and, due to their complexity, are often considered…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2017-10-31 Christopher Lester

Likelihood-free methods, such as approximate Bayesian computation, are powerful tools for practical inference problems with intractable likelihood functions. Markov chain Monte Carlo and sequential Monte Carlo variants of approximate…

Computation · Statistics 2019-02-26 David J. Warne , Ruth E. Baker , Matthew J. Simpson

Estimating the parameters of mathematical models is a common problem in almost all branches of science. However, this problem can prove notably difficult when processes and model descriptions become increasingly complex and an explicit…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-09 Stefan T. Radev , Ulf K. Mertens , Andreas Voss , Lynton Ardizzone , Ullrich Köthe

Spatial fields in the Earth and environmental sciences are often available at multiple scales or resolutions. While coarse-scale data (e.g., from global circulation models) are often abundant, they lack the local detail provided by…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-01 Alejandro Calle-Saldarriaga , Paul F. V. Wiemann , Matthias Katzfuss

This article introduces two absolutely continuous global-local shrinkage priors to enable stochastic variable selection in the context of high-dimensional matrix exponential spatial specifications. Existing approaches as a means to dealing…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-02-06 Michael Pfarrhofer , Philipp Piribauer

We study Bayesian inference methods for solving linear inverse problems, focusing on hierarchical formulations where the prior or the likelihood function depend on unspecified hyperparameters. In practice, these hyperparameters are often…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-08-01 Qingping Zhou , Wenqing Liu , Jinglai Li , Youssef M. Marzouk

We consider the inverse problem of estimating parameters of a driven diffusion (e.g., the underlying fluid flow, diffusion coefficient, or source terms) from point measurements of a passive scalar (e.g., the concentration of a pollutant).…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-05-22 Jeff Borggaard , Nathan E. Glatt-Holtz , Justin A. Krometis

We present a data augmentation scheme to perform Markov chain Monte Carlo inference for models where data generation involves a rejection sampling algorithm. Our idea, which seems to be missing in the literature, is a simple scheme to…

Computation · Statistics 2015-08-04 Vinayak Rao , Lizhen Lin , David Dunson

Classical model reduction techniques project the governing equations onto a linear subspace of the original state space. More recent data-driven techniques use neural networks to enable nonlinear projections. Whilst those often enable…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-06-19 Tjeerd Jan Heeringa , Christoph Brune , Mengwu Guo

This paper presents a new accelerated proximal Markov chain Monte Carlo methodology to perform Bayesian inference in imaging inverse problems with an underlying convex geometry. The proposed strategy takes the form of a stochastic relaxed…

Many inverse problems focus on recovering a quantity of interest that is a priori known to exhibit either discontinuous or smooth behavior. Within the Bayesian approach to inverse problems, such structural information can be encoded using…

Computation · Statistics 2024-07-16 Angelina Senchukova , Felipe Uribe , Lassi Roininen

Mixture models provide a flexible representation of heterogeneity in a finite number of latent classes. From the Bayesian point of view, Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods provide a way to draw inferences from these models. In particular,…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-06 Carolina Valani Cavalcante , Kelly Cristina Mota Gonçalves

Bayesian models have become very popular over the last years in several fields such as signal processing, statistics, and machine learning. Bayesian inference requires the approximation of complicated integrals involving posterior…

Computation · Statistics 2021-07-20 Luca Martino , Víctor Elvira

We describe a Bayesian framework for an inverse problem arising from monitoring block caving operations via muon tomography. We work with a low dimensional surface-based representation of the geometry of the block cave, which dramatically…

Inverse scattering problems have many important applications. In this paper, given limited aperture data, we propose a Bayesian method for the inverse acoustic scattering to reconstruct the shape of an obstacle. The inverse problem is…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2019-05-30 Zhaoxiang Li , Zhiliang Deng , Jiguang Sun

We study non-linear Bayesian inverse problems arising from semilinear partial differential equations (PDEs) that can be transformed into linear Bayesian inverse problems. We are then able to extend the early stopping for Ensemble…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-22 Maia Tienstra , Gottfried Hastermann

The smoothing spline is one of the most popular curve-fitting methods, partly because of empirical evidence supporting its effectiveness and partly because of its elegant mathematical formulation. However, there are two obstacles that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-09-11 Yu Ryan Yue , Daniel Simpson , Finn Lindgren , Håvard Rue

Varying coefficient models are popular for estimating nonlinear regression functions in functional data models. Their Bayesian variants have received limited attention in large data applications, primarily due to prohibitively slow…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-03 Rajarshi Guhaniyogi , Laura Baracaldo , Sudipto Banerjee

Bayesian statistical inference for Generalized Linear Models (GLMs) with parameters lying on a constrained space is of general interest (e.g., in monotonic or convex regression), but often constructing valid prior distributions supported on…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-02 Rahul Ghosal , Sujit K. Ghosh

This paper addresses model dimensionality reduction for Bayesian inference based on prior Gaussian fields with uncertainty in the covariance function hyper-parameters. The dimensionality reduction is traditionally achieved using the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-07-19 Ihab Sraj , Olivier P. Le Maître , Omar M. Knio , Ibrahim Hoteit