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This paper offers a new class of models of the term structure of interest rates. We allow each instantaneous forward rate to be driven by a different stochastic shock, constrained in such a way as to keep the forward rate curve continuous.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 P. Santa-Clara , D. Sornette

Consider the problem of a government that wants to reduce the debt-to-GDP (gross domestic product) ratio of a country. The government aims at choosing a debt reduction policy which minimises the total expected cost of having debt, plus the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-12-29 Giorgio Ferrari

We study dynamic mechanism design in a pure-exchange economy with privately observed idiosyncratic income. In the standard infinitely lived hidden-income benchmark of Green (1987) and Thomas-Worrall (1990), constrained-efficient allocations…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-03-18 Michiko Ogaku

We obtain the first probabilistic proof of continuous differentiability of time-dependent optimal boundaries in optimal stopping problems. The underlying stochastic dynamics is a one-dimensional, time-inhomogeneous diffusion. The gain…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-28 Tiziano De Angelis , Damien Lamberton

We consider a stochastic transportation problem between two prescribed probability distributions (a source and a target) over processes with general drift dependence and with free end times. First, and in order to establish a dual…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-09-12 Samer Dweik , Nassif Ghoussoub , Young-Heon Kim , Aaron Zeff Palmer

We analyze the relative price change of assets starting from basic supply/demand considerations subject to arbitrary motivations. The resulting stochastic differential equation has coefficients that are functions of supply and demand. We…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2020-08-26 Carey Caginalp , Gunduz Caginalp

We study an optimal dividend problem under a bankruptcy constraint. Firms face a trade-off between potential bankruptcy and extraction of profits. In contrast to previous works, general cash flow drifts, including Ornstein--Uhlenbeck and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-03-05 Max Reppen , Jean-Charles Rochet , H. Mete Soner

A one-factor asset pricing model with an Ornstein--Uhlenbeck process as its state variable is studied under partial information: the mean-reverting level and the mean-reverting speed parameters are modeled as hidden/unobservable stochastic…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2014-06-18 Takashi Kato , Jun Sekine , Hiromitsu Yamamoto

We consider an insurance entity endowed with an initial capital and a surplus process modelled as a Brownian motion with drift. It is assumed that the company seeks to maximise the cumulated value of expected discounted dividends, which are…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-03-25 Julia Eisenberg , Paul Krühner

In a discrete time stochastic model of a pension investment funds market Gajek and Kaluszka(2000a) have provided a definition of the average rate of return which satisfies a set of economic correctnes postulates. In this paper the average…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-10-31 Leslaw Gajek , Marek Kaluszka

We consider a stochastic optimal control problem in a market model with temporary and permanent price impact, which is related to an expected utility maximization problem under finite fuel constraint. We establish the initial condition…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-10-13 Mourad Lazgham

We propose a class of discrete-time stochastic models for the pricing of inflation-linked assets. The paper begins with an axiomatic scheme for asset pricing and interest rate theory in a discrete-time setting. The first axiom introduces a…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Lane P. Hughston , Andrea Macrina

Motivated by applications where impatience is pervasive and evaluation times are uncertain, we study a selection model where options may expire at an unknown point in time and evaluation times are stochastic. Initially, the decision-maker…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-05 Yihua Xu , Rohan Ghuge , Sebastian Perez-Salazar

Given the observation of a high-dimensional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) process in continuous time, we proceed to the inference of the drift parameter under a row-sparsity assumption. Towards that aim, we consider the negative log-likelihood of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-07-12 Stéphane Gaïffas , Gustaw Matulewicz

We consider an insurance company modelling its surplus process by a Brownian motion with drift. Our target is to maximise the expected exponential utility of discounted dividend payments, given that the dividend rates are bounded by some…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-01-23 Julia Eisenberg , Paul Krühner

We develop a complete analysis of a general entry-exit-scrapping model. In particular, we consider an investment project that operates within a random environment and yields a payoff rate that is a function of a stochastic economic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-06-05 Mihail Zervos , Carlos Oliveira , Kate Duckworth

We consider the problem of a firm seeking to use personalized pricing to sell an exogenously given stock of a product over a finite selling horizon to different consumer types. We assume that the type of an arriving consumer can be observed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-08 Ningyuan Chen , Guillermo Gallego

We consider a stochastic differential equation involving standard and fractional Brownian motion with unknown drift parameter to be estimated. We investigate the standard maximum likelihood estimate of the drift parameter, two non-standard…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-12-13 Yuriy Kozachenko , Alexander Melnikov , Yuliya Mishura

The purpose of this work is to explore the role that arbitrage opportunities play in pricing financial derivatives. We use a non-equilibrium model to set up a stochastic portfolio, and for the random arbitrage return, we choose a stationary…

General Mathematics · Mathematics 2015-06-26 Sergei Fedotov , Stephanos Panayides

An enviromental-random effect over a deterministic population mo\-del, a resource ({\it e.g.}, a fish stock) is introduced. It is assumed that the harvest activity is concentrated at a non predetermined sequence of instants, at which the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-01 Ricardo Castro-Santis , Fernado Cordova , Walter Chambio
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