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We consider the problems of parameter estimation for several models of threshold ergodic diffusion processes in the asymptotics of large samples. These models are the direct continuous time analogues of the well-known in time series…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-03-19 Yury A. Kutoyants

Gaussian process regression underpins countless academic and industrial applications of machine learning and statistics, with maximum likelihood estimation routinely used to select appropriate parameters for the covariance kernel. However,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-26 Toni Karvonen , Chris J. Oates

We prove the asymptotic normality of the discretized maximum likelihood estimator for the drift parameter in the homogeneous ergodic diffusion model.

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-08 Kostiantyn Ralchenko

Despite the ubiquity of the Gaussian process regression model, few theoretical results are available that account for the fact that parameters of the covariance kernel typically need to be estimated from the dataset. This article provides…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-12 Toni Karvonen , George Wynne , Filip Tronarp , Chris J. Oates , Simo Särkkä

Models with multiple change points are used in many fields; however, the theoretical properties of maximum likelihood estimators of such models have received relatively little attention. The goal of this paper is to establish the asymptotic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-02-28 Heping He , Thomas A. Severini

Modern data sets in various domains often include units that were sampled non-randomly from the population and have a latent correlation structure. Here we investigate a common form of this setting, where every unit is associated with a…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-25 Omer Weissbrod , Shachar Kaufman , David Golan , Saharon Rosset

We consider parameter estimation in finite hidden state space Markov models with time-dependent inhomogeneous noise, where the inhomogeneity vanishes sufficiently fast. Based on the concept of asymptotic mean stationary processes we prove…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-02 Manuel Diehn , Axel Munk , Daniel Rudolf

For affine stochastic differential equation with uniformly distributed time delay the local asymptotic properties of the likelihood function are studied. Local asymptotic normality, local asymptotic mixed normality, periodic local…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-10 János Marcell Benke , Gyula Pap

We study nonparametric Bayesian inference for the intensity function of a covariate-driven point process. We extend recent results from the literature, showing that a wide class of Gaussian priors, combined with flexible link functions,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-27 Patric Dolmeta , Matteo Giordano

We present an approximate calculation for the distribution of the maximum of a smooth stationary temporal signal X(t). As an application, we compute the persistence exponent associated to the probability that the process remains below a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Clément Sire

This paper is devoted to the estimation of a vector $\bm {\theta}$ parametrizing an energy function of a Gibbs point process, via the maximum pseudolikelihood method. Strong consistency and asymptotic normality results of this estimator…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Jean-Michel Billiot , Jean-François Coeurjolly , Rémy Drouilhet

We present a review of some recent results on estimation of location parameter for several models of observations with cusp-type singularity at the change point. We suppose that the cusp-type models fit better to the real phenomena…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-11-13 S. Dachian , N. Kordzakhia , Yu. A. Kutoyants , A. Novikov

An autoregressive process with Markov regime is an autoregressive process for which the regression function at each time point is given by a nonobservable Markov chain. In this paper we consider the asymptotic properties of the maximum…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Randal Douc , Eric Moulines , Tobias Ryden

The change-plane Cox model is a popular tool for the subgroup analysis of survival data. Despite the rich literature on this model, there has been limited investigation into the asymptotic properties of the estimators of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-14 Shota Takeishi

For an affine two factor model, we study the asymptotic properties of the maximum likelihood and least squares estimators of some appearing parameters in the so-called subcritical (ergodic) case based on continuous time observations. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-06-17 Matyas Barczy , Leif Doering , Zenghu Li , Gyula Pap

We consider the problem of frequency estimation by observations of the periodic diffusion process possesing ergodic properties in two different situations. The first one corresponds to continuously differentiable with respect to parameter…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-30 Reinhard Höpfner , Yury A Kutoyants

We consider the problem of estimating a smooth functional of an unknown signal with discontinuity from Gaussian observations. The signal is a known function that depends on an unknown parameter. This problem is closely related to the famous…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-12-19 Farida Enikeeva

We consider the problem of parameter estimation in the case of observation of the trajectory of diffusion process. We suppose that the drift coefficient has a singularity of cusp-type and the unknown parameter corresponds to the position of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-06-19 Yury A. Kutoyants

Covariance parameter estimation of Gaussian processes is analyzed in an asymptotic framework. The spatial sampling is a randomly perturbed regular grid and its deviation from the perfect regular grid is controlled by a single scalar…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-12-09 François Bachoc

Statistical modeling for massive spatial data sets has generated a substantial literature on scalable spatial processes based upon Vecchia's approximation. Vecchia's approximation for Gaussian process models enables fast evaluation of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-12 Lu Zhang , Wenpin Tang , Sudipto Banerjee