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We consider the problem of detecting abrupt changes (i.e., large jump discontinuities) in the rate function of a point process. The rate function is assumed to be fully unknown, non-stationary, and may itself be a random process that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-16 Anna Brandenberger , Elchanan Mossel , Anirudh Sridhar

When analysing multiple time series that may be subject to changepoints, it is sometimes possible to specify a priori, by means of a graph, which pairs of time series are likely to be impacted by simultaneous changepoints. This article…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-10 Karl L. Hallgren , Nicholas A. Heard , Melissa J. M. Turcotte

We develop a mixture procedure for multi-sensor systems to monitor data streams for a change-point that causes a gradual degradation to a subset of the streams. Observations are assumed to be initially normal random variables with known…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-02-19 Yang Cao , Yao Xie , Nagi Gebraeel

Twitter updates now represent an enormous stream of information originating from a wide variety of formal and informal sources, much of which is relevant to real-world events. In this paper we adapt existing bio-surveillance algorithms to…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-04-10 Nicholas Thapen , Donal Simmie , Chris Hankin

In recent years, machine learning has been adopted to complex networks, but most existing works concern about the structural properties. To use machine learning to detect phase transitions and accurately identify the critical transition…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-01-08 Qi Ni , Ming Tang , Ying Liu , Ying-Cheng Lai

We consider the problem of detecting distributional changes in a sequence of high dimensional data. Our approach combines two separate statistics stemming from $L_p$ norms whose behavior is similar under $H_0$ but potentially different…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-12-15 B. Cooper Boniece , Lajos Horváth , Peter Jacobs

Many systems exhibit complex temporal dynamics due to the presence of different processes taking place simultaneously. An important task in such systems is to extract a simplified view of their time-dependent network of interactions.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-05-23 Alexandre Bovet , Jean-Charles Delvenne , Renaud Lambiotte

With emerging online topics as a source for numerous new events, detecting unseen / rare event types presents an elusive challenge for existing event detection methods, where only limited data access is provided for training. To address the…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-05-30 Zhenrui Yue , Huimin Zeng , Mengfei Lan , Heng Ji , Dong Wang

Identifying significant community structures in networks with incomplete data is a challenging task, as the reliability of solutions diminishes with increasing levels of missing information. However, in many empirical contexts, some…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-10-28 Nicola Pedreschi , Renaud Lambiotte , Alexandre Bovet

Online change-point detection (OCPD) is important for application in various areas such as finance, biology, and the Internet of Things (IoT). However, OCPD faces major challenges due to high-dimensionality, and it is still rarely studied…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-10 Yang-Wen Sun , Katerina Papagiannouli , Vladmir Spokoiny

Time-varying random objects have been increasingly encountered in modern data analysis. Moreover, in a substantial number of these applications, periodic behaviour of the random objects has been observed. We develop a novel procedure to…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-27 Jiazhen Xu , Andrew T. A. Wood , Tao Zou

Dynamic networks exhibit temporal patterns that vary across different time scales, all of which can potentially affect processes that take place on the network. However, most data-driven approaches used to model time-varying networks…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-12-27 Tiago P. Peixoto , Laetitia Gauvin

In this paper, I propose a general procedure for multivariate distribution-free nonparametric testing derived from the concept of ranks that are based upon measure transportation in the context of multiple change point analysis. I will use…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2021-08-30 Amanda Ng

Given a stream of graph edges from a dynamic graph, how can we assign anomaly scores to edges and subgraphs in an online manner, for the purpose of detecting unusual behavior, using constant time and memory? For example, in intrusion…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2023-07-18 Siddharth Bhatia , Mohit Wadhwa , Kenji Kawaguchi , Neil Shah , Philip S. Yu , Bryan Hooi

We develop a real-time anomaly detection algorithm for directed activity on large, sparse networks. We model the propensity for future activity using a dynamic logistic model with interaction terms for sender- and receiver-specific latent…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-01 Wesley Lee , Tyler H. McCormick , Joshua Neil , Cole Sodja , Yanran Cui

This paper proposes a method to detect change points in dynamic social networks using Fr\'echet statistics. We address two main questions: (1) what metric can quantify the distances between graph Laplacians in a dynamic network and enable…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-03-21 Rui Luo , Vikram Krishnamurthy

The increasing use of social networks generates enormous amounts of data that can be used for many types of analysis. Some of these data have temporal and geographical information, which can be used for comprehensive examination. In this…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2012-10-16 Augusto Dias Pereira dos Santos , Leandro Krug Wives , Luis Otavio Alvares

The detection of change-points in a spatially or time ordered data sequence is an important problem in many fields such as genetics and finance. We derive the asymptotic distribution of a statistic recently suggested for detecting…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-10-01 Gérard Biau , Kevin Bleakley , David Mason

Complex event processing (CEP) is widely employed to detect occurrences of predefined combinations (patterns) of events in massive data streams. As new events are accepted, they are matched using some type of evaluation structure, commonly…

Databases · Computer Science 2018-05-01 Ilya Kolchinsky , Assaf Schuster

Change point detection in high dimensional data has found considerable interest in recent years. Most of the literature either designs methodology for a retrospective analysis, where the whole sample is already available when the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-16 Josua Gösmann , Christina Stoehr , Johannes Heiny , Holger Dette