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Data represented by probability measures arise as empirical distributions, posterior distributions, and feature-based representations of complex objects. We study heterogeneity in a population of probability measures through the expected…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-17 Kisung You

To address the common problem of high dimensionality in tensor regressions, we introduce a generalized tensor random projection method that embeds high-dimensional tensor-valued covariates into low-dimensional subspaces with minimal loss of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-03 Roberto Casarin , Radu Craiu , Qing Wang

Graphical models trained using maximum likelihood are a common tool for probabilistic inference of marginal distributions. However, this approach suffers difficulties when either the inference process or the model is approximate. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-06-18 Justin Domke

We propose a general approach to construct weighted likelihood estimating equations with the aim of obtaining robust parameter estimates. We modify the standard likelihood equations by incorporating a weight that reflects the statistical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-24 Claudio Agostinelli , Ayanendranath Basu , Giulia Bertagnolli , Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla

We study how the Shannon entropy of sequences produced by an information source converges to the source's entropy rate. We synthesize several phenomenological approaches to applying information theoretic measures of randomness and memory to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 James P. Crutchfield , David P. Feldman

Information diagram and the I-measure are useful mnemonics where random variables are treated as sets, and entropy and mutual information are treated as a signed measure. Although the I-measure has been successful in machine proofs of…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2023-07-17 Cheuk Ting Li

This manuscript proposes a probabilistic framework for algorithms that iteratively solve unconstrained linear problems $Bx = b$ with positive definite $B$ for $x$. The goal is to replace the point estimates returned by existing methods with…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-10-16 Philipp Hennig

Within path sampling framework, we show that probability distribution divergences, such as the Chernoff information, can be estimated via thermodynamic integration. The Boltzmann-Gibbs distribution pertaining to different Hamiltonians is…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-10-18 Silia Vitoratou , Ioannis Ntzoufras

A stochastic algorithm is proposed, finding the set of generalized means associated to a probability measure on a compact Riemannian manifold M and a continuous cost function on the product of M by itself. Generalized means include p-means…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-05-28 Marc Arnaudon , Laurent Miclo

This paper considers the estimation of Shannon entropy for discrete distributions with countably infinite support. While minimax rates for finite-support distributions are established, infinite-support distributions present distinct…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-03 Octavio César Mesner

How to estimate heterogeneity, e.g. the effect of some variable differing across observations, is a key question in political science. Methods for doing so make simplifying assumptions about the underlying nature of the heterogeneity to…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-31 Max Goplerud

A generalized information formula related to logical probability and fuzzy set is deduced from the classical information formula. The new information measure accords with to Popper's criterion for knowledge evolution very much. In…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2007-07-25 Chenguang Lu

We introduce and discuss the notion of monotonicity for the complexity measures of general probability distributions, patterned after the resource theory of quantum entanglement. Then, we explore whether this property is satisfied by the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-01-20 Łukasz Rudnicki , Irene V. Toranzo , Pablo Sanchez-Moreno , Jesus S. Dehesa

We present estimators for entropy and other functions of a discrete probability distribution when the data is a finite sample drawn from that probability distribution. In particular, for the case when the probability distribution is a joint…

comp-gas · Physics 2008-02-03 David H. Wolpert , David R. Wolf

We propose probabilistic Shapley inference (PSI), a novel probabilistic framework to model and infer sufficient statistics of feature attributions in flexible predictive models, via latent random variables whose mean recovers Shapley…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-09 Mert Ketenci , Iñigo Urteaga , Victor Alfonso Rodriguez , Noémie Elhadad , Adler Perotte

Irreversibility is commonly quantified by entropy production. An external observer can estimate it through measuring an observable that is antisymmetric under time-reversal like a current. We introduce a general framework that, inter alia,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-07-05 Jann van der Meer , Julius Degünther , Udo Seifert

A general framework with a series of different methods is proposed to improve the estimate of convex function (or functional) values when only noisy observations of the true input are available. Technically, our methods catch the bias…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-15 Chao Ma , Lexing Ying

Shannon entropy, a cornerstone of information theory, statistical physics and inference methods, is uniquely identified by the Shannon-Khinchin or Shore-Johnson axioms. Generalizations of Shannon entropy, motivated by the study of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2026-04-20 Andrea Somazzi , Diego Garlaschelli

A well-interpretable measure of information has been recently proposed based on a partition obtained by intersecting a random sequence with its moving average. The partition yields disjoint sets of the sequence, which are then ranked…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-08-01 Linda Ponta , Anna Carbone

This paper introduces a novel concept of interval probability measures that enables the representation of imprecise probabilities, or uncertainty, in a natural and coherent manner. Within an algebra of sets, we introduce a notion of weak…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-06 Marcello Basili , Luca Pratelli