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Many defensive measures in cyber security are still dominated by heuristics, catalogs of standard procedures, and best practices. Considering the case of data backup strategies, we aim towards mathematically modeling the underlying threat…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2021-02-15 Pascal Debus , Nicolas Müller , Konstantin Böttinger

The main focus of this work is on developing models for the activity profile of a terrorist group, detecting sudden spurts and downfalls in this profile, and, in general, tracking it over a period of time. Toward this goal, a $d$-state…

Applications · Statistics 2014-01-16 Vasanthan Raghavan , Aram Galstyan , Alexander G. Tartakovsky

Adversarial dynamics are a critical facet within the cyber security domain, in which there exists a co-evolution between attackers and defenders in any given threat scenario. While defenders leverage capabilities to minimize the potential…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2014-08-19 Michael L. Winterrose , Kevin M. Carter

Cybercriminals are rapidly developing new malicious tools that leverage artificial intelligence (AI) to enable new classes of adaptive and stealthy attacks. New defensive methods need to be developed to counter these threats. Some…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2021-04-21 Neil Dhir , Henrique Hoeltgebaum , Niall Adams , Mark Briers , Anthony Burke , Paul Jones

Cybersecurity defense involves interactions between adversarial parties (namely defenders and hackers), making multi-agent reinforcement learning (MARL) an ideal approach for modeling and learning strategies for these scenarios. This paper…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2025-09-03 Qintong Xie , Edward Koh , Xavier Cadet , Peter Chin

Nowadays, companies are highly exposed to cyber security threats. In many industrial domains, protective measures are being deployed and actively supported by standards. However the global process remains largely dependent on document…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2024-09-13 Christophe Ponsard

In stochastic dynamic environments, team Markov games have emerged as a versatile paradigm for studying sequential decision-making problems of fully cooperative multi-agent systems. However, the optimality of the derived policies is usually…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-05-03 Feng Huang , Ming Cao , Long Wang

In the evolving digital landscape, it is crucial to study the dynamics of cyberattacks and defences. This study uses an Evolutionary Game Theory (EGT) framework to investigate the evolutionary dynamics of attacks and defences in cyberspace.…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-05-27 Adeela Bashir , Zia Ush Shamszaman , Zhao Song , The Anh Han

Active learning algorithms have been an integral part of recent advances in artificial intelligence. However, the research in the field is widely varying and lacks an overall organizing leans. We outline a Markovian formalism for the field…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-16 Sid Ijju

The power grid is a critical infrastructure essential for public safety and welfare. As its reliance on digital technologies grows, so do its vulnerabilities to sophisticated cyber threats, which could severely disrupt operations. Effective…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2024-12-10 Omer Sen , Bozhidar Ivanov , Christian Kloos , Christoph Zol_ , Philipp Lutat , Martin Henze , Andreas Ulbig

The dynamics of protection processes has been a fundamental challenge in systemic risk analysis. The conceptual principle and methodological techniques behind the mechanisms involved [in such dynamics] have been harder to grasp than…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-07-29 Chulwook Park

This article considers the design and analysis of multiple moving target defenses for recognizing and isolating attacks on cyber-physical systems. We consider attackers who perform integrity attacks on a set of sensors and actuators in a…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2020-08-21 Paul Griffioen , Sean Weerakkody , Bruno Sinopoli

Mean-field models are a popular tool in a variety of fields. They provide an understanding of the impact of interactions among a large number of particles or people or other "self-interested agents", and are an increasingly popular tool in…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-04-18 Ana Bušić , Sean Meyn

Phasor measurement units (PMUs) can be effectively utilized for the monitoring and control of the power grid. As the cyber-world becomes increasingly embedded into power grids, the risks of this inevitable evolution become serious. In this…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-05-23 Ahmad F. Taha , Junjian Qi , Jianhui Wang , Jitesh H. Panchal

Development of autonomous cyber system defense strategies and action recommendations in the real-world is challenging, and includes characterizing system state uncertainties and attack-defense dynamics. We propose a data-driven deep…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-06 Ashutosh Dutta , Samrat Chatterjee , Arnab Bhattacharya , Mahantesh Halappanavar

Cyber-physical systems are at the intersection of digital technology and engineering domains, rendering them high-value targets of sophisticated and well-funded cybersecurity threat actors. Prominent cybersecurity attacks on CPS have…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2026-04-23 Shaofei Huang , Christopher M. Poskitt , Lwin Khin Shar

We model a vehicle equipped with an autonomous cyber-defense system in addition to its inherent physical resilience features. When attacked, this ensemble of cyber-physical features (i.e., ``bonware'') strives to resist and recover from the…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2023-02-20 Michael J. Weisman , Alexander Kott , Joachim Vandekerckhove

Active Malware Analysis involves modeling malware behavior by executing actions to trigger responses and explore multiple execution paths. One of the aims is making the action selection more efficient. This paper treats Active Malware…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2022-12-12 Abhilash Hota , Jurgen Schonwalder

Numerous security metrics have been proposed in the past for protecting computer networks. However we still lack effective techniques to accurately measure the predictive security risk of an enterprise taking into account the dynamic…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2015-01-09 Subil Abraham , Suku Nair

There has been considerable and growing interest in applying machine learning for cyber defenses. One promising approach has been to apply natural language processing techniques to analyze logs data for suspicious behavior. A natural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-30 Kai Steverson , Jonathan Mullin , Metin Ahiskali