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Tuning parameters in model predictive control (MPC) presents significant challenges, particularly when there is a notable discrepancy between the controller's predictions and the actual behavior of the closed-loop plant. This mismatch may…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-11 Sebastian Hirt , Andreas Höhl , Joachim Schaeffer , Johannes Pohlodek , Richard D. Braatz , Rolf Findeisen

Bayesian model selection poses two main challenges: the specification of parameter priors for all models, and the computation of the resulting Bayes factors between models. There is now a large literature on automatic and objective…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-08-11 Leonhard Held , Daniel Sabanés Bové , Isaac Gravestock

Skew normal mixture models provide a more flexible framework than the popular normal mixtures for modelling heterogeneous data with asymmetric behaviors. Due to the unboundedness of likelihood function and the divergency of shape…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-08-05 Libin Jin , Wangli Xu , Liping Zhu , Lixing Zhu

The accuracy and precision of high-energy spallation models are key issues for the design and development of new applications and experiments. We present a method to estimate model parameters and associated uncertainties by leveraging the…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2024-06-28 Jason Hirtz , Jean-Christophe David , Joseph Cugnon , Ingo Leya , José Luís Rodríguez-Sánchez , Georg Schnabel

From a practical perspective, proposals are one of the main bottleneck for any Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm. This paper suggests a novel data driven or informed proposal for reversible jump MCMC for Bayesian variable selection…

Applications · Statistics 2025-01-14 Djidenou Montcho , Daiane Zuanetti , Thierry Chekouo , Luis Milan

We deal with Bayesian inference for Beta autoregressive processes. We restrict our attention to the class of conditionally linear processes. These processes are particularly suitable for forecasting purposes, but are difficult to estimate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-08-03 R. Casarin , L. Dalla Valle , F. Leisen

In scientific machine learning, regression networks have been recently applied to approximate solution maps (e.g., potential-ground state map of Schr\"odinger equation). In this paper, we aim to reduce the generalization error without…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-02-16 Zhihan Li , Yuwei Fan , Lexing Ying

Exponential random graph models are extremely difficult models to handle from a statistical viewpoint, since their normalising constant, which depends on model parameters, is available only in very trivial cases. We show how inference can…

Applications · Statistics 2010-09-30 Alberto Caimo , Nial Friel

Bayesian classification and regression with high order interactions is largely infeasible because Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) would need to be applied with a great many parameters, whose number increases rapidly with the order. In this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-04-28 Longhai Li , Radford M. Neal

Optimization of hyper-parameters in reinforcement learning (RL) algorithms is a key task, because they determine how the agent will learn its policy by interacting with its environment, and thus what data is gathered. In this work, an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-19 Juan Cruz Barsce , Jorge A. Palombarini , Ernesto Martínez

In this paper, we propose a novel method to select significant variables and estimate the corresponding coefficients in multiple-index models with a group structure. All existing approaches for single-index models cannot be extended…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-04-13 Tao Wang , Peirong Xu , Lixing Zhu

Parameter ensembles or sets of random effects constitute one of the cornerstones of modern statistical practice. This is especially the case in Bayesian hierarchical models, where several decision theoretic frameworks can be deployed. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-19 Cedric E. Ginestet

Regularized models are often sensitive to the scales of the features in the data and it has therefore become standard practice to normalize (center and scale) the features before fitting the model. But there are many different ways to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-04 Johan Larsson , Jonas Wallin

Most estimates for penalised linear regression can be viewed as posterior modes for an appropriate choice of prior distribution. Bayesian shrinkage methods, particularly the horseshoe estimator, have recently attracted a great deal of…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-06 Zemei Xu , Daniel F. Schmidt , Enes Makalic , Guoqi Qian , John L. Hopper

Translating machine learning algorithms into clinical applications requires addressing challenges related to interpretability, such as accounting for the effect of confounding variables (or metadata). Confounding variables affect the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-12 Anthony Vento , Qingyu Zhao , Robert Paul , Kilian M. Pohl , Ehsan Adeli

Modern epidemiological analytics increasingly use machine learning models that offer strong prediction but often lack calibrated uncertainty. Bayesian methods provide principled uncertainty quantification, yet are viewed as difficult to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-18 Debashis Chatterjee

We consider a PAC-Bayes type learning rule for binary classification, balancing the training error of a randomized ''posterior'' predictor with its KL divergence to a pre-specified ''prior''. This can be seen as an extension of a modified…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-25 Xiaohan Zhu , Mesrob I. Ohannessian , Nathan Srebro

Learning multiple tasks sequentially requires neural networks to balance retaining knowledge, yet being flexible enough to adapt to new tasks. Regularizing network parameters is a common approach, but it rarely incorporates prior knowledge…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-22 Joanna Sliwa , Frank Schneider , Nathanael Bosch , Agustinus Kristiadi , Philipp Hennig

This paper presents a detailed theoretical analysis of the three stochastic approximation proximal gradient algorithms proposed in our companion paper [49] to set regularization parameters by marginal maximum likelihood estimation. We prove…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-08-14 Valentin De Bortoli , Alain Durmus , Ana F. Vidal , Marcelo Pereyra

Optimization problems with norm-bounding constraints arise in a variety of applications, including portfolio optimization, machine learning, and feature selection. A common approach to these problems involves relaxing the norm constraint…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-08 Danial Davarnia , Mohammadreza Kiaghadi
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