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The rapid growth of earth observation systems calls for a scalable approach to interpolate remote-sensing observations. These methods in principle, should acquire more information about the observed field as data grows. Gaussian processes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-17 Weibin Chen , Azhir Mahmood , Michel Tsamados , So Takao

We introduce a general framework for large-scale model-based derivative-free optimization based on iterative minimization within random subspaces. We present a probabilistic worst-case complexity analysis for our method, where in particular…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-02-25 Coralia Cartis , Lindon Roberts

The Gaussian process (GP) is a widely used probabilistic machine learning method with implicit uncertainty characterization for stochastic function approximation, stochastic modeling, and analyzing real-world measurements of nonlinear…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-14 Mark D. Risser , Marcus M. Noack , Hengrui Luo , Ronald Pandolfi

Bayesian inference for spatial point patterns is often hindered computationally by intractable likelihoods. In the frequentist literature, estimating equations utilizing pseudolikelihoods have long been used for simulation-free parameter…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-24 Kevin M. Collins , Erin M. Schliep

We consider the problem of estimating the inverse covariance matrix by maximizing the likelihood function with a penalty added to encourage the sparsity of the resulting matrix. We propose a new approach based on the split Bregman method to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-03-17 Gui-Bo Ye , Jian-Feng Cai , Xiaohui Xie

We put forward a new Bayesian modeling strategy for spatiotemporal count data that enables efficient posterior sampling. Most previous models for such data decompose logarithms of the response Poisson rates into fixed effects and spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-29 Yifan Cheng , Cheng Li

We investigate methods for parameter learning from incomplete data that is not missing at random. Likelihood-based methods then require the optimization of a profile likelihood that takes all possible missingness mechanisms into account.…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-07-02 Manfred Jaeger

Gaussian processes (GPs) are widely used in nonparametric regression, classification and spatio-temporal modeling, motivated in part by a rich literature on theoretical properties. However, a well known drawback of GPs that limits their use…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-06-29 Anjishnu Banerjee , David Dunson , Surya Tokdar

Parametric inference for spatial max-stable processes is difficult since the related likelihoods are unavailable. A composite likelihood approach based on the bivariate distribution of block maxima has been recently proposed in the…

Applications · Statistics 2012-05-08 Jean-Noel Bacro , Carlo Gaetan

We consider the problem of estimation of a covariance matrix for Gaussian data in a high dimensional setting. Existing approaches include maximum likelihood estimation under a pre-specified sparsity pattern, l_1-penalized loglikelihood…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-04 Luca Cibinel , Alberto Roverato , Veronica Vinciotti

Gaussian process regression underpins countless academic and industrial applications of machine learning and statistics, with maximum likelihood estimation routinely used to select appropriate parameters for the covariance kernel. However,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-26 Toni Karvonen , Chris J. Oates

Gaussian processes (GPs) are a ubiquitous tool for geostatistical modeling with high levels of flexibility and interpretability, and the ability to make predictions at unseen spatial locations through a process called Kriging. Estimation of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-12 Brandon R. Feng , Reetam Majumder , Brian J. Reich , Mohamed A. Abba

Template histograms are the foundation of statistical inference at the Large Hadron Collider. The HistFactory likelihood encodes template uncertainty through per-bin Barlow-Beeston gamma factors for Monte Carlo statistical error and through…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2026-05-20 Vincent Alexander Croft

Gaussian Process Factor Analysis (GPFA) has been broadly applied to the problem of identifying smooth, low-dimensional temporal structure underlying large-scale neural recordings. However, spike trains are non-Gaussian, which motivates…

This paper introduces a new method for performing computational inference on log-Gaussian Cox processes. The likelihood is approximated directly by making novel use of a continuously specified Gaussian random field. We show that for…

Computation · Statistics 2015-11-02 Daniel Simpson , Janine Illian , Finn Lindgren , Sigrunn Sørbye , Håvard Rue

We investigate the problem of noise bias in maximum likelihood and maximum a posteriori estimators for cosmic shear. We derive the leading and next-to-leading order biases and compute them in the context of galaxy ellipticity measurements,…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2017-03-23 Alex Hall , Andy Taylor

Gaussian Process (GP) models provide a flexible framework for prediction and uncertainty quantification. For most covariance functions, however, exact GP prediction with $n$ points scales as $\mathcal{O}(n^3)$, making it prohibitively…

Computation · Statistics 2026-05-29 Samanyu Arora , Christopher J. Geoga

We propose a framework for computing, optimizing and integrating with respect to a smooth marginal likelihood in statistical models that involve high-dimensional parameters/latent variables and continuous low-dimensional hyperparameters.…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-10 Omiros Papaspiliopoulos , Timothée Stumpf-Fétizon , Jonathan Weare

Margin-based structured prediction commonly uses a maximum loss over all possible structured outputs \cite{Altun03,Collins04b,Taskar03}. In natural language processing, recent work \cite{Zhang14,Zhang15} has proposed the use of the maximum…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-11-16 Jean Honorio , Tommi Jaakkola

We review Quasi Maximum Likelihood estimation of factor models for high-dimensional panels of time series. We consider two cases: (1) estimation when no dynamic model for the factors is specified (Bai and Li, 2012, 2016); (2) estimation…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-10-08 Matteo Barigozzi