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Gaussian processes are the gold standard for many real-world modeling problems, especially in cases where a model's success hinges upon its ability to faithfully represent predictive uncertainty. These problems typically exist as parts of…

Equality-constrained models naturally arise in problems in which measurements are taken at different levels of resolution. The challenge in this setting is that the models usually induce a joint distribution which is intractable. Resorting…

Computation · Statistics 2025-04-28 Shenggang Hu , Hongsheng Dai , Fanlin Meng , Louis Aslett , Murray Pollock , Gareth O. Roberts

Driven by several successful applications such as in stochastic gradient descent or in Bayesian computation, control variates have become a major tool for Monte Carlo integration. However, standard methods do not allow the distribution of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-06 Rémi Leluc , François Portier , Johan Segers , Aigerim Zhuman

We propose a Monte Carlo algorithm to sample from high dimensional probability distributions that combines Markov chain Monte Carlo and importance sampling. We provide a careful theoretical analysis, including guarantees on robustness to…

Computation · Statistics 2019-09-18 Giacomo Zanella , Gareth Roberts

Importance sampling is a rare event simulation technique used in Monte Carlo simulations to bias the sampling distribution towards the rare event of interest. By assigning appropriate weights to sampled points, importance sampling allows…

Monte Carlo (MC) integration is an important calculational technique in the physical sciences. Practical considerations require that the calculations are performed as accurately as possible for a given set of computational resources. To…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2024-11-08 Prasanth Shyamsundar , Jacob L. Scott , Stephen Mrenna , Konstantin T. Matchev , Kyoungchul Kong

Monte Carlo simulations of systems with a complex action are known to be extremely difficult. A new approach to this problem based on a factorization property of distribution functions of observables has been proposed recently. The method…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2010-02-03 J. Ambjorn , K. N. Anagnostopoulos , J. Nishimura , J. J. M. Verbaarschot

Quasi-Monte Carlo methods have become the industry standard in computer graphics. For that purpose, efficient algorithms for low discrepancy sequences are discussed. In addition, numerical pitfalls encountered in practice are revealed. We…

Graphics · Computer Science 2023-07-31 Alexander Keller , Carsten Wächter , Nikolaus Binder

We propose a method for Monte Carlo simulations of systems with a complex action. The method has the advantages of being in principle applicable to any such system and provides a solution to the overlap problem. We apply it in random matrix…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2017-08-23 Jan Ambjorn , Konstantinos N. Anagnostopoulos , Jun Nishimura , Jacobus J. M. Verbaarschot

Importance sampling is a promising variance reduction technique for Monte Carlo simulation based derivative pricing. Existing importance sampling methods are based on a parametric choice of the proposal. This article proposes an algorithm…

Applications · Statistics 2009-04-14 Jan C. Neddermeyer

Adaptive importance sampling is a class of techniques for finding good proposal distributions for importance sampling. Often the proposal distributions are standard probability distributions whose parameters are adapted based on the…

Computation · Statistics 2021-03-10 Topi Paananen , Juho Piironen , Paul-Christian Bürkner , Aki Vehtari

Classical algorithms in numerical analysis for numerical integration (quadrature/cubature) follow the principle of approximate and integrate: the integrand is approximated by a simple function (e.g. a polynomial), which is then integrated…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-06-15 Yuji Nakatsukasa

The advances in materials and biological sciences have necessitated the use of molecular simulations to study polymers. The Markov chain Monte Carlo simulations enable the sampling of relevant microstates of polymeric systems by traversing…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2023-07-24 Monika Angwani , Tushar Mahendrakar , Kaustubh Rane

Astronomers are often confronted with funky populations and distributions of objects: brighter objects are more likely to be detected; targets are selected based on colour cuts; imperfect classification yields impure samples. Failing to…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2017-06-21 Samuel R. Hinton , Alex Kim , Tamara M. Davis

In the last decade, sequential Monte-Carlo methods (SMC) emerged as a key tool in computational statistics. These algorithms approximate a sequence of distributions by a sequence of weighted empirical measures associated to a weighted…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 R. Douc , France E. Moulines

An open source software package for simulating thermal neutron propagation in geometry is presented. In this system, neutron propagation can be treated by either the particle transport method or the ray-tracing method. Supported by an…

Computational Physics · Physics 2023-12-05 Zi-Yi Pan , Ni Yang , Ming Tang , Peixun Shen , Xiao-Xiao Cai

A Monte Carlo model was used to study the scattering error of an absorption meter with a divergent light beam and a limited acceptance angle of the receiver. Reflections at both ends of the tube were taken into account. Calculations of the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2009-11-06 Jacek Piskozub , Piotr J. Flatau , J. V. R. Zaneveld

This paper proposes a new importance sampling (IS) that is tailored to quasi-Monte Carlo (QMC) integration over $\mathbb{R}^s$. IS introduces a multiplicative adjustment to the integrand by compensating the sampling from the proposal…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-09-19 Zexin Pan , Du Ouyang , Zhijian He

We present an algorithm for rigid body diffusion Monte Carlo with importance sampling, which is based on a rigorous short-time expansion of the Green's function for rotational motion in three dimensions. We show that this short-time…

Computational Physics · Physics 2009-11-07 Alexandra Viel , Mehul V. Patel , Parhat Niyaz , K. Birgitta Whaley

Composite likelihood provides approximate inference when the full likelihood is intractable and sub-likelihood functions of marginal events can be evaluated relatively easily. It has been successfully applied for many complex models.…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-05 Wentao Li , Rosabeth White , Dennis Prangle