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The Markov modulated (switching) state space is an important model paradigm in applied statistics. In this article, we specifically consider Markov modulated nonlinear state-space models and address the online Bayesian inference problem for…

Computation · Statistics 2013-11-27 Saikat Saha , Gustaf Hendeby

We introduce the minimal maximally predictive models ({\epsilon}-machines) of processes generated by certain hidden semi-Markov models. Their causal states are either hybrid discrete-continuous or continuous random variables and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-05-24 Sarah E. Marzen , James P. Crutchfield

We develop a practical approach to establish the stability, that is, the recurrence in a given set, of a large class of controlled Markov chains. These processes arise in various areas of applied science and encompass important numerical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-02-02 Christophe Andrieu , Vladislav B. Tadić , Matti Vihola

The paper discusses a family of Markov processes that represent many particle systems, and their limiting behaviour when the number of particles go to infinity. The first part concerns model of biological systems: a model for sympatric…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-04-29 Bernt Wennberg

We present elliptical processes, a family of non-parametric probabilistic models that subsume Gaussian processes and Student's t processes. This generalization includes a range of new heavy-tailed behaviors while retaining computational…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-23 Maria Bånkestad , Jens Sjölund , Jalil Taghia , Thomas B. Schöon

We establish an abstract, effective, exponential large deviations type estimate for Markov systems satisfying a weaker form of mixing. We employ this result to derive such estimates, as well as a central limit theorem, for the skew product…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-07-17 Ao Cai , Pedro Duarte , Silvius Klein

We study a new model theory for formal mathematical systems that we developed in a previous paper. We introduce isomorphic and homomorphic structures for formal languages, present some results and examples and conclude our paper with a…

Logic · Mathematics 2026-05-07 Matthias Kunik

A new family of stable processes indexed by metric spaces with stationary increments are introduced. They are special cases of a new family of set-indexed stable processes with Chentsov representation. At the heart of the representation, a…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-03 Zuopeng Fu , Yizao Wang

We introduce a novel framework for causal explanations of stochastic, sequential decision-making systems built on the well-studied structural causal model paradigm for causal reasoning. This single framework can identify multiple,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-01-12 Samer B. Nashed , Saaduddin Mahmud , Claudia V. Goldman , Shlomo Zilberstein

In this paper, we present a new approach to the semantic enrichment of mathematical expression problem. Our approach is a combination of statistical machine translation and disambiguation which makes use of surrounding text of the…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2013-06-03 Minh-Quoc Nghiem , Giovanni Yoko Kristianto , Goran Topic , Akiko Aizawa

We provide a full characterization of the set of value functions of Markov decision processes.

Probability · Mathematics 2015-11-10 Ehud Lehrer , Eilon Solan , Omri N. Solan

We prove that a wide class of models of Markov neighbor-dependent substitution processes on the integer line is solvable. This class contains some models of nucleotide substitutions recently introduced and studied empirically by molecular…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Jean Bérard , Jean-Baptiste Gouéré , Didier Piau

Substitute relationships are fundamental to people's daily lives across various domains. This study aims to comprehend and predict substitute relationships among products in diverse fields, extensively analyzing the application of machine…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2024-04-16 Anxin Yang , Zhijuan Du , Tao Sun

In a physical system, changing parameters such as temperature can induce a phase transition: an abrupt change from one state of matter to another. Analogous phenomena have recently been observed in large language models. Typically, the task…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-28 Julian Arnold , Flemming Holtorf , Frank Schäfer , Niels Lörch

Normalizing flows, diffusion normalizing flows and variational autoencoders are powerful generative models. This chapter provides a unified framework to handle these approaches via Markov chains. We consider stochastic normalizing flows as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-06 Paul Hagemann , Johannes Hertrich , Gabriele Steidl

We propose a latent topic model with a Markovian transition for process data, which consist of time-stamped events recorded in a log file. Such data are becoming more widely available in computer-based educational assessment with complex…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-11-06 Haochen Xu , Guanhua Fang , Zhiliang Ying

We provide a systematic study of the notion of duality of Markov processes with respect to a function. We discuss the relation of this notion with duality with respect to a measure as studied in Markov process theory and potential theory…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-02-18 Sabine Jansen , Noemi Kurt

Master equations are of fundamental importance in modeling stochastic dynamical systems.However, solving master equations is challenging due to the exponential increase in the number of possible states or trajectories with the dimension of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-27 Chuanbo Liu , Jin Wang

This work is a continuation of [Kalikaeva, MPRF, 23(2):225-240]. The object of study is ``Markov-up processes'' on $\mathbb Z_+$ and the moment of downcrossing a certain barrier. The processes considered in this paper differ from Markov…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-01 Diana Kalikaeva

In this paper, we propose a class of efficient, accurate, and general methods for solving state-estimation problems with equality and inequality constraints. The methods are based on recent developments in variable splitting and partially…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-12-02 Rui Gao , Filip Tronarp , Simo Särkkä