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In the paper we consider a stochastic model which called Markov Q-processes that forms a continuous-time Markov population system. Markov Q-processes are defined as stochastic Markov branching processes with trajectories continuing in the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-04-01 Azam Imomov , Zukhriddin Nazarov

We continue study of conformal testing in binary model situations. In this note we consider Markov alternatives to the null hypothesis of exchangeability. We propose two new classes of conformal test martingales; one class is statistically…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-11-04 Vladimir Vovk , Ilia Nouretdinov , Alex Gammerman

We address a class of Markov jump linear systems that are characterized by the underlying Markov process being time-inhomogeneous with a priori unknown transition probabilities. Necessary and sufficient conditions for uniform stochastic…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2014-11-24 Collin C. Lutz , Daniel J. Stilwell

Markov Population Models are a widespread formalism used to model the dynamics of complex systems, with applications in Systems Biology and many other fields. The associated Markov stochastic process in continuous time is often analyzed by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-25 Francesca Cairoli , Ginevra Carbone , Luca Bortolussi

Markov decision processes continue to gain in popularity for modeling a wide range of applications ranging from analysis of supply chains and queuing networks to cognitive science and control of autonomous vehicles. Nonetheless, they tend…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-12-07 Ali Eshragh

Monotone L\'evy processes with additive increments are defined and studied. It is shown that these processes have a natural Markov structure and their Markov transition semigroups are characterized using the monotone L\'evy-Khintchine…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-21 Uwe Franz , Naofumi Muraki

This chapter presents an introduction to Markovian modeling for the analysis of sequence data. Contrary to the deterministic approach seen in the previous sequence analysis chapters, Markovian models are probabilistic models, focusing on…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-18 Jouni Helske , Satu Helske , Mohammed Saqr , Sonsoles López-Pernas , Keefe Murphy

In this article we propose a novel method to estimate the frequency distribution of linguistic variables while controlling for statistical non-independence due to shared ancestry. Unlike previous approaches, our technique uses all available…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-03-22 Gerhard Jäger , Johannes Wahle

Understanding the fluctuations by which phenomenological evolution equations with thermodynamic structure can be enhanced is the key to a general framework of nonequilibrium statistical mechanics. These fluctuations provide an idealized…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-02-03 Hans Christian Öttinger , Mark A. Peletier , Alberto Montefusco

A powerful tool for studying long-term convergence of a Markov process to its stationary distribution is a Lyapunov function. In some sense, this is a substitute for eigenfunctions. For a stochastically ordered Markov process on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-03-01 Andrey Sarantsev

In this note, we present few examples of Piecewise Deterministic Markov Processes and their long time behavior. They share two important features: they are related to concrete models (in biology, networks, chemistry,. . .) and they are…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-24 Florent Malrieu

A group is Markov if it admits a prefix-closed regular language of unique representatives with respect to some generating set, and strongly Markov if it admits such a language of unique minimal-length representatives over every generating…

Group Theory · Mathematics 2015-10-21 Alan J. Cain , Victor Maltcev

We present an investigation of stochastic evolution in which a family of evolution equations in $L^1$ are driven by continuous-time Markov processes. These are examples of so-called piecewise deterministic Markov processes (PDMP's) on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-01 Paweł Klimasara , Michael C. Mackey , Andrzej Tomski , Marta Tyran-Kamińska

We develop a class of exponential-family point processes based on a latent social space to model the coevolution of social structure and behavior over time. Temporal dynamics are modeled as a discrete Markov process specified through…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2016-10-04 Joshua D. EmBree , Mark S. Handcock

Semi-Markov processes are Markovian processes in which the firing time of the transitions is modelled by probabilistic distributions over positive reals interpreted as the probability of firing a transition at a certain moment in time. In…

Formal Languages and Automata Theory · Computer Science 2017-12-04 Mathias Ruggaard Pedersen , Nathanaël Fijalkow , Giorgio Bacci , Kim Guldstrand Larsen , Radu Mardare

The presented work proposes a novel approach to model the citation rate. The paper begins with a brief introduction into informetrics studies and highlights drawbacks of the contemporary approaches to modeling the citation process as a…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2007-05-23 V. V. Kryssanov , F. J. Rinaldo , H. Ogawa , E. Kuleshov

We study some regularity properties in locally stationary Markov models which are fundamental for controlling the bias of nonparametric kernel estimators. In particular, we provide an alternative to the standard notion of derivative process…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-12-07 Lionel Truquet

We consider a general honest homogeneous continuous-time Markov process with restarts. The process is forced to restart from a given distribution at time moments generated by an independent Poisson process. The motivation to study such…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-06-26 Konstantin Avrachenkov , Alexei Piunovskiy , Zhang Yi

A central task in many applications is reasoning about processes that change in a continuous time. The mathematical framework of Continuous Time Markov Processes provides the basic foundations for modeling such systems. Recently, Nodelman…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-07-02 Tal El-Hay , Nir Friedman , Daphne Koller , Raz Kupferman

The paper introduces a generalization for known probabilistic models such as log-linear and graphical models, called here multiplicative models. These models, that express probabilities via product of parameters are shown to capture…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-06-18 Ydo Wexler , Christopher Meek