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Operational risk models commonly employ maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) to fit loss data to heavy-tailed distributions. Yet several desirable properties of MLE (e.g. asymptotic normality) are generally valid only for large sample-sizes,…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-08-26 Paul Larsen

For normal canonical models, and more generally a vast array of general spherically symmetric location-scale models with a residual vector, we consider estimating the (univariate) location parameter when it is lower bounded. We provide…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-07-24 Mohammad Jafari Jozani , Eric Marchand , William Strawderman

We consider Targeted Maximum Likelihood Estimation (TMLE) of weighted average treatment effects (WATEs), a class of causal estimands that reweight the covariate distribution using a specified function of the propensity score. This class…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-02 Yang Liu , Patrick Lopatto , Ivana Malenica

Machine-Learned Likelihoods (MLL) combines machine-learning classification techniques with likelihood-based inference tests to estimate the experimental sensitivity of high-dimensional data sets. We extend the MLL method by including Kernel…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2023-12-18 Ernesto Arganda , Andres D. Perez , Martin de los Rios , Rosa María Sandá Seoane

We study nonparametric maximum likelihood estimation of a log-concave density function $f_0$ which is known to satisfy further constraints, where either (a) the mode $m$ of $f_0$ is known, or (b) $f_0$ is known to be symmetric about a fixed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-05-15 Charles R. Doss , Jon A. Wellner

Estimating model parameters is a crucial step in mathematical modelling and typically involves minimizing the disagreement between model predictions and experimental data. This calibration data can change throughout a study, particularly if…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2023-11-03 Tyler Cassidy

We show that the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) is an effective tool for mitigating non-flow effects in flow analysis. To this end, one constructs two toy models that simulate non-flow contributions corresponding to particle decay and…

Graphical models are a framework for representing and exploiting prior conditional independence structures within distributions using graphs. In the Gaussian case, these models are directly related to the sparsity of the inverse covariance…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-10-28 Ami Wiesel , Yonina C. Eldar , Alfred O. Hero

Maximum likelihood estimators (MLE) and control variate estimators (CVE) have been used in conjunction with known information across sketching algorithms and applications in machine learning. We prove that under certain conditions in an…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-05 Keegan Kang , Kerong Wang , Ding Zhang , Rameshwar Pratap , Bhisham Dev Verma , Benedict H. W. Wong

We study the problem of estimating a rank-1 additive deformation of a Gaussian tensor according to the \emph{maximum-likelihood estimator} (MLE). The analysis is carried out in the sparse setting, where the underlying signal has a support…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-01-26 Luca Corinzia , Paolo Penna , Wojciech Szpankowski , Joachim M. Buhmann

In this paper, we develop a novel efficient and robust nonparametric regression estimator under a framework of feedforward neural network. There are several interesting characteristics for the proposed estimator. First, the loss function is…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-25 Xuancheng Wang , Ling Zhou , Huazhen Lin

Targeted maximum likelihood estimators (TMLEs) are asymptotically optimal among regular, asymptotically linear estimators. In small samples, however, we may be far from "asymptopia" and not reap the benefits of optimality. Here we propose a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-04 Noel Pimentel , Alejandro Schuler , Mark van der Laan

In this technical note we present a targeted maximum likelihood estimator (TMLE) for a previously studied target parameter that aims to transport an average treatment effect (ATE) on a clinical outcome in a source population to what the ATE…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-14 Mark van der Laan , Susan Gruber

We consider distributed estimation of the inverse covariance matrix, also called the concentration or precision matrix, in Gaussian graphical models. Traditional centralized estimation often requires global inference of the covariance…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-06-15 Zhaoshi Meng , Dennis Wei , Ami Wiesel , Alfred O. Hero

Machine learning has emerged as a promising approach to path loss prediction, yet its effectiveness often degrades when measurement data are scarce. To address this limitation, we propose an ensemble-based machine learning framework that…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-26 Ahmed P. Mohamed , Byunghyun Lee , Yaguang Zhang , Christopher R. Anderson , David J. Love , James V. Krogmeier

A famous characterization theorem due to C.F. Gauss states that the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) of the parameter in a location family is the sample mean for all samples of all sample sizes if and only if the family is Gaussian. There…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-03-13 Mitia Duerinckx , Christophe Ley , Yvik Swan

This paper considers maximum likelihood (ML) estimation in a large class of models with hidden Markov regimes. We investigate consistency of the ML estimator and local asymptotic normality for the models under general conditions which allow…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-12-07 Demian Pouzo , Zacharias Psaradakis , Martin Sola

The problem of reducing the bias of maximum likelihood estimator in a general multivariate elliptical regression model is considered. The model is very flexible and allows the mean vector and the dispersion matrix to have parameters in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-02-01 Tatiane F. N. Melo , Silvia L. P. Ferrari , Alexandre G. Patriota

If the log likelihood is approximately quadratic with constant Hessian, then the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) is approximately normally distributed. No other assumptions are required. We do not need independent and identically…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-07-06 Charles J. Geyer

It is widely known that geographically weighted regression(GWR) is essentially same as varying-coefficient model. In the former research about varying-coefficient model, scholars tend to use multidimensional-kernel-based locally weighted…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-04-13 Zihao Yuan
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