Related papers: A Short Note on P-Value Hacking
Null hypothesis significance tests and p values are widely used despite very strong arguments against their use in many contexts. Confidence intervals are often recommended as an alternative, but these do not achieve the objective of…
This paper considers the problem of estimating a power-law degree distribution of an undirected network using sampled data. Although power-law degree distributions are ubiquitous in nature, the widely used parametric methods for estimating…
Conformal prediction is a powerful framework for distribution-free uncertainty quantification. The standard approach to conformal prediction relies on comparing the ranks of prediction scores: under exchangeability, the rank of a future…
Standard random-effects meta-analysis relies heavily on the assumption that the underlying true effects are normally distributed. In the social sciences, where evidence synthesis increasingly involves large, highly heterogeneous datasets,…
We consider the hypothesis testing problem of detecting a shift between the means of two multivariate normal distributions in the high-dimensional setting, allowing for the data dimension p to exceed the sample size n. Specifically, we…
Thanks to its favorable properties, the multivariate normal distribution is still largely employed for modeling phenomena in various scientific fields. However, when the number of components $p$ is of the same asymptotic order as the sample…
In the first part of the paper, we study the inversion statistic of random permutations under the family $(\mathbb{P}_\theta^{(n)})_{\theta \ge 0}$ of Ewens sampling distributions on $S_n$. We obtain a rather simple exact formula for the…
We introduce a new discrepancy score between two distributions that gives an indication on their similarity. While much research has been done to determine if two samples come from exactly the same distribution, much less research…
One of the main questions that arise when studying random and quasi-random structures is which properties P are such that any object that satisfies P "behaves" like a truly random one. In the context of graphs, Chung, Graham, and Wilson…
We study discounted random walks in directed graphs. In each step, the walk either terminates with a constant probability $\alpha$, or proceeds to a random out-neighbor. Our goal is to estimate the probability $\pi(s, t)$ that a discounted…
Many hashing algorithms including minwise hashing (MinHash), one permutation hashing (OPH), and consistent weighted sampling (CWS) generate integers of $B$ bits. With $k$ hashes for each data vector, the storage would be $B\times k$ bits;…
Analysis of credibility is a reverse-Bayes technique that has been proposed by Matthews (2001) to overcome some of the shortcomings of significance tests. A significant result is deemed credible if current knowledge about the effect size is…
One of the most popular class of tests for independence between two random variables is the general class of rank statistics which are invariant under permutations. This class contains Spearman's coefficient of rank correlation statistic,…
Power-law distributions occur in wide variety of physical, biological, and social phenomena. In this paper, we propose a statistical hypothesis test based on the log-likelihood ratio to assess whether two samples of discrete data are drawn…
Many genomic experiments, notably microarray experiments seeking to detect differential gene expression, involve calculating a large number of p-values. This leads to the multiple testing problem: when the number of null hypotheses is…
Let $B(n,p)$ denote a binomial random variable with parameters $n$ and $p$. Vas\v{e}k Chv\'{a}tal conjectured that for any fixed $n\geq 2$, as $m$ ranges over $\{0,\ldots,n\}$, the probability $q_m:=P(B(n,m/n)\leq m)$ is the smallest when…
How should an agent's performance in a multiagent environment be evaluated when there is a limited sample size or a high cost of running a trial? The AIVAT family of variance reduction techniques was proposed to address this challenge by…
The analysis of Tables of particle properties shows that the probability distribution of the results of physical measurements is far from the conventional Gaussian $\rho(\xi)=exp(-\xi^2/2) $, but is more likely to follow the simple…
This paper considers the problem of testing many moment inequalities, where the number of moment inequalities ($p$) is possibly larger than the sample size ($n$). Chernozhukov et al. (2019) proposed asymptotic tests for this problem using…
Clinicians and scientists have traditionally focussed on whether their findings will be replicated and are very familiar with the concept. The probability that a replication study yields an effect with the same sign, or the same statistical…