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This study evaluates the application of predictive analytics for real-time cyber-attack detection and response, focusing on how statistical and machine learning methods can improve decision-making in Security Operations Centers (SOCs).…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2025-09-03 Muhammad Danish

There have been extensive efforts in government, academia, and industry to anticipate, forecast, and mitigate cyber attacks. A common approach is time-series forecasting of cyber attacks based on data from network telescopes, honeypots, and…

In recent times we hear increasingly often about cyber attacks on various commercial and strategic sites that manage to escape any defense. In this article, we model such attacks on networks via stochastic processes and predict the time of…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-23 Jewgeni H. Dshalalow , Ryan T. White

The ability to accurately predict cyber-attacks would enable organizations to mitigate their growing threat and avert the financial losses and disruptions they cause. But how predictable are cyber-attacks? Researchers have attempted to…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2020-04-10 Nazgol Tavabi , Andrés Abeliuk , Negar Mokhberian , Jeremy Abramson , Kristina Lerman

We study the problem of detecting an attack on a stochastic cyber-physical system. We aim to treat the problem in its most general form. We start by introducing the notion of asymptotically detectable attacks, as those attacks introducing…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-03-05 Damián Marelli , Tianju Sui , Minyue Fu , Renquan Lu

Cyber attacks are growing in frequency and severity. Over the past year alone we have witnessed massive data breaches that stole personal information of millions of people and wide-scale ransomware attacks that paralyzed critical…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-06-13 Palash Goyal , KSM Tozammel Hossain , Ashok Deb , Nazgol Tavabi , Nathan Bartley , Andr'es Abeliuk , Emilio Ferrara , Kristina Lerman

Defending from cyberattacks requires practitioners to operate on high-level adversary behavior. Cyberthreat intelligence (CTI) reports on past cyberattack incidents describe the chain of malicious actions with respect to time. To avoid…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2024-01-04 Md Rayhanur Rahman , Brandon Wroblewski , Quinn Matthews , Brantley Morgan , Tim Menzies , Laurie Williams

Security metrics serve as a powerful tool for organizations to understand the effectiveness of protecting computer networks. However majority of these measurement techniques don't adequately help corporations to make informed risk…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2015-02-14 Subil Abraham , Suku Nair

Recent advances in spatial and temporal networks have enabled researchers to more-accurately describe many real-world systems such as urban transport networks. In this paper, we study the response of real-world spatio-temporal networks to…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-07-05 Matthew J. Williams , Mirco Musolesi

Cybersecurity systems are continuously producing a huge number of time-stamped events in the form of high-order tensors, such as {count; time, port, flow duration, packet size, . . . }, and so how can we detect anomalies/intrusions in real…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-04 Kota Nakamura , Koki Kawabata , Shungo Tanaka , Yasuko Matsubara , Yasushi Sakurai

Insider threats are one of today's most challenging cybersecurity issues that are not well addressed by commonly employed security solutions. Despite several scientific works published in this domain, we argue that the field can benefit…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2019-04-16 Ivan Homoliak , Flavio Toffalini , Juan Guarnizo , Yuval Elovici , Martín Ochoa

Cybersecurity of space infrastructures is an emerging topic, despite space-related cybersecurity incidents occurring as early as 1977 (i.e., hijacking of a satellite transmission signal). There is no single dataset that documents cyber…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2025-12-03 Ekzhin Ear , Jose Luis Castanon Remy , Caleb Chang , Qiren Que , Antonia Feffer , Shouhuai Xu

In recent years, cyberattacks - along with physical faults - have become an increasing factor causing system failures, especially in DER (Distributed Energy Resources) systems. In addition, according to the literature, a number of faults…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2026-01-08 Mohammad Shamim Ahsan , Haizhou Wang , Venkateswara Reddy Motakatla , Minghui Zhu , Peng Liu

If cyber incidents are predicted a reasonable amount of time before they occur, defensive actions to prevent their destructive effects could be planned. Unfortunately, most of the time we do not have enough observables of the malicious…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2018-03-28 Ahmet Okutan , Shanchieh Jay Yang , Katie McConky

This study unveils the elusive presence of criminal signatures in cyberspace, validating for the first time their existence through statistical evidence. By applying the A priori algorithm to the modus operandi of Advanced Persistent…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2024-08-02 Ronan Mouchoux , François Moerman

As cyber-physical systems grow increasingly interconnected and spatially distributed, ensuring their resilience against evolving cyberattacks has become a critical priority. Spatio-Temporal Anomaly detection plays an important role in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-14 Arun Vignesh Malarkkan , Haoyue Bai , Xinyuan Wang , Anjali Kaushik , Dongjie Wang , Yanjie Fu

Understanding the properties exhibited by Spatial-temporal evolution of cyber attacks improve cyber threat intelligence. In addition, better understanding on threats patterns is a key feature for cyber threats prevention, detection, and…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2021-09-06 Othmane Cherqi , Hicham Hammouchi , Mounir Ghogho , Houda Benbrahim

Cybersecurity of space systems is an emerging topic, but there is no single dataset that documents cyber attacks against space systems that have occurred in the past. These incidents are often scattered in media reports while missing many…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2023-09-12 Ekzhin Ear , Jose L. C. Remy , Antonia Feffer , Shouhuai Xu

Data-driven understanding of cybersecurity posture is an important problem that has not been adequately explored. In this paper, we analyze some real data collected by CAIDA's network telescope during the month of March 2013. We propose to…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2016-03-25 Zhenxin Zhan , Maochao Xu , Shouhuai Xu

Cybersecurity, security monitoring of malicious events in IP traffic, is an important field largely unexplored by statisticians. Computer scientists have made significant contributions in this area using statistical anomaly detection and…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2021-08-23 Ganesh Subramaniam , Huan Chen , Ravi Varadhan , Robert Archibald
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