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Related papers: Predicting Cyber Attack Rates with Extreme Values

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Adversarial examples are considered a serious issue for safety critical applications of AI, such as finance, autonomous vehicle control and medicinal applications. Though significant work has resulted in increased robustness of systems to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-12-08 Andrey Malinin , Mark Gales

Large Language Models (LLMs), despite advanced general capabilities, still suffer from numerous safety risks, especially jailbreak attacks that bypass safety protocols. Understanding these vulnerabilities through black-box jailbreak…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2025-05-29 Yao Huang , Yitong Sun , Shouwei Ruan , Yichi Zhang , Yinpeng Dong , Xingxing Wei

Being able to predict the occurrence of extreme returns is important in financial risk management. Using the distribution of recurrence intervals---the waiting time between consecutive extremes---we show that these extreme returns are…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-02-27 Zhi-Qiang Jiang , Gang-Jin Wang , Askery Canabarro , Boris Podobnik , Chi Xie , H. Eugene Stanley , Wei-Xing Zhou

Adversarial attacks expose important vulnerabilities of deep learning models, yet little attention has been paid to settings where data arrives as a stream. In this paper, we formalize the online adversarial attack problem, emphasizing two…

In this work, we study the black-box targeted attack problem from the model discrepancy perspective. On the theoretical side, we present a generalization error bound for black-box targeted attacks, which gives a rigorous theoretical…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-12-20 Anqi Zhao , Tong Chu , Yahao Liu , Wen Li , Jingjing Li , Lixin Duan

The rapid advancement of artificial intelligence within the realm of cybersecurity raises significant security concerns. The vulnerability of deep learning models in adversarial attacks is one of the major issues. In adversarial machine…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2024-04-18 Khushnaseeb Roshan , Aasim Zafar

Why wait for zero-days when you could predict them in advance? It is possible to predict the volume of CVEs released in the NVD as much as a year in advance. This can be done within 3 percent of the actual value, and different predictive…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2020-12-08 Éireann Leverett , Matilda Rhode , Adam Wedgbury

Many machine learning models are vulnerable to adversarial examples: inputs that are specially crafted to cause a machine learning model to produce an incorrect output. Adversarial examples that affect one model often affect another model,…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2016-05-25 Nicolas Papernot , Patrick McDaniel , Ian Goodfellow

The rapid development of information technology, especially the Internet, has facilitated users with a quick and easy way to seek information. With these convenience offered by internet services, many individuals who initially invested in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-07 Novan Fauzi Al Giffary , Feri Sulianta

Deep neural networks are vulnerable to adversarial examples, which are crafted by adding small, human-imperceptible perturbations to the original images, but make the model output inaccurate predictions. Before deep neural networks are…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-01-13 Bo Yang , Kaiyong Xu , Hengjun Wang , Hengwei Zhang

The operation of power grids is becoming increasingly data-centric. While the abundance of data could improve the efficiency of the system, it poses major reliability challenges. In particular, state estimation aims to learn the behavior of…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-08-28 Ming Jin , Javad Lavaei , Somayeh Sojoudi , Ross Baldick

If cyber incidents are predicted a reasonable amount of time before they occur, defensive actions to prevent their destructive effects could be planned. Unfortunately, most of the time we do not have enough observables of the malicious…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2018-03-28 Ahmet Okutan , Shanchieh Jay Yang , Katie McConky

This paper introduces a novel approach employing extreme value theory to analyze queue lengths within a corridor controlled by adaptive controllers. We consider the maximum queue lengths of a signalized corridor consisting of nine…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-08-05 Shakib Mustavee , Pushkin Kachroo , Shaurya Agarwal

Uncertainty quantification is crucial to assess prediction quality of a machine learning model. In the case of Extreme Learning Machines (ELM), most methods proposed in the literature make strong assumptions on the data, ignore the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-04 Fabian Guignard , Federico Amato , Mikhail Kanevski

Adversarial robustness poses a critical challenge in the deployment of deep learning models for real-world applications. Traditional approaches to adversarial training and supervised detection rely on prior knowledge of attack types and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-08 Chien Cheng Chyou , Hung-Ting Su , Winston H. Hsu

An adversary who aims to steal a black-box model repeatedly queries the model via a prediction API to learn a function that approximates its decision boundary. Adversarial approximation is non-trivial because of the enormous combinations of…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2020-06-30 Abdullah Ali , Birhanu Eshete

We study automated intrusion detection in an IT infrastructure, specifically the problem of identifying the start of an attack, the type of attack, and the sequence of actions an attacker takes, based on continuous measurements from the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-23 Xiaoxuan Wang , Rolf Stadler

This study uses deep-learning models to predict city partition crime counts on specific days. It helps police enhance surveillance, gather intelligence, and proactively prevent crimes. We formulate crime count prediction as a spatiotemporal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-14 Li Mao , Wei Du , Shuo Wen , Qi Li , Tong Zhang , Wei Zhong

As deep neural networks (DNNs) have become increasingly important and popular, the robustness of DNNs is the key to the safety of both the Internet and the physical world. Unfortunately, some recent studies show that adversarial examples,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-06-18 Yifan Ding , Liqiang Wang , Huan Zhang , Jinfeng Yi , Deliang Fan , Boqing Gong

The incremental diffusion of machine learning algorithms in supporting cybersecurity is creating novel defensive opportunities but also new types of risks. Multiple researches have shown that machine learning methods are vulnerable to…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2021-06-18 Giovanni Apruzzese , Mauro Andreolini , Luca Ferretti , Mirco Marchetti , Michele Colajanni