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This work deals with a system of interacting reinforced stochastic processes, where each process $X^j=(X_{n,j})_n$ is located at a vertex $j$ of a finite weighted direct graph, and it can be interpreted as the sequence of "actions" adopted…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-10 Giacomo Aletti , Irene Crimaldi , Andrea Ghiglietti

We derive an asymptotic theory of nonparametric estimation for a time series regression model $Z_t=f(X_t)+W_t$, where \ensuremath\{X_t\} and \ensuremath\{Z_t\} are observed nonstationary processes and $\{W_t\}$ is an unobserved stationary…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Hans Arnfinn Karlsen , Terje Myklebust , Dag Tjøstheim

In the framework of the supervised learning of a real function defined on a space X , the so called Kriging method stands on a real Gaussian field defined on X. The Euclidean case is well known and has been widely studied. In this paper, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-02-14 François Bachoc , Baptiste Broto , Fabrice Gamboa , Jean-Michel Loubes

In this work we give a complete description to the asymptotic behaviors of exponential functionals of L\'evy processes and divide them into five different types according to their convergence rates. Not only their exact convergence speeds…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-09 Zenghu Li , Wei Xu

Maximum likelihood estimators for time-dependent mean functions within Gaussian processes are provided in the context of continuous observations. We find the widest possible class of mean functions for which the likelihood function can be…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-09 Mitsuki Kobayashi , Yuto Nishiwaki , Yasutaka Shimizu , Nobutoki Takaoka

We aim to develop simultaneous inference tools for the mean function of functional data from sparse to dense. First, we derive a unified Gaussian approximation to construct simultaneous confidence bands of mean functions based on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-01 Leheng Cai , Qirui Hu

Let $\{X_n: n\in \mathbb{N}\}$ be a linear process with bounded probability density function $f(x)$. We study the estimation of the quadratic functional $\int_{\mathbb{R}} f^2(x)\, dx$. With a Fourier transform on the kernel function and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-04 Hailing Sang , Yongli Sang , Fangjun Xu

The asymptotic behaviour of empirical measures has been studied extensively. In this paper, we consider empirical measures of given subordinated processes on complete (not necessarily compact) and connected Riemannian manifolds with…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-08-17 Huaiqian Li , Bingyao Wu

Moving average processes driven by exponential-tailed L\'evy noise are important extensions of their Gaussian counterparts in order to capture deviations from Gaussianity, more flexible dependence structures, and sample paths with jumps.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-08-01 Zhongwei Zhang , David Bolin , Sebastian Engelke , Raphaël Huser

This paper presents a Bayesian generative model for dependent Cox point processes, alongside an efficient inference scheme which scales as if the point processes were modelled independently. We can handle missing data naturally, infer…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-07-28 Tom Gunter , Chris Lloyd , Michael A. Osborne , Stephen J. Roberts

Traditionally, Hawkes processes are used to model time--continuous point processes with history dependence. Here we propose an extended model where the self--effects are of both excitatory and inhibitory type and follow a Gaussian Process.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-05-21 Noa Malem-Shinitski , Cesar Ojeda , Manfred Opper

Mathematical models are sometime given as functions of independent input variables and equations or inequations connecting the input variables. A probabilistic characterization of such models results in treating them as functions with…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-04-13 Matieyendou Lamboni

Let $\tau(x)$ be the first time the reflected process $Y$ of a Levy processes $X$ crosses x>0. The main aim of the paper is to investigate the asymptotic dependence of the path functionals: $Y(t) = X(t) - \inf_{0\leq s\leq t}X(s)$,…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-07-01 Aleksandar Mijatovic , Martijn Pistorius

We consider the differential entropy of probability measures absolutely continuous with respect to a given $\sigma$-finite reference measure on an arbitrary measurable space. We state the asymptotic equipartition property in this general…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-07-12 Juan Pablo Vigneaux

Let X be a second order random process indexed by a compact interval [0,T]. Assume that n independent realizations of X are observed on a fixed grid of p time points. Under mild regularity assumptions on the sample paths of X, we show the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-05-25 David Degras

Multi-output regression seeks to borrow strength and leverage commonalities across different but related outputs in order to enhance learning and prediction accuracy. A fundamental assumption is that the output/group membership labels for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-07-04 Seokhyun Chung , Raed Al Kontar , Zhenke Wu

We consider here together the inference questions and the change-point problem in Poisson autoregressions (see Tj{\o}stheim, 2012). The conditional mean (or intensity) of the process is involved as a non-linear function of it past values…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-05-09 Paul Doukhan , William Kengne

We introduce Latent Gaussian Process Regression which is a latent variable extension allowing modelling of non-stationary multi-modal processes using GPs. The approach is built on extending the input space of a regression problem with a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-09-19 Erik Bodin , Neill D. F. Campbell , Carl Henrik Ek

Consider estimation of the regression function based on a model with equidistant design and measurement errors generated from a fractional Gaussian noise process. In previous literature, this model has been heuristically linked to an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-12-02 Johannes Schmidt-Hieber

Given a sequence of real numbers, we consider its subsequences converging to possibly different limits and associate to each of them an index of convergence which depends on the density of the associated subsequences. This index turns out…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2010-10-05 Michele Campiti , Giusy Mazzone , Cristian Tacelli