Related papers: Weak limits for the largest subpopulations in Yule…
We consider a critical continuous-time branching process (a Yule process) in which the individuals independently execute symmetric $\alpha-$stable random motions on the real line starting at their birth points. Because the branching process…
We study a percolation process on the planted binary tree, where clusters freeze as soon as they become larger than some fixed parameter N. We show that as N goes to infinity, the process converges in some sense to the frozen percolation…
In this paper we study the iterated birth process of which we examine the first-passage time distributions and the hitting probabilities. Furthermore, linear birth processes, linear and sublinear death processes at Poisson times are…
We study maximal clades in random phylogenetic trees with the Yule-Harding model or, equivalently, in binary search trees. We use probabilistic methods to reprove and extend earlier results on moment asymptotics and asymptotic normality. In…
This paper studies the sample complexity of searching over multiple populations. We consider a large number of populations, each corresponding to either distribution P0 or P1. The goal of the search problem studied here is to find one…
Maximum likelihood estimators are used extensively to estimate unknown parameters of stochastic trait evolution models on phylogenetic trees. Although the MLE has been proven to converge to the true value in the independent-sample case, we…
When a group of people unknown to each other meet and familiarize among themselves, over time they form a community on a macroscopic scale. This phenomenon can be understood in the context of percolation transition (PT) of networks, which…
The Josephus problem is a well--studied elimination problem consisting in determining the position of the survivor after repeated applications of a deterministic rule removing one person at a time from a given group. A natural probabilistic…
We describe the critical behavior of weak multiplex percolation, a generalization of percolation to multiplex or interdependent networks. A node can determine its active or inactive status simply by referencing neighboring nodes. This is…
We say that a string of length $d$ occurs, in a Bernoulli sequence, if a success is followed by exactly $(d-1)$ failures before the next success. The counts of such $d$-strings are of interest, and in specific independent Bernoulli…
The controlled branching process is a generalization of the classical Bienaym\'e-Galton-Watson branching process. It is a useful model for describing the evolution of populations in which the population size at each generation needs to be…
We study two-layer belief networks of binary random variables in which the conditional probabilities Pr[childlparents] depend monotonically on weighted sums of the parents. In large networks where exact probabilistic inference is…
We investigate the asymptotic properties of permutations drawn from the Luce model, a natural probabilistic framework in which permutations are generated sequentially by sampling without replacement, with selection probabilities…
A result of Chebyshev (1864) and Hoeffding1956}, on bounding an expectation of a given function with respect to a Bernoulli convolution (also called Poisson binomial law, or law of the number of successes in independent trials) with any…
Let the random variable $Z_{n,k}$ denote the number of increasing subsequences of length $k$ in a random permutation from $S_n$, the symmetric group of permutations of $\{1,...,n\}$. We show that $Var(Z_{n,k_n})=o((EZ_{n,k_n})^2)$ as $…
In this work we study the limit distribution of an appropriately normalized cophenetic index of the pure-birth tree conditioned on $n$ contemporary tips. We show that this normalized phylogenetic balance index is a submartingale that…
The Bernoulli sieve is the infinite "balls-in-boxes" occupancy scheme with random frequencies $P_k=W_1...W_{k-1}(1-W_k)$, where $(W_k)_{k\in\mn}$ are independent copies of a random variable $W$ taking values in $(0,1)$. Assuming that the…
We show that an infinite Galton-Watson tree, conditioned on its martingale limit being smaller than $\eps$, agrees up to generation $K$ with a regular $\mu$-ary tree, where $\mu$ is the essential minimum of the offspring distribution and…
The Brownian separable permutons are a one-parameter family -- indexed by $p\in(0,1)$ -- of universal limits of random constrained permutations. We show that for each $p\in (0,1)$, there are explicit constants $1/2 < \alpha_*(p) \leq…
Heavy neutral leptons (HNLs) can explain the origin of neutrino masses and oscillations over a wide range of masses. Direct experimental probes of HNLs become unfeasible for masses significantly above the electroweak scale.Consequently, the…