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Current methods for regularization in machine learning require quite specific model assumptions (e.g. a kernel shape) that are not derived from prior knowledge about the application, but must be imposed merely to make the method work. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-11-01 Matthias Wieler

This paper suggests a framework for the learning of discretizations of expensive forward models in Bayesian inverse problems. The main idea is to incorporate the parameters governing the discretization as part of the unknown to be estimated…

Most Kalman filters for non-linear systems, such as the unscented Kalman filter, are based on Gaussian approximations. We use Poincar\'e inequalities to bound the Wasserstein distance between the true joint distribution of the prediction…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-28 Toni Karvonen , Simo Särkkä

We consider the problem of performing Bayesian inference for logistic regression using appropriate extensions of the ensemble Kalman filter. Two interacting particle systems are proposed that sample from an approximate posterior and prove…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-07-02 Diksha Bhandari , Jakiw Pidstrigach , Sebastian Reich

Gaussian mixture filters for nonlinear systems usually rely on severe approximations when calculating mixtures in the prediction and filtering step. Thus, offline approximations of noise densities by Gaussian mixture densities to reduce the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-02 Ondŕej Straka , Uwe D. Hanebeck

In this paper, we study porous media flows in heterogeneous stochastic media. We propose an efficient forward simulation technique that is tailored for variational Bayesian inversion. As a starting point, the proposed forward simulation…

Applications · Statistics 2018-02-12 Keren Yang , Nilabja Guha , Yalchin Efendiev , Bani K. Mallick

A random matrix is likely to be well conditioned, and motivated by this well known property we employ random matrix multipliers to advance some fundamental matrix computations. This includes numerical stabilization of Gaussian elimination…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2012-12-27 Victor Y. Pan , Guoliang Qian

We solve the inverse problem of deblurring a pixelized image of Jupiter using regularized deconvolution and by sample-based Bayesian inference. By efficiently sampling the marginal posterior distribution for hyperparameters, then the full…

Computation · Statistics 2016-02-24 Colin Fox , Richard A. Norton

In many contexts, there is interest in selecting the most important variables from a very large collection, commonly referred to as support recovery or variable, feature or subset selection. There is an enormous literature proposing a rich…

Computation · Statistics 2015-06-23 Willem van den Boom , Galen Reeves , David B. Dunson

We elucidate the mathematical structure of Bayesian filtering, and Bayesian inference more broadly, by applying recent work on category theoretical probability, specifically the concept of a strongly representable Markov category. We show…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-15 Nathaniel Virgo

Advances in digital sensors, digital data storage and communications have resulted in systems being capable of accumulating large collections of data. In the light of dealing with the challenges that massive data present, this work proposes…

Computation · Statistics 2015-12-09 Allan De Freitas , François Septier , Lyudmila Mihaylova

We consider the Bayesian approach to the linear Gaussian inference problem of inferring the initial condition of a linear dynamical system from noisy output measurements taken after the initial time. In practical applications, the large…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-11-29 Elizabeth Qian , Jemima M. Tabeart , Christopher Beattie , Serkan Gugercin , Jiahua Jiang , Peter R. Kramer , Akil Narayan

We introduce non-stationary Mat\'ern field priors with stochastic partial differential equations, and construct correlation length-scaling with hyperpriors. We model both the hyperprior and the Mat\'ern prior as continuous-parameter random…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-12-12 Lassi Roininen , Mark Girolami , Sari Lasanen , Markku Markkanen

The Kalman filter (KF) is used in a variety of applications for computing the posterior distribution of latent states in a state space model. The model requires a linear relationship between states and observations. Extensions to the Kalman…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-08-31 Michael C. Burkhart , David M. Brandman , Carlos E. Vargas-Irwin , Matthew T. Harrison

The Bayesian approach to inverse problems is widely used in practice to infer unknown parameters from noisy observations. In this framework, the ensemble Kalman inversion has been successfully applied for the quantification of uncertainties…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-10-15 Neil K. Chada , Claudia Schillings , Simon Weissmann

The application of Bayesian inference for the purpose of model selection is very popular nowadays. In this framework, models are compared through their marginal likelihoods, or their quotients, called Bayes factors. However, marginal…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-27 F. Llorente , L. Martino , E. Curbelo , J. Lopez-Santiago , D. Delgado

Bayesian matrix factorization (BMF) is a powerful tool for producing low-rank representations of matrices and for predicting missing values and providing confidence intervals. Scaling up the posterior inference for massive-scale matrices is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-02-28 Xiangju Qin , Paul Blomstedt , Eemeli Leppäaho , Pekka Parviainen , Samuel Kaski

The crucial step in designing a particle filter for a particular application is the choice of importance density. The optimal scheme is to use the conditional posterior density of the state, but this cannot be sampled or calculated…

Computation · Statistics 2014-08-15 Pete Bunch , Simon Godsill

Using a perturbation technique, we derive a new approximate filtering and smoothing methodology generalizing along different directions several existing approaches to robust filtering based on the score and the Hessian matrix of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-06 Giuseppe Buccheri , Giacomo Bormetti , Fulvio Corsi , Fabrizio Lillo

This article addresses the problem of efficient Bayesian inference in dynamic systems using particle methods and makes a number of contributions. First, we develop a correlated pseudo-marginal (CPM) approach for Bayesian inference in state…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-12-22 P. Choppala , D. Gunawan , J. Chen , M. -N. Tran , R. Kohn
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