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The Expectation Maximization (EM) algorithm is a versatile tool for model parameter estimation in latent data models. When processing large data sets or data stream however, EM becomes intractable since it requires the whole data set to be…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-10-18 Sylvain Le Corff , Gersende Fort

Online (also called "recursive" or "adaptive") estimation of fixed model parameters in hidden Markov models is a topic of much interest in times series modelling. In this work, we propose an online parameter estimation algorithm that…

Computation · Statistics 2011-02-16 Olivier Cappé

A delay between the occurrence and the reporting of events often has practical implications such as for the amount of capital to hold for insurance companies, or for taking preventive actions in case of infectious diseases. The accurate…

Applications · Statistics 2021-06-24 Roel Verbelen , Katrien Antonio , Gerda Claeskens , Jonas Crevecoeur

To improve the routing decisions of individual drivers and the management policies designed by traffic operators, one needs reliable estimates of travel time distributions. Since congestion caused by both recurrent patterns (e.g., rush…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-10-13 Nikki Levering , Marko Boon , Michel Mandjes

We present a system for online composite event recognition over streaming positions of commercial vehicles. Our system employs a data enrichment module, augmenting the mobility data with external information, such as weather data and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-02-19 Efthimis Tsilionis , Nikolaos Koutroumanis , Panagiotis Nikitopoulos , Christos Doulkeridis , Alexander Artikis

Understanding and predicting the duration or "return-to-normal" time of traffic incidents is important for system-level management and optimisation of road transportation networks. Increasing real-time availability of multiple data sources…

Applications · Statistics 2021-02-18 Kieran Kalair , Colm Connaughton

The authors present a cyber-physical systems study on the estimation of driver behavior in autonomous vehicles and vehicle safety systems. Extending upon previous work, the approach described is suitable for the long term estimation and…

Robotics · Computer Science 2017-01-25 Vijay Gadepally , Ashok Krishnamurthy

Real-world evaluation of perception-based planning models for robotic systems, such as autonomous vehicles, can be safely and inexpensively conducted offline, i.e. by computing model prediction error over a pre-collected validation dataset…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-11-11 Animikh Aich , Adwait Kulkarni , Eshed Ohn-Bar

Driver models are invaluable for planning in autonomous vehicles as well as validating their safety in simulation. Highly parameterized black-box driver models are very expressive, and can capture nuanced behavior. However, they usually…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-05-07 Raunak Bhattacharyya , Ransalu Senanayake , Kyle Brown , Mykel Kochenderfer

Fuel optimization of diesel and petrol vehicles within industrial fleets is critical for mitigating costs and reducing emissions. This objective is achievable by acting on fuel-related factors, such as the driving behaviour style. In this…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-07-23 Alberto Barbado , Óscar Corcho

We propose a traffic congestion estimation system based on unsupervised on-line learning algorithm. The system does not rely on background extraction or motion detection. It extracts local features inside detection regions of variable size…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2011-07-07 Ranch Y. Q. Lai

Deploying autonomous systems in safety critical settings necessitates methods to verify their safety properties. This is challenging because real-world systems may be subject to disturbances that affect their performance, but are unknown a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-02-15 Nicholas Rober , Karan Mahesh , Tyler M. Paine , Max L. Greene , Steven Lee , Sildomar T. Monteiro , Michael R. Benjamin , Jonathan P. How

In this paper we formulate the nonnegative matrix factorisation (NMF) problem as a maximum likelihood estimation problem for hidden Markov models and propose online expectation-maximisation (EM) algorithms to estimate the NMF and the other…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-01-14 Sinan Yildirim , A. Taylan Cemgil , Sumeetpal S. Singh

This thesis explores the benefits machine learning algorithms can bring to online planning and scheduling for autonomous vehicles in off-road situations. Mainly, we focus on typical problems of interest which include computing itineraries…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-08-03 Kevin Osanlou

Accurate online map matching is fundamental to vehicle navigation and the activation of intelligent driving functions. Current online map matching methods are prone to errors in complex road networks, especially in multilevel road area. To…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-05-13 Xin Bi , Zhichao Li , Yuxuan Xia , Panpan Tong , Lijuan Zhang , Yang Chen , Junsheng Fu

The paper introduces an approach to telematics devices data application in automotive insurance. We conduct a comparative analysis of different types of devices that collect information on vehicle utilization and driving style of its…

Applications · Statistics 2019-10-07 Konstantin Korishchenko , Ivan Stankevich , Nikolay Pilnik , Daria Petrova

Expectation-Maximization (EM) is a prominent approach for parameter estimation of hidden (aka latent) variable models. Given the full batch of data, EM forms an upper-bound of the negative log-likelihood of the model at each iteration and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-24 Ehsan Amid , Manfred K. Warmuth

This paper addresses the problem of predicting the energy consumption for the drivers of Battery electric vehicles (BEVs). Several external factors (e.g., weather) are shown to have huge impacts on the energy consumption of a vehicle…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-05-21 Yu-Wen Huang , Christian Prehofer , William Lindskog , Ron Puts , Pietro Mosca , Göran Kauermann

Safe and reliable autonomy solutions are a critical component of next-generation intelligent transportation systems. Autonomous vehicles in such systems must reason about complex and dynamic driving scenes in real time and anticipate the…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-07-13 Liam A. Kruse , Esen Yel , Ransalu Senanayake , Mykel J. Kochenderfer

Reliable estimation (or measurement) of vehicle states has always been an active topic of research in the automotive industry and academia. Among the vehicle states, vehicle speed has a priority due to its critical importance in traction…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-06-30 Mohammad Pirani , Ehsan Hashemi , Amir Khajepour , Baris Fidan , Bakhtiar Litkouhi , Shih-Ken Chen
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