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This study presents an ANWSER model (asset network systemic risk model) to quantify the risk of financial contagion which manifests itself in a financial crisis. The transmission of financial distress is governed by a heterogeneous bank…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-11-17 Yoshiharu Maeno , Kenji Nishiguchi , Satoshi Morinaga , Hirokazu Matsushima

Various works have already showed that common shocks and cross-country financial linkages caused the banking systems of several countries to be highly interconnected with the result that during bad times, banking crises may arise…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-04-30 Paolo Di Caro , Giuseppe Pernagallo , Antonino Damiano Rossello , Benedetto Torrisi

In this study, we propose a new multi-objective portfolio optimization with idiosyncratic and systemic risks for financial networks. The two risks are measured by the idiosyncratic variance and the network clustering coefficient derived…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-11-23 Yajie Yang , Longfeng Zhao , Lin Chen , Chao Wang , Jihui Han

The aim of this paper is to quantify and manage systemic risk caused by default contagion in the interbank market. We model the market as a random directed network, where the vertices represent financial institutions and the weighted edges…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-18 Nils Detering , Thilo Meyer-Brandis , Konstantinos Panagiotou , Daniel Ritter

Pearson correlation and mutual information based complex networks of the day-to-day returns of US S&P500 stocks between 1985 and 2015 have been constructed in order to investigate the mutual dependencies of the stocks and their nature. We…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-07-08 Alexander Haluszczynski , Ingo Laut , Heike Modest , Christoph Räth

We analyse the importance of international relations between countries on the financial stability. The contagion effect in the network is tested by implementing an epidemiological model, comprising a number of European countries and using…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-01-23 Olena Kostylenko , Helena Sofia Rodrigues , Delfim F. M. Torres

We consider a network of bank holdings, where every holding has two subsidiaries of different types. A subsidiary can trade with another holding's subsidiary of the same type. Holdings support their subsidiaries up to a certain level when…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-03-11 Maxim Bichuch , Nils Detering

It had been believed in the conventional practice that the risk of a bank going bankrupt is lessened in a straightforward manner by transferring the risk of loan defaults. But the failure of American International Group in 2008 posed a more…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-11-17 Yoshiharu Maeno , Kenji Nishiguchi , Satoshi Morinaga , Hirokazu Matsushima

The crowd panic and its contagion play non-negligible roles at the time of the stock crash, especially for China where inexperienced investors dominate the market. However, existing models rarely consider investors in networking stocks and…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-04-26 Shan Lu , Jichang Zhao , Huiwen Wang , Ruoen Ren

Financial contagion from liquidity shocks has being recently ascribed as a prominent driver of systemic risk in interbank lending markets. Building on standard compartment models used in epidemics, in this work we develop an EDB…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-05-23 Giuseppe Brandi , Riccardo Di Clemente , Giulio Cimini

Evaluation of systemic risk in networks of financial institutions in general requires information of inter-institution financial exposures. In the framework of Debt Rank algorithm, we introduce an approximate method of systemic risk…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-14 Sebastian M. Krause , Hrvoje Štefančić , Vinko Zlatić , Guido Caldarelli

The recent financial crisis of 2008 and the 2011 indebtedness of Greece highlight the importance of understanding the structure of the global financial network. In this paper we set out to analyze and characterize this network, as captured…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-19 Tilman Dette , Scott Pauls , Daniel N. Rockmore

We provide an overview of the relationship between financial networks and systemic risk. We present a taxonomy of different types of systemic risk, differentiating between direct externalities between financial organizations (e.g.,…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-12-24 Matthew O. Jackson , Agathe Pernoud

We consider a model of financial contagion in a bipartite network of assets and banks recently introduced in the literature, and we study the effect of power law distributions of degree and balance-sheet size on the stability of the system.…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-04-25 Opeoluwa Banwo , Fabio Caccioli , Paul Harrald , Francesca Medda

Realistic credit risk assessment, the estimation of losses from counterparty's failure, is central for the financial stability. Credit risk models focus on the financial conditions of borrowers and only marginally consider other risks from…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-09 Zlata Tabachová , Christian Diem , András Borsos , Csaba Burger , Stefan Thurner

The purpose of this paper is to advance the understanding of the conditions that give rise to flash crash contagion, particularly with respect to overlapping asset portfolio crowding. To this end, we designed, implemented, and assessed a…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2019-02-01 James Paulin , Anisoara Calinescu , Michael Wooldridge

The instability of historical risk factor correlations renders their use in estimating portfolio risk extremely questionable. In periods of market stress correlations of risk factors have a tendency to quickly go well beyond estimated…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2008-12-10 Vineer Bhansali , Mark B. Wise

Multilayer networks are attracting growing attention in many fields, including finance. In this paper, we develop a new tractable procedure for multilayer aggregation based on statistical validation, which we apply to investor networks.…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2018-05-30 Kęstutis Baltakys , Juho Kanniainen , Frank Emmert-Streib

The global crisis of 2008 provoked a heightened interest among scientists to study the phenomenon, its propagation and negative consequences. The process of modelling the spread of a virus is commonly used in epidemiology. Conceptually, the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-08-12 Olena Kostylenko , Helena Sofia Rodrigues , Delfim F. M. Torres

The evolution with time of the correlation structure of equity returns is studied by means of a filtered network approach investigating persistences and recurrences and their implications for risk diversification strategies. We build…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-10-22 Nicoló Musmeci , Tomaso Aste , Tiziana Di Matteo