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We discuss Bayesian inference for parameters selected using the data. First, we provide a critical analysis of the existing positions in the literature regarding the correct Bayesian approach under selection. Second, we propose two types of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-12 Daniel G. Rasines , G. Alastair Young

The population-based optimization algorithms have provided promising results in feature selection problems. However, the main challenges are high time complexity. Moreover, the interaction between features is another big challenge in FS…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2021-10-26 Motahare Namakin , Modjtaba Rouhani , Mostafa Sabzekar

We investigate Bayesian predictive inference for finite population quantities when there are unequal probabilities of selection. Only limited information about the sample design is available; i.e., only the first-order selection…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-04-10 Junheng Ma , Joe Sedransk , Balgobin Nandram , Lu Chen

Rare variants are hypothesized to be largely responsible for heritability and susceptibility to disease in humans. So rare variants association studies hold promise for understanding disease. Conversely though, the rareness of the variants…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-06 Lorenzo Masoero , Joshua Schraiber , Tamara Broderick

Conjoint analysis is a popular experimental design used to measure multidimensional preferences. Researchers examine how varying a factor of interest, while controlling for other relevant factors, influences decision-making. Currently,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-20 Dae Woong Ham , Kosuke Imai , Lucas Janson

The importance of interpretability of machine learning models has been increasing due to emerging enterprise predictive analytics, threat of data privacy, accountability of artificial intelligence in society, and so on. Piecewise linear…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-11-08 Masato Asahara , Ryohei Fujimaki

Penalized likelihood and quasi-likelihood methods dominate inference in high-dimensional linear mixed-effects models. Sampling-based Bayesian inference is less explored due to the computational bottlenecks introduced by the random effects…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-24 Sreya Sarkar , Kshitij Khare , Sanvesh Srivastava

Many model search strategies involve trading off model fit with model complexity in a penalized goodness of fit measure. Asymptotic properties for these types of procedures in settings like linear regression and ARMA time series have been…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-08-08 Jiming Jiang , J. Sunil Rao , Zhonghua Gu , Thuan Nguyen

This paper introduces a variational formulation of natural selection, paying special attention to the nature of "things" and the way that different "kinds" of "things" are individuated from - and influence - each other. We use the Bayesian…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-07-05 Karl Friston , Daniel Ari Friedman , Axel Constant , V. Bleu Knight , Thomas Parr , John O. Campbell

Within the framework of complex system design, it is often necessary to solve mixed variable optimization problems, in which the objective and constraint functions can depend simultaneously on continuous and discrete variables.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-03-10 Julien Pelamatti , Loic Brevault , Mathieu Balesdent , El-Ghazali Talbi , Yannick Guerin

Factor models are a parsimonious way to explain the dependence of variables using several latent variables. In Gaussian 1-factor and structural factor models (such as bi-factor, oblique factor) and their factor copula counterparts, factor…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-31 Xinyao Fan , Harry Joe

Much of the causal discovery literature prioritises guaranteeing the identifiability of causal direction in statistical models. For structures within a Markov equivalence class, this requires strong assumptions which may not hold in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-29 Anish Dhir , Samuel Power , Mark van der Wilk

Bayesian inference is a popular approach to calibrating uncertainties, but it can underpredict such uncertainties when model misspecification is present, impacting its reliability to inform decision making. Recently, the statistics and…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-01-09 Rebekah White , Rileigh Bandy , Teresa Portone

We develop a model-based methodology for integrating gene-set information with an experimentally-derived gene list. The methodology uses a previously reported sampling model, but takes advantage of natural constraints in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-02 Zhishi Wang , Qiuling He , Bret Larget , Michael A. Newton

We develop the necessary theory in computational algebraic geometry to place Bayesian networks into the realm of algebraic statistics. We present an algebra{statistics dictionary focused on statistical modeling. In particular, we link the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-07-19 Luis David Garcia

Design optimisation potentially leads to lightweight aircraft structures with lower environmental impact. Due to the high number of design variables and constraints, these problems are ordinarily solved using gradient-based optimisation…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-01-23 Hauke Maathuis , Roeland De Breuker , Saullo G. P. Castro

We compared Bayes factors to normalized maximum likelihood for the simple case of selecting between an order-constrained versus a full binomial model. This comparison revealed two qualitative differences in testing order constraints…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-07-01 Daniel W. Heck , Eric-Jan Wagenmakers , Richard D. Morey

This paper considers the problem of model selection within the context of finite element model updating. Given that a number of FEM updating models, with different updating parameters, can be designed, this paper proposes using the Bayesian…

Computation · Statistics 2008-10-16 Linda Mthembu , Tshilidzi Marwala , Michael I. Friswell , Sondipon Adhikari

Statistical modeling can involve a tension between assumptions and statistical identification. The law of the observable data may not uniquely determine the value of a target parameter without invoking a key assumption, and, while…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-06 Paul Gustafson

In causal inference, and specifically in the \textit{Causes of Effects} problem, one is interested in how to use statistical evidence to understand causation in an individual case, and so how to assess the so-called {\em probability of…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-23 Fabio Corradi , Monica Musio
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