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We present an empirical analysis of the network formed by the trade relationships between all world countries, or World Trade Web (WTW). Each (directed) link is weighted by the amount of wealth flowing between two countries, and each…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-02-06 D. Garlaschelli , T. Di Matteo , T. Aste , G. Caldarelli , M. I. Loffredo

The \emph{World Trade Web} (WTW), the network defined by the international import/export trade relationships, has been recently shown to display some important topological properties which are tightly related to the Gross Domestic Product…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-02-06 D. Garlaschelli , M. I. Loffredo

In recent decades, trade between nations has constituted an important component of global Gross Domestic Product (GDP), with official estimates showing that it likely accounted for a quarter of total global production. While evidence of…

General Economics · Economics 2022-11-24 Mayank Kejriwal , Yuesheng Luo

This paper employs a weighted network approach to study the empirical properties of the web of trade relationships among world countries, and its evolution over time. We show that most countries are characterized by weak trade links; yet,…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-03-21 Maddalena D'Anna , Alfredo Petrosino

The World Trade Web (WTW) is the network of international trade relationships among world countries. Characterizing both the local link weights (observed trade volumes) and the global network structure (large-scale topology) of the WTW via…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-12-23 Marzio Di Vece , Diego Garlaschelli , Tiziano Squartini

In today's era, users have increasingly high expectations regarding the performance and efficiency of communication networks. Network operators aspire to achieve efficient network planning, operation, and optimization through Digital Twin…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2024-01-02 Aijia Liu , Shiqing Liu , Xiaobing Pei

In all empirical-network studies, the observed properties of economic networks are informative only if compared with a well-defined null model that can quantitatively predict the behavior of such properties in constrained graphs. However,…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-01-14 Giorgio Fagiolo , Tiziano Squartini , Diego Garlaschelli

The combination of the network theoretic approach with recently available abundant economic data leads to the development of novel analytic and computational tools for modelling and forecasting key economic indicators. The main idea is to…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-03-05 Andreas Joseph , Irena Vodenska , Eugene Stanley , Guanrong Chen

Recent events such as the global financial crisis have renewed the interest in the topic of economic networks. One of the main channels of shock propagation among countries is the International Trade Network (ITN). Two important models for…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-02-23 Assaf Almog , Tiziano Squartini , Diego Garlaschelli

A transformation network describes how one set of resources can be transformed into another via technological processes. Transformation networks in economics are useful because they can highlight areas for future innovations, both in terms…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2011-12-21 Christopher D. Hollander , Ivan Garibay

Economic growth is often associated with diversification of economic activities. Making a product in a country is dependent on having, and acquiring, the capabilities needed to make the product, making the process path-dependent. We derive…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-09-05 Neave O'Clery , Muhammed A. Yildirim , Ricardo Hausmann

Predicting the future evolution of complex systems is one of the main challenges in complexity science. Based on a current snapshot of a network, link prediction algorithms aim to predict its future evolution. We apply here link prediction…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-11-18 Alexandre Vidmer , An Zeng , Matúš Medo , Yi-Cheng Zhang

The International Trade Network (ITN) is the network formed by trade relationships between world countries. The complex structure of the ITN impacts important economic processes such as globalization, competitiveness, and the propagation of…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-05-18 Assaf Almog , Tiziano Squartini , Diego Garlaschelli

Recent strides in economic complexity have shown that the future economic development of nations can be predicted with a single "economic fitness" variable, which captures countries' competitiveness in international trade. The predictions…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-06-03 Yucheng Ye , Shuqi Xu , Manuel Sebastian Mariani , Linyuan Lü

In self-organizing networks, topology and dynamics coevolve in a continuous feedback, without exogenous driving. The World Trade Network (WTN) is one of the few empirically well documented examples of self-organizing networks: its topology…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-01-14 Tiziano Squartini , Diego Garlaschelli

Much of the analysis of economic growth has focused on the study of aggregate output. Here, we deviate from this tradition and look instead at the structure of output embodied in the network connecting countries to the products that they…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-03-02 Ricardo Hausmann , Cesar A. Hidalgo

Economy, and consequently trade, is a fundamental part of human social organization which, until now, has not been studied within the network modelling framework. Networks are mathematical tools used in the modelling of a wide variety of…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-10 M. Angeles Serrano , Marian Boguna

GDP is a vital measure of a country's economic health, reflecting the total value of goods and services produced. Forecasting GDP growth is essential for economic planning, as it helps governments, businesses, and investors anticipate…

General Economics · Economics 2024-09-05 Huaqing Xie , Xingcheng Xu , Fangjia Yan , Xun Qian , Yanqing Yang

This paper studies the topological properties of the World Trade Web (WTW) and its evolution over time by employing a weighted network analysis. We show that the WTW, viewed as a weighted network, displays statistical features that are very…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-13 Giorgio Fagiolo , Javier Reyes , Stefano Schiavo

Economic forecasting is concerned with the estimation of some variable like gross domestic product (GDP) in the next period given a set of variables that describes the current situation or state of the economy, including industrial…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-04-08 Pedro Afonso Fernandes
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