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In this work, we present a new class of models, called uncertain-input models, that allows us to treat system-identification problems in which a linear system is subject to a partially unknown input signal. To encode prior information about…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-09-12 Riccardo Sven Risuleo , Giulio Bottegal , Håkan Hjalmarsson

Particle filters are a frequent choice for inference tasks in nonlinear and non-Gaussian state-space models. They can either be used for state inference by approximating the filtering distribution or for parameter inference by approximating…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-27 Domonkos Csuzdi , Olivér Törő , Tamás Bécsi

We propose a practical Bayesian optimization method using Gaussian process regression, of which the marginal likelihood is maximized where the number of model selection steps is guided by a pre-defined threshold. Since Bayesian optimization…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-19 Jungtaek Kim , Seungjin Choi

The ability of Gaussian processes (GPs) to predict the behavior of dynamical systems as a more sample-efficient alternative to parametric models seems promising for real-world robotics research. However, the computational complexity of GPs…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-03-01 Abdolreza Taheri , Joni Pajarinen , Reza Ghabcheloo

We present a novel and simple method to numerically calculate Fisher Information Matrices for stochastic chemical kinetics models. The linear noise approximation is used to derive model equations and a likelihood function which leads to an…

Applications · Statistics 2015-05-27 Michal Komorowski , Maria J. Costa , David A. Rand , Michael Stumpf

Sequential state estimation in non-linear and non-Gaussian state spaces has a wide range of applications in statistics and signal processing. One of the most effective non-linear filtering approaches, particle filtering, suffers from weight…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-01 Yunpeng Li , Soumyasundar Pal , Mark Coates

We introduce the probabilistic sequential matrix factorization (PSMF) method for factorizing time-varying and non-stationary datasets consisting of high-dimensional time-series. In particular, we consider nonlinear Gaussian state-space…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-19 Ömer Deniz Akyildiz , Gerrit J. J. van den Burg , Theodoros Damoulas , Mark F. J. Steel

We discuss efficient methods to optimize the metrological performance over local Hamiltonians in a bipartite quantum system. For a given quantum state, our methods find the best local Hamiltonian for which the state outperforms separable…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-05-25 Árpád Lukács , Róbert Trényi , Tamás Vértesi , Géza Tóth

We study the numerical solution of nonlinear partially observed optimal stopping problems. The system state is taken to be a multi-dimensional diffusion and drives the drift of the observation process, which is another multi-dimensional…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2010-01-20 Mike Ludkovski

Differential equations are important mechanistic models that are integral to many scientific and engineering applications. With the abundance of available data there has been a growing interest in data-driven physics-informed models.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-04 Oliver Hamelijnck , Arno Solin , Theodoros Damoulas

Nonlinear state-space identification for dynamical systems is most often performed by minimizing the simulation error to reduce the effect of model errors. This optimization problem becomes computationally expensive for large datasets.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-29 Gerben Beintema , Roland Toth , Maarten Schoukens

This paper considers the problem of state tracking with observation control for a particular class of dynamical systems. The system state evolution is described by a discrete-time, finite-state Markov chain, while the measurement process is…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2014-08-20 Daphney-Stavroula Zois , Urbashi Mitra

We implemented a gradient-based algorithm for transition state search which uses Gaussian process regression. Besides a description of the algorithm, we provide a method to find the starting point for the optimization if only the reactant…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2020-09-15 Alexander Denzel , Johannes Kästner

Nonlinear non-Gaussian state-space models are ubiquitous in statistics, econometrics, information engineering and signal processing. Particle methods, also known as Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods, provide reliable numerical…

Computation · Statistics 2015-09-11 Nikolas Kantas , Arnaud Doucet , Sumeetpal S. Singh , Jan Maciejowski , Nicolas Chopin

Data-driven Model Predictive Control (MPC), where the system model is learned from data with machine learning, has recently gained increasing interests in the control community. Gaussian Processes (GP), as a type of statistical models, are…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-10-03 Truong X. Nghiem

Gaussian process is a theoretically appealing model for nonparametric analysis, but its computational cumbersomeness hinders its use in large scale and the existing reduced-rank solutions are usually heuristic. In this work, we propose a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-11-25 Leo L. Duan , Xia Wang , Rhonda D. Szczesniak

This article discusses a partially adapted particle filter for estimating the likelihood of a nonlinear structural econometric state space models whose state transition density cannot be expressed in closed form. The filter generates the…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-09-05 Jamie Hall , Michael K. Pitt , Robert Kohn

An optimization based state and parameter estimation method is presented where the required Jacobian matrix of the cost function is computed via automatic differentiation. Automatic differentiation evaluates the programming code of the cost…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2015-07-10 Jan Schumann-Bischoff , Stefan Luther , Ulrich Parlitz

Both experimental and computational methods for the exploration of structure, functionality, and properties of materials often necessitate the search across broad parameter spaces to discover optimal experimental conditions and regions of…

Computational Physics · Physics 2021-08-31 Maxim Ziatdinov , Ayana Ghosh , Sergei V. Kalinin

This paper proposes a new class of real-time optimization schemes to overcome system-model mismatch of uncertain processes. This work's novelty lies in integrating derivative-free optimization schemes and multi-fidelity Gaussian processes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-11 Panagiotis Petsagkourakis , Benoit Chachuat , Ehecatl Antonio del Rio-Chanona
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