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Convex combinations of i.i.d. random variables without a finite mean can behave in a strikingly different way from the finite-mean case: as the weight vector becomes more balanced, the resulting combination may become stochastically larger,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-10 Tommaso Lando , Paulo Eduardo Oliveira

A "law of large numbers" for consecutive convex hulls for weakly dependent Gaussian sequences $\{X_n\}$, having the same marginal distribution, is extended to the case when the sequence $\{X_n\}$ has a weak limit. Let $\mathbb{B}$ be a…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-13 Youri Davydov , Vygantas Paulauskas

We offer a new perspective on risk aggregation with FGM copulas. Along the way, we discover new results and revisit existing ones, providing simpler formulas than one can find in the existing literature. This paper builds on two novel…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-08-01 Christopher Blier-Wong , Hélène Cossette , Etienne Marceau

De Finetti's optimal reinsurance is a set of contracts, one for each risk in a portfolio, that caps the retained aggregate variance to a pre-specified level while minimizing total expected loss. The premiums are determined using the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-03 N. D. Shyamalkumar , Tianrun Wang

Spaces of convex and concave functions appear naturally in theory and applications. For example, convex regression and log-concave density estimation are important topics in nonparametric statistics. In stochastic portfolio theory, concave…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-25 Peter Baxendale , Ting-Kam Leonard Wong

Let $C$ and $K$ be centrally symmetric convex bodies of volume $1$ in ${\mathbb R}^n$. We provide upper bounds for the multi-integral expression \begin{equation*}\|{\bf…

Metric Geometry · Mathematics 2019-06-11 Giorgos Chasapis , Apostolos Giannopoulos , Nikos Skarmogiannis

A random variable $\xi$ has a {\it light-tailed} distribution (for short: is light-tailed) if it possesses a finite exponential moment, $\E \exp (\lambda \xi) <\infty$ for some $\lambda >0$, and has a {\it heavy-tailed} distribution (is…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-09 Sergey Foss , Anton Tarasenko , Georgiy Krivtsov

In the paper, multivariate probability distributions are considered that are representable as scale mixtures of multivariate elliptically contoured stable distributions. It is demonstrated that these distributions form a special subclass of…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-05 Victor Korolev , Alexander Zeifman

We study stochastic optimization problems with chance and risk constraints, where in the latter, risk is quantified in terms of the conditional value-at-risk (CVaR). We consider the distributionally robust versions of these problems, where…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-12-17 Ashish Cherukuri , Ashish R. Hota

In distributionally robust optimization the probability distribution of the uncertain problem parameters is itself uncertain, and a fictitious adversary, e.g., nature, chooses the worst distribution from within a known ambiguity set. A…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-05-10 Etienne de Klerk , Daniel Kuhn , Krzysztof Postek

We develop improved rearrangement algorithms to find the dependence structure that minimizes a convex function of the sum of dependent variables with given margins. We propose a new multivariate dependence measure, which can assess the…

Computation · Statistics 2016-07-14 Carole Bernard , Don McLeish

In this paper, we provide extended convolution bounds for the Fr\'{e}chet problem and discuss related implications in quantitative risk management. First, we establish a new form of inequality for the Range-Value-at-Risk (RVaR). Based on…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-01 Peng Liu , Yang Liu , Houhan Teng

We introduce the concepts of max-closedness and numeraires of convex subsets in the nonnegative orthant of the topological vector space of all random variables built over a probability space, equipped with a topology consistent with…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2014-10-06 Constantinos Kardaras

Let $F$ be a finite model of cardinality $M$ and denote by $\operatorname {conv}(F)$ its convex hull. The problem of convex aggregation is to construct a procedure having a risk as close as possible to the minimal risk over $\operatorname…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-17 Guillaume Lecué

The (general) hypoexponential distribution is the distribution of a sum of independent exponential random variables. We consider the particular case when the involved exponential variables have distinct rate parameters. We prove that the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-16 George P. Yanev

Measures of association in contingency tables, such as odds ratios and their generalizations, are often studied under different sampling schemes that either fix or leave random the margins of the table. While classical results show that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-28 Rafael Bassi Stern , Ruobin Gong , Joseph B. Kadane , Mark J. Schervish , Teddy Seidenfeld

This paper proves several weak limit theorems for the joint version of extreme order statistics and partial sums of independently and identically distributed random variables. The results are also extended to almost sure limit version.

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-18 Gaoyu Li , Zhongquan Tan

This paper considers the difference of stop-loss payoffs where the underlying is a difference of two random variables. The goal is to study whether the comonotonic and countermonotonic modifications of those two random variables can be used…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-19 Hamza Hanbali , Jan Dhaene , Daniel Linders

Since risky positions in multivariate portfolios can be offset by various choices of capital requirements that depend on the exchange rules and related transaction costs, it is natural to assume that the risk measures of random vectors are…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-07-12 Ignacio Cascos , Ilya Molchanov

We study the probability distribution of the area and the number of vertices of random polygons in a convex set $K\subset\mathbb{R}^2$. The novel aspect of our approach is that it yields uniform estimates for all convex sets…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-13 John Pardon
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