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We study estimation and inference using data collected by reinforcement learning (RL) algorithms. These algorithms adaptively experiment by interacting with individual units over multiple stages, updating their strategies based on past…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-06 Vasilis Syrgkanis , Ruohan Zhan

We consider inference in models defined by approximate moment conditions. We show that near-optimal confidence intervals (CIs) can be formed by taking a generalized method of moments (GMM) estimator, and adding and subtracting the standard…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-01-15 Timothy B. Armstrong , Michal Kolesár

Anomaly detection (AD) has attracted considerable attention in both academia and industry. Due to the lack of anomalous data in many practical cases, AD is usually solved by first modeling the normal data pattern and then determining if…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-17 Jingxuan Pang , Chunguang Li

Bayesian inference for survival regression modeling offers numerous advantages, especially for decision-making and external data borrowing, but demands the specification of the baseline hazard function, which may be a challenging task. We…

We review the main results on the generalization of the DGLAP evolution equations within the cut Mellin moments (CMM) approach, which allows one to overcome the problem of kinematic constraints in Bjorken $x$. CMM obtained by multiple…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2017-08-15 D. Kotlorz , S. V. Mikhailov , O. V. Teryaev , A. Kotlorz

Cognitive diagnosis models (CDMs) are restricted latent class models widely used to measure attributes of interest in diagnostic assessments across education, psychology, biomedical sciences, and related fields. Partial-mastery CDMs…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-16 Camilo Cárdenas-Hurtado , Sze Ming Lee , Yunxiao Chen , Irini Moustaki

We propose a new estimator for the Generalised Dynamic Factor Model (GDFM) that simplifies estimation by avoiding frequency-domain methods. Our key theoretical insight shows that under reasonable conditions the dynamic common component can…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-08 Philipp Gersing

This paper provides a necessary and sufficient instruments condition assuring two-step generalized method of moments (GMM) based on the forward orthogonal deviations transformation is numerically equivalent to two-step GMM based on the…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-07-31 Robert F. Phillips

The purpose of the present paper is to establish moment estimates of Rosenthal type for a rather general class of random variables satisfying certain bounds on the cumulants. We consider sequences of random variables which satisfy a central…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-16 Peter Eichelsbacher , Lukas Knichel

Contextual optimization enhances decision quality by leveraging side information to improve predictions of uncertain parameters. However, existing approaches face significant challenges when dealing with multimodal or mixtures of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-09-19 YoungChul Yoon , Grani A. Hanasusanto , Yijie Wang

We consider a generalized method of moments framework in which a part of the data vector is missing for some units in a completely unrestricted, potentially endogenous way. In this setup, the parameters of interest are usually only…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-07 Grigory Franguridi , Hyungsik Roger Moon

We introduce a new estimator, CRE-GMM, which exploits the correlated random effects (CRE) approach within the generalised method of moments (GMM), specifically applied to level equations, GMM-lev. It has the advantage of estimating the…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-12-14 Maria Elena Bontempi , Jan Ditzen

This paper introduces a class of generalised linear models (GLMs) driven by latent processes for modelling count, real-valued, binary, and positive continuous time series. Extending earlier latent-process regression frameworks based on…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-19 Wagner Barreto-Souza , Ngai Hang Chan

Precisely estimating out-of-sample upper quantiles is very important in risk assessment and in engineering practice for structural design to prevent a greater disaster. For this purpose, the generalized extreme value (GEV) distribution has…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-24 Yonggwan Shin , Yire Shin , Jihong Park , Jeong-Soo Park

Mixture modeling is a general technique for making any simple model more expressive through weighted combination. This generality and simplicity in part explains the success of the Expectation Maximization (EM) algorithm, in which updates…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-03-29 Sida I. Wang , Arun Tejasvi Chaganty , Percy Liang

This paper studies a dynamic ordered logit model for panel data with fixed effects. The main contribution of the paper is to construct a set of valid moment conditions that are free of the fixed effects. The moment functions can be computed…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-04-10 Bo E. Honoré , Chris Muris , Martin Weidner

The Method of Moments [Pea94] is one of the most widely used methods in statistics for parameter estimation, by means of solving the system of equations that match the population and estimated moments. However, in practice and especially…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-16 Yihong Wu , Pengkun Yang

We present generalized additive latent and mixed models (GALAMMs) for analysis of clustered data with responses and latent variables depending smoothly on observed variables. A scalable maximum likelihood estimation algorithm is proposed,…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-29 Øystein Sørensen , Anders M. Fjell , Kristine B. Walhovd

Generating samples from limited information is a fundamental problem across scientific domains. Classical maximum entropy methods provide principled uncertainty quantification from moment constraints but require sampling via MCMC or…

Highly robust and efficient estimators for the generalized linear model with a dispersion parameter are proposed. The estimators are based on three steps. In the first step the maximum rank correlation estimator is used to consistently…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-29 Michael Amiguet , Alfio Marazzi , Marina Valdora , Victor Yohai
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