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Modelling extreme events and heavy-tailed phenomena is central to building reliable predictive systems in domains such as finance, climate science, and safety-critical AI. While L\'evy processes provide a natural mathematical framework for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Yaman Kindap , Manfred Opper , Benjamin Dupuis , Umut Simsekli , Tolga Birdal

This article studies the problem of estimating the state variable of non-smooth subdifferential dynamics constrained in a bounded convex domain given some real-time observation. On the one hand, we show that the value function of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-02-04 Louis-Pierre Chaintron , Laurent Mertz , Philippe Moireau , Hasnaa Zidani

We establish the exponential convergence with respect to the $L^1$-Wasserstein distance and the total variation for the semigroup corresponding to the stochastic differential equation (SDE) $$d X_t=d Z_t+b(X_t)\,d t,$$ where $(Z_t)_{t\ge0}$…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-14 Dejun Luo , Jian Wang

Gradient estimates are derived, for the first time, for the semigroup associated to a class of stochastic differential equations driven by multiplicative L\'evy noise. In particular, the estimates are sharp for $\alpha$-stable type noises.…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-28 Feng-Yu Wang , Lihu Xu , Xicheng Zhang

This paper first establishes a fundamental mean-square convergence theorem for general one-step numerical approximations of L\'{e}vy noise driven stochastic differential equations with non-globally Lipschitz coefficients. Then two novel…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-07-24 Ziheng Chen , Siqing Gan , Xiaojie Wang

This paper considers the problem of partially observed optimal control for forward stochastic systems which are driven by Brownian motions and an independent Poisson random measure with a feature that the cost functional is of mean-field…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-19 Yaozhong Hu , David Nualart , Qing Zhou

We analyze confining mechanisms for L\'{e}vy flights. When they evolve in suitable external potentials their variance may exist and show signatures of a superdiffusive transport. Two classes of stochastic jump - type processes are…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-13 Piotr Garbaczewski , Vladimir Stephanovich

The rampant phenomenon of overpopulation and the remarkable increase of human movements over the last decade have caused an aggressive re-emergence of dengue fever, which made it the subject of several research fields. In this regard,…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-05-21 Driss Kiouach , Salim El Azami El-idrissi , Yassine Sabbar

We study asymptotic properties of maximum likelihood estimators of drift parameters for a jump-type Heston model based on continuous time observations, where the jump process can be any purely non-Gaussian L\'evy process of not necessarily…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-06-08 Matyas Barczy , Mohamed Ben Alaya , Ahmed Kebaier , Gyula Pap

The paper studies asymptotic properties of estimators of multidimensional stochastic differential equations driven by Brownian motions from high-frequency discrete data. Consistency and central limit properties of a class of estimators of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-07 Arnab Ganguly

We study the stochastic transport equation with globally $\beta$-H\"older continuous and bounded vector field driven by a non-degenerate pure-jump L\'evy noise of $\alpha$-stable type. Whereas the deterministic transport equation may lack…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-22 Zdzisław Brzeźniak , Enrico Priola , Jianliang Zhai , Jiahui Zhu

A parameter estimation problem for a class of semilinear stochastic evolution equations is considered. Conditions for consistency and asymptotic normality are given in terms of growth and continuity properties of the nonlinear part.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-26 Gregor Pasemann , Wilhelm Stannat

The application of Stochastic Differential Equations (SDEs) to the analysis of temporal data has attracted increasing attention, due to their ability to describe complex dynamics with physically interpretable equations. In this paper, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-08-09 Constantino A. García , Abraham Otero , Paulo Félix , Jesús Presedo , David G. Márquez

We consider the problem of parameter estimation for a stochastic McKean-Vlasov equation, and the associated system of weakly interacting particles. We study two cases: one in which we observe multiple independent trajectories of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-28 Louis Sharrock , Nikolas Kantas , Panos Parpas , Grigorios A. Pavliotis

We consider the problem of the Bayesian inference of drift and diffusion coefficient functions in a stochastic differential equation given discrete observations of a realisation of its solution. We give conditions for the well-posedness and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-04-10 Jean-Charles Croix , Masoumeh Dashti , Istvàn Zoltàn Kiss

Combinations of neural ODEs with recurrent neural networks (RNN), like GRU-ODE-Bayes or ODE-RNN are well suited to model irregularly observed time series. While those models outperform existing discrete-time approaches, no theoretical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-05-11 Calypso Herrera , Florian Krach , Josef Teichmann

We formulate a new class of stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs), named high-order vector backward SPDEs (B-SPDEs) with jumps, which allow the high-order integral-partial differential operators into both drift and diffusion…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-05-05 Wanyang Dai

A partially observed jump diffusion $Z=(X_t,Y_t)_{t\in[0,T]}$ given by a stochastic differential equation driven by Wiener processes and Poisson martingale measures is considered when the coefficients of the equation satisfy appropriate…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-07-20 Alexander Davie , Fabian Germ , István Gyöngy

We address the problem of estimating the drift parameter in a system of $N$ interacting particles driven by additive fractional Brownian motion of Hurst index \( H \geq 1/2 \). Considering continuous observation of the interacting particles…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-12 Chiara Amorino , Ivan Nourdin , Radomyra Shevchenko

We propose new jump-adapted weak approximation schemes for stochastic differential equations driven by pure-jump L\'evy processes. The idea is to replace the driving L\'evy process $Z$ with a finite intensity process which has the same…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-12-30 Peter Tankov