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We investigate large deviation properties of the maximum likelihood drift parameter estimator for Ornstein--Uhlenbeck process driven by mixed fractional Brownian motion.

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-14 Dmytro Marushkevych

N. Fournier and A. Guillin obtained in their 2015 PTRF paper some bounds of the L^p-mean rate of convergence in Wasserstein distance of empirical distributions for a class of stationary mixing processes. In this paper, we propose to extend…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-08 Gilles Pagès , Fabien Panloup

Gaussian process is a theoretically appealing model for nonparametric analysis, but its computational cumbersomeness hinders its use in large scale and the existing reduced-rank solutions are usually heuristic. In this work, we propose a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-11-25 Leo L. Duan , Xia Wang , Rhonda D. Szczesniak

This paper deals with Poisson processes on an arbitrary measurable space. Using a direct approach, we derive formulae for moments and cumulants of a vector of multiple Wiener-It\^o integrals with respect to the compensated Poisson process.…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-08 Guenter Last , Mathew D. Penrose , Matthias Schulte , Christoph Thaele

We study the strong consistency and asymptotic normality of a least squares estimator of the drift coefficient in complex-valued Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes driven by fractional Brownian motion, extending the results of Chen, Hu, Wang…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-27 Fares Alazemi , Abdulaziz Alsenafi , Yong Chen , Hongjuan Zhou

Gaussian processes (GPs) are commonplace in spatial statistics. Although many non-stationary models have been developed, there is arguably a lack of flexibility compared to equipping each location with its own parameters. However, the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-19 Leo L. Duan , Xia Wang , Rhonda D. Szczesniak

This paper presents some limit theorems for certain functionals of moving averages of semimartingales plus noise which are observed at high frequency. Our method generalizes the pre-averaging approach (see [Bernoulli 15 (2009) 634--658,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-10-05 Jean Jacod , Mark Podolskij , Mathias Vetter

For a semi-martingale $X_t$, which forms a stochastic boundary, a rate-optimal estimator for its quadratic variation $\langle X, X \rangle_t$ is constructed based on observations in the vicinity of $X_t$. The problem is embedded in a…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-11-24 Markus Bibinger , Moritz Jirak , Markus Reiß

The aim of this paper is twofold. Firstly, we derive upper and lower non-Gaussian bounds for the densities of the marginal laws of the solutions to backward stochastic differential equations (BSDEs) driven by fractional Brownian motions.…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-07 Xiliang Fan , Jiang-Lun Wu

We introduce a parameter estimation method that utilizes microscopic data, specifically averages and correlations of selected microscopic observables, to determine the parameters of a stochastic differential equation governing…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-04-21 Carlos Monago , J. A. de la Torre , Pep Español

The linear fractional stable motion generalizes two prominent classes of stochastic processes, namely stable L\'evy processes, and fractional Brownian motion. For this reason it may be regarded as a basic building block for continuous time…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-08-17 Fabian Mies , Mark Podolskij

In this paper, we extend the central limit theorem of the additive functional of the nearest-neighbor zero-range process given in \cite{Quastel2002} to the long-range case. Our main results show that in several cases the limit processes are…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-27 Xue Xiaofeng

We investigate the asymptotic properties of maximum likelihood estimators of the drift parameter for fractional vasicek model driven by a sub-fractional Brownian motion.

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-08 B. L. S. Prakasa Rao

Given a Wiener process with unknown and unobservable drift, we try to estimate this drift as effectively but also as quickly as possible, in the presence of a quadratic penalty for the estimation error and of a fixed, positive cost per unit…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-05-24 Erik Ekström , Ioannis Karatzas , Juozas Vaicenavicius

We consider equidistant approximations of stochastic integrals driven by H\"older continuous Gaussian processes of order $H>\frac12$ with discontinuous integrands involving bounded variation functions. We give exact rate of convergence in…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-15 Ehsan Azmoodeh , Pauliina Ilmonen , Nourhan Shafik , Tommi Sottinen , Lauri Viitasaari

We deal with the problem of optimal estimation of the linear functionals constructed from unobserved values of a continuous time stochastic process with periodically correlated increments based on past observations of this process. To solve…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-25 Maksym Luz , Mikhail Moklyachuk

Consider a Gaussian stationary sequence with unit variance $X=\{X_k;k\in {\mathbb{N}}\cup\{0\}\}$. Assume that the central limit theorem holds for a weighted sum of the form $V_n=n^{-1/2}\sum^{n-1}_{k=0}f(X_k)$, where $f$ designates a…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-30 Yaozhong Hu , David Nualart , Samy Tindel , Fangjun Xu

We consider the problem of parameter estimation in the case of observation of the trajectory of diffusion process. We suppose that the drift coefficient has a singularity of cusp-type and the unknown parameter corresponds to the position of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-06-19 Yury A. Kutoyants

This work establishes a general stochastic maximum principle for partially observed optimal control of semi-linear stochastic partial differential equations in a nonconvex control domain. The state evolves in a Hilbert space driven by a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-22 Yanzhao Cao , Hongjiang Qian , George Yin

We study the asymptotic shape of the trajectory of the stochastic gradient descent algorithm applied to a convex objective function. Under mild regularity assumptions, we prove a functional central limit theorem for the properly rescaled…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-18 Kessang Flamand , Victor-Emmanuel Brunel
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