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An ensemble method is introduced that utilizes randomization and loss function gradients to compute a prediction. Multiple weakly-correlated estimators approximate the gradient at randomly sampled points on the error surface and are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-15 Nicholas Smith

Despite increasing popularity in empirical studies, the integration of machine learning generated variables into regression models for statistical inference suffers from the measurement error problem, which can bias estimation and threaten…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-12-23 Gordon Burtch , Edward McFowland , Mochen Yang , Gediminas Adomavicius

Survival analysis predicts the time until an event of interest, such as failure or death, but faces challenges due to censored data, where some events remain unobserved. Ensemble-based models, like random survival forests and gradient…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-10 Lev V. Utkin , Semen P. Khomets , Vlada A. Efremenko , Andrei V. Konstantinov , Natalya M. Verbova

We study the empirical likelihood approach to construct confidence intervals for the optimal value and the optimality gap of a given solution, henceforth quantify the statistical uncertainty of sample average approximation, for optimization…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-10-25 Henry Lam , Enlu Zhou

Solving the generalized eigenvalue problem is a useful method for finding energy eigenstates of large quantum systems. It uses projection onto a set of basis states which are typically not orthogonal. One needs to invert a matrix whose…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2023-04-05 Caleb Hicks , Dean Lee

The inference procedure for the mean of a stationary time series is usually quite different under various model assumptions because the partial sum process behaves differently depending on whether the time series is short or long-range…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-03-22 Shuyang Bai , Murad S. Taqqu , Ting Zhang

This article provides a central limit theorem for a consistent estimator of population eigenvalues with large multiplicities based on sample covariance matrices. The focus is on limited sample size situations, whereby the number of…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-08-31 Jianfeng Yao , Romain Couillet , Jamal Najim , Merouane Debbah

Understanding the limiting behavior of eigenvalues of random matrices is the central problem of random matrix theory. Classical limit results are known for many models, and there has been significant recent progress in obtaining more…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-05 Elizabeth S. Meckes , Mark W. Meckes

We observe a realization of a stationary generalized weighted Voronoi tessellation of the d-dimensional Euclidean space within a bounded observation window. Given a geometric characteristic of the typical cell, we use the minus-sampling…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-10 Daniela Flimmel , Zbyněk Pawlas , Joseph E. Yukich

Estimating the density of states of systems with rugged free energy landscapes is a notoriously difficult task of the utmost importance in many areas of physics ranging from spin glasses to biopolymers. Density of states estimation has also…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-07-31 Lev Barash , Jeffrey Marshall , Martin Weigel , Itay Hen

Importance sampling is a widely used technique to estimate properties of a distribution. This paper investigates trading-off some bias for variance by adaptively winsorizing the importance sampling estimator. The novel winsorizing…

Computation · Statistics 2021-02-10 Paulo Orenstein

Accurate free-energy estimation is essential in molecular simulation, yet the periodic boundary conditions (PBC) commonly used in computer simulations have rarely been explicitly exploited. Equilibrium methods such as umbrella sampling,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-11-03 Daniel Nagel , Tristan Bereau

Weighted average sampling is more practical and numerically more stable than sampling at single points as in the classical Shannon sampling framework. Using the frame theory, one can completely reconstruct a bandlimited function from its…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2014-07-04 Haizhang Zhang

Some classical uncertainty quantification problems require the estimation of multiple expectations. Estimating all of them accurately is crucial and can have a major impact on the analysis to perform, and standard existing Monte Carlo…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-02 Julien Demange-Chryst , François Bachoc , Jérôme Morio

Ensemble learning combines several individual models to obtain a better generalization performance. In this work we present a practical method for estimating the joint power of several classifiers. It differs from existing approaches which…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-12-22 Simi Haber , Yonatan Wexler

Many ensemble-based models have been proposed to solve machine learning problems in the survival analysis framework, including random survival forests, the gradient boosting machine with weak survival models, ensembles of the Cox models. To…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-11 Lev V. Utkin , Semen P. Khomets , Vlada A. Efremenko , Andrei V. Konstantinov

Despite the frequent use of agent-based models (ABMs) for studying social phenomena, parameter estimation remains a challenge, often relying on costly simulation-based heuristics. This work uses variational inference to estimate the…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-12-04 Jacopo Lenti , Fabrizio Silvestri , Gianmarco De Francisci Morales

We perform an extensive analysis of how sampling impacts the estimate of several relevant network measures. In particular, we focus on how a sampling strategy optimized to recover a particular spectral centrality measure impacts other…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-12-11 Nicolò Ruggeri , Caterina De Bacco

Quantum dynamical simulations of statistical ensembles pose a significant computational challenge due to the fact that mixed states need to be represented. If the underlying dynamics is fully unitary, for example in ultrafast coherent…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2019-11-07 Marec W. Heger , Christiane P. Koch , Daniel M. Reich

Many methods to accelerate sampling of molecular configurations are based on the idea that temperature can be used to accelerate rare transitions. These methods typically compute equilibrium properties at a target temperature using…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2023-11-30 Kangxin Liu , Grant M. Rotskoff , Eric Vanden-Eijnden , Glen M. Hocky
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