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We propose an extension of umbrella sampling in which the pertinent range of states is subdivided in windows that are sampled consecutively and linked together. Extrapolating results from one window we estimate a weight function for the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 P. Virnau , M. Mueller

Umbrella sampling is an efficient method for the calculation of free energy changes of a system along well-defined reaction coordinates. However, when multiple parallel channels along the reaction coordinate or hidden barriers in directions…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-16 Mingjun Yang , Lijiang Yang , Yiqin Gao , Hao Hu

We develop a new sampling method to estimate eigenvector centrality on incomplete networks. Our goal is to estimate this global centrality measure having at disposal a limited amount of data. This is the case in many real-world scenarios…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-10-29 Nicolò Ruggeri , Caterina De Bacco

Multiple sampling strategies commonly used in molecular dynamics, such as umbrella sampling and alchemical free energy methods, involve sampling from multiple thermodynamic states. Commonly, the data are then recombined to construct…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-06-14 Xiang Sherry Li , Brian Van Koten , Aaron R. Dinner , Erik H. Thiede

We consider a generalization of the discrete-time Self Healing Umbrella Sampling method, which is an adaptive importance technique useful to sample multimodal target distributions. The importance function is based on the weights (namely the…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-04 Gersende Fort , Benjamin Jourdain , Tony Lelièvre , Gabriel Stoltz

We present the umbrella sampling (US) technique and show that it can be used to sample extremely low probability areas of the posterior distribution that may be required in statistical analyses of data. In this approach sampling of the…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2018-08-15 Charles Matthews , Jonathan Weare , Andrey Kravtsov , Elise Jennings

The rare-event sampling problem has long been the central limiting factor in molecular dynamics (MD), especially in biomolecular simulation. Recently, diffusion models such as BioEmu have emerged as powerful equilibrium samplers that…

The sampling problem lies at the heart of atomistic simulations and over the years many different enhanced sampling methods have been suggested towards its solution. These methods are often grouped into two broad families. On the one hand…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-11-25 Michele Invernizzi , Pablo Miguel Piaggi , Michele Parrinello

A general method to combine several estimators of the same quantity is investigated. In the spirit of model and forecast averaging, the final estimator is computed as a weighted average of the initial ones, where the weights are constrained…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-05-26 Frédéric Lavancier , Paul Rochet

This paper presents two algorithms for calculating an ensemble of solutions to laminar natural convection problems. The ensemble average is the most likely temperature distribution and its variance gives an estimate of prediction…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-08-03 Joseph A. Fiordilino , Sarah Khankan

The Eigenvector Method for Umbrella Sampling (EMUS) belongs to a popular class of methods in statistical mechanics which adapt the principle of stratified survey sampling to the computation of free energies. We develop a detailed…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-22 Aaron R. Dinner , Erik Thiede , Brian Van Koten , Jonathan Weare

Biased sampling in molecular dynamics simulations overcomes timescale limitations and delivers free-energy landscapes, essential to understand complex atomistic phenomena. However, when applied across diverse systems and processes, biasing…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-01-14 Eline K. Kempkes , Alberto Pérez de Alba Ortíz

We compute probability distributions of trajectory observables for reversible and irreversible growth processes. These results reveal a correspondence between reversible and irreversible processes, at particular points in parameter space,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-03-28 Katherine Klymko , Phillip L. Geissler , Juan P. Garrahan , Stephen Whitelam

The Adaptive Multilevel Splitting algorithm is a very powerful and versatile iterative method to estimate the probability of rare events, based on an interacting particle systems. In an other article, in a so-called idealized setting, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-21 Charles-Edouard Bréhier , Ludovic Goudenège , Loic Tudela

We develop a short-step interior point method to optimize a linear function over a convex body assuming that one only knows a membership oracle for this body. The approach is based on Abernethy and Hazan's sketch of a universal interior…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-11-20 Riley Badenbroek , Etienne de Klerk

The development of enhanced sampling methods has greatly extended the scope of atomistic simulations, allowing long-time phenomena to be studied with accessible computational resources. Many such methods rely on the identification of an…

Computational Physics · Physics 2022-06-08 Luigi Bonati , GiovanniMaria Piccini , Michele Parrinello

We consider the problem of efficient inference of the Average Treatment Effect in a sequential experiment where the policy governing the assignment of subjects to treatment or control can change over time. We first provide a central limit…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-05 Thomas Cook , Alan Mishler , Aaditya Ramdas

The Self-Healing Umbrella Sampling (SHUS) algorithm is an adaptive biasing algorithm which has been proposed to efficiently sample a multimodal probability measure. We show that this method can be seen as a variant of the well-known…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-10-09 G. Fort , B. Jourdain , T. Lelievre , G. Stoltz

We investigate ensemble methods for prediction in an online setting. Unlike all the literature in ensembling, for the first time, we introduce a new approach using a meta learner that effectively combines the base model predictions via…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-01 Arda Fazla , Mustafa Enes Aydin , Orhun Tamyigit , Suleyman Serdar Kozat

Estimating prevalence, the fraction of a population with a certain medical condition, is fundamental to epidemiology. Traditional methods rely on classification of test samples taken at random from a population. Such approaches to…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-25 Paul Patrone , Anthony Kearsley
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