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A finite dimensional abstract approximation and convergence theory is developed for estimation of the distribution of random parameters in infinite dimensional discrete time linear systems with dynamics described by regularly dissipative…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-03-15 Melike Sirlanci , Susan E. Luczak , I. Gary Rosen

Markov chains provide a foundational framework for modeling sequential stochastic processes, with the transition probability matrix characterizing the dynamics of state evolution. While classical estimation methods such as maximum…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-11 Agamani Saha , Souvik Roy

Contemporary time series data often feature objects connected by a social network that naturally induces temporal dependence involving connected neighbours. The network vector autoregressive model is useful for describing the influence of…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-18 Weichi Wu , Chenlei Leng

Data-based inference of directed interactions in complex dynamical systems is a problem common to many disciplines of science. In this work, we study networks of spatially separate dynamical entities, which could represent physical systems…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-03-15 Tim Hempel , Sarah A. M. Loos

We study dynamical reversibility in stationary stochastic processes from an information theoretic perspective. Extending earlier work on the reversibility of Markov chains, we focus on finitary processes with arbitrarily long conditional…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-28 Christopher J. Ellison , John R. Mahoney , Ryan G. James , James P. Crutchfield , Joerg Reichardt

Shape restricted regressions, including isotonic regression and concave regression as special cases, are studied using priors on Bernstein polynomials and Markov chain Monte Carlo methods. These priors have large supports, select only…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 I-Shou Chang , Li-Chu Chien , Chao A. Hsiung , Chi-Chung Wen , Yuh-Jenn Wu

We discuss algorithms for combining sequential prediction strategies, a task which can be viewed as a natural generalisation of the concept of universal coding. We describe a graphical language based on Hidden Markov Models for defining…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2013-11-27 Wouter M. Koolen , Steven de Rooij

Reversibility is a key concept in Markov models and Master-equation models of molecular kinetics. The analysis and interpretation of the transition matrix encoding the kinetic properties of the model relies heavily on the reversibility…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2015-09-23 Benjamin Trendelkamp-Schroer , Hao Wu , Fabian Paul , Frank Noé

The space of images can be equipped with a Riemannian metric measuring both the cost of transport of image intensities and the variation of image intensities along motion lines. The resulting metamorphosis model was introduced and analyzed…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-05-15 Alexander Effland , Martin Rumpf , Florian Schäfer

We consider a hidden Markov model, where the signal process, given by a diffusion, is only indirectly observed through some noisy measurements. The article develops a variational method for approximating the hidden states of the signal…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-10-26 Tobias Sutter , Arnab Ganguly , Heinz Koeppl

We introduce a counting process to model the random occurrence in time of car traffic accidents, taking into account some aspects of the self-excitation typical of this phenomenon. By combining methods from probability and differential…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-05-19 Simone Göttlich , Thomas Schillinger , Andrea Tosin

In this paper we develop randomized Krylov subspace methods for efficiently computing regularized solutions to large-scale linear inverse problems. Building on the recently developed randomized Gram-Schmidt process, where sketched inner…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-08-29 Julianne Chung , Silvia Gazzola

In molecular dynamics (MD) simulations, accessing transition probabilities between states is crucial for understanding kinetic information, such as reaction paths and rates. However, standard MD simulations are hindered by the capacity to…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2025-08-07 Yanbin Wang , Jakub Rydzewski , Ming Chen

In this work we consider time series with a finite number of discrete point changes. We assume that the data in each segment follows a different probability density functions (pdf). We focus on the case where the data in all segments are…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 Ali Mohammad-Djafari , Olivier Feron

Probabilistic ideas and tools have recently begun to permeate into several fields where they had traditionally not played a major role, including fields such as numerical linear algebra and optimization. One of the key ways in which these…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-12-20 Robert M. Gower

We develop novel hierarchical reciprocal graphical models to infer gene networks from heterogeneous data. In the case of data that can be naturally divided into known groups, we propose to connect graphs by introducing a hierarchical prior…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-01-23 Yang Ni , Peter Mueller , Yitan Zhu , Yuan Ji

Piecewise deterministic Markov processes (PDMPs) are a class of stochastic processes with applications in several fields of applied mathematics spanning from mathematical modeling of physical phenomena to computational methods. A PDMP is…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-30 Andrea Bertazzi , Joris Bierkens , Paul Dobson

In this article, we discuss some geometric infinitely divisible (gid) random variables using the Laplace exponents which are Bernstein functions and study their properties. The distributional properties and limiting behavior of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-09-07 Monika Singh Dhull , Arun Kumar

Diffusion generative models unlock new possibilities for inverse problems as they allow for the incorporation of strong empirical priors in scientific inference. Recently, diffusion models are repurposed for solving inverse problems using…

We provide a survey on relational models. Relational models describe complete networked {domains by taking into account global dependencies in the data}. Relational models can lead to more accurate predictions if compared to non-relational…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-09-13 Volker Tresp , Maximilian Nickel