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We consider a general method for the approximation of the distribution of a process conditioned to not hit a given set. Existing methods are based on particle system that are failable, in the sense that, in many situations , they are not…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-30 William Oçafrain , Denis Villemonais

Environmental data science for spatial extremes has traditionally relied heavily on max-stable processes. Even though the popularity of these models has perhaps peaked with statisticians, they are still perceived and considered as the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-01 Raphaël Huser , Thomas Opitz , Jennifer Wadsworth

This article considers the sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) approximation of ratios of normalizing constants associated to posterior distributions which in principle rely on continuum models. Therefore, the Monte Carlo estimation error and the…

Computation · Statistics 2016-03-04 Pierre Del Moral , Ajay Jasra , Kody Law , Yan Zhou

This paper presents some asymptotic results for statistics of Brownian semi-stationary (BSS) processes. More precisely, we consider power variations of BSS processes, which are based on high frequency (possibly higher order) differences of…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-06-04 José Manuel Corcuera , Emil Hedevang , Mikko S. Pakkanen , Mark Podolskij

We prove the Duality Theorems for the stochastic optimal transportation problems with a convex cost function without a regularity assumption that is often supposed in the proof of the lower semicontinuity of an action integral. In our new…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-18 Toshio Mikami

The finite state semi-Markov process is a generalization over the Markov chain in which the sojourn time distribution is any general distribution. In this article we provide a sufficient stochastic maximum principle for the optimal control…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-07-14 Amogh Deshpande

Large sectors of the recent optimization literature focused in the last decade on the development of optimal stochastic first order schemes for constrained convex models under progressively relaxed assumptions. Stochastic proximal point is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-05-05 Andrei Patrascu

Introduced is the notion of minimality for spectral representations of sum- and max-infinitely divisible processes and it is shown that the minimal spectral representation on a Borel space exists and is unique. This fact is used to show…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-18 Zakhar Kabluchko , Stilian Stoev

We aim to analyze the behaviour of a finite-time stochastic system, whose model is not available, in the context of more rare and harmful outcomes. Standard estimators are not effective in making predictions about such outcomes due to their…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-29 Evan Arsenault , Yuheng Wang , Margaret P. Chapman

In this article, we quantify the functional convergence of the rescaled random walk with heavy tails to a stable process.This generalizes the Generalized Central Limit Theorem for stable random variables infinite dimension. We show that…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-02 Lorick Huang , Laurent Decreusefond , Laure Coutin

The problem of optimising functions with intractable gradients frequently arise in machine learning and statistics, ranging from maximum marginal likelihood estimation procedures to fine-tuning of generative models. Stochastic approximation…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-30 James Cuin , Davide Carbone , Yanbo Tang , O. Deniz Akyildiz

We study a variation of vanilla stochastic gradient descent where the optimizer only has access to a Markovian sampling scheme. These schemes encompass applications that range from decentralized optimization with a random walker (token…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-06-26 Mathieu Even

The stable-regenerative multiple-stable model has been shown recently to have distinct candidate extremal index and extremal index. To understand further this rare phenomenon, two more results are established here for the double-stable…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-10 Shuyang Bai , Rafał Kulik , Yizao Wang

A regularly varying time series as introduced in Basrak and Segers (2009) is a (multivariate) time series such that all finite dimensional distributions are multivariate regularly varying. The extremal behavior of such a process can then be…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-29 Anja Janßen

Stochastic solutions provide new rigorous results for nonlinear PDE's and, through its local non-grid nature, are a natural tool for parallel computation. There are two different approaches for the construction of stochastic solutions:…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-02 R. Vilela Mendes

Statistical machine learning often uses probabilistic algorithms, such as Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC), to solve a wide range of problems. Probabilistic computations, often considered too slow on conventional processors, can be…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-03-26 Xiangyu Zhang , Ramin Bashizade , Yicheng Wang , Cheng Lyu , Sayan Mukherjee , Alvin R. Lebeck

Let $X_1, X_2,\ldots$ be random elements of the Skorokhod space $D(\mathbb{R})$ and $\xi_1, \xi_2, \ldots$ positive random variables such that the pairs $(X_1,\xi_1), (X_2,\xi_2),\ldots$ are independent and identically distributed. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-25 Alexander Marynych

It is shown by constructing Rohlins canonical measures that for a strictly stationary, d-dimensional vector-valued process X there exists another strictly stationary d-dimensional process U with uniform one-dimensional marginals and with…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-10 Manfred Denker

The paper is dealing with semi-classical asymptotics of a characteristic function for a stochastic process. The main technical tool is provided by the stationary phase method. The extremal range for a stochastic process is defined by limit…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-01-31 S. Nikitin

Let $X_{i,n},n\in \mathbb{N},1\leq i\leq n$, be a triangular array of independent $\mathbb{R}^d$-valued Gaussian random vectors with correlation matrices $\Sigma_{i,n}$. We give necessary conditions under which the row-wise maxima converge…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-04-08 Sebastian Engelke , Zakhar Kabluchko , Martin Schlather