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Bayesian networks are a widely-used class of probabilistic graphical models capable of representing symmetric conditional independence between variables of interest using the topology of the underlying graph. For categorical variables, they…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-07 Gherardo Varando , Federico Carli , Manuele Leonelli

Graphical models encode conditional independence statements of a multivariate distribution via a graph. Traditionally, the marginal distributions in a graphical model are assumed to be Gaussian. In this paper, we propose a three-level…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-01 Luis E. Nieto-Barajas , Simón Lunagómez

Many real world systems need to operate on heterogeneous information networks that consist of numerous interacting components of different types. Examples include systems that perform data analysis on biological information networks; social…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-07-26 Parisa Kordjamshidi , Sameer Singh , Daniel Khashabi , Christos Christodoulopoulos , Mark Summons , Saurabh Sinha , Dan Roth

Functional data analysis, which models data as realizations of random functions over a continuum, has emerged as a useful tool for time series data. Often, the goal is to infer the dynamic connections (or time-varying conditional…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-10 Chunshan Liu , Daniel R. Kowal , James Doss-Gollin , Marina Vannucci

We describe an algorithm for the sequential sampling of entries in multiway contingency tables with given constraints. The algorithm can be used for computations in exact conditional inference. To justify the algorithm, a theory relates…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Yuguo Chen , Ian H. Dinwoodie , Seth Sullivant

Interconnected complex systems usually undergo disruptions due to internal uncertainties and external negative impacts such as those caused by harsh operating environments or regional natural disaster events. To maintain the operation of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-05 Jiaxin Wu , Pingfeng Wang

The analysis of datasets taking the form of simple, undirected graphs continues to gain in importance across a variety of disciplines. Two choices of null model, the logistic-linear model and the implicit log-linear model, have come into…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-02-13 Patrick O. Perry , Patrick J. Wolfe

Hidden variable graphical models can sometimes imply constraints on the observable distribution that are more complex than simple conditional independence relations. These observable constraints can falsify assumptions of the model that…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-12 Michael C. Sachs , Erin E. Gabriel , Robin J. Evans , Arvid Sjölander

In applications, quantities of interest are often modelled in equilibrium or an equilibrium solution is sought. The presence of confounding makes causal inference in this setting challenging. We provide interpretable graphical models for…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-27 Kai Z. Teh , Kayvan Sadeghi , Terry Soo

In multivariate time series analysis, understanding the underlying causal relationships among variables is often of interest for various applications. Directed acyclic graphs (DAGs) provide a powerful framework for representing causal…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-30 Arkaprava Roy , Anindya Roy , Subhashis Ghosal

Causality is essential for understanding complex systems, such as the economy, the brain, and the climate. Constructing causal graphs often relies on either data-driven or expert-driven approaches, both fraught with challenges. The former…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-06-12 Kai-Hendrik Cohrs , Gherardo Varando , Emiliano Diaz , Vasileios Sitokonstantinou , Gustau Camps-Valls

We introduce Probabilistic Dependency Graphs (PDGs), a new class of directed graphical models. PDGs can capture inconsistent beliefs in a natural way and are more modular than Bayesian Networks (BNs), in that they make it easier to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-12-22 Oliver Richardson , Joseph Y Halpern

Recent improvements in conditional generative modeling have made it possible to generate high-quality images from language descriptions alone. We investigate whether these methods can directly address the problem of sequential…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-11 Anurag Ajay , Yilun Du , Abhi Gupta , Joshua Tenenbaum , Tommi Jaakkola , Pulkit Agrawal

A set of independence statements may define the independence structure of interest in a family of joint probability distributions. This structure is often captured by a graph that consists of nodes representing the random variables and of…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-07-15 Nanny Wermuth

We propose a Bayesian approximate inference method for learning the dependence structure of a Gaussian graphical model. Using pseudo-likelihood, we derive an analytical expression to approximate the marginal likelihood for an arbitrary…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-04-13 Janne Leppä-aho , Johan Pensar , Teemu Roos , Jukka Corander

This paper studies observability for non-uniform hypergraphs with inputs and outputs. To capture higher-order interactions, we define a canonical non-homogeneous dynamical system with nonlinear outputs on hypergraphs. We then construct…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-11-14 Chencheng Zhang , Hao Yang , Shaoxuan Cui , Bin Jiang , Ming Cao

Changepoint models enjoy a wide appeal in a variety of disciplines to model the heterogeneity of ordered data. Graphical influence diagnostics to characterize the influence of single observations on changepoint models are, however, lacking.…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-23 Ines Wilms , Rebecca Killick , David S. Matteson

Tensor Gaussian graphical models (GGMs), interpreting conditional independence structures within tensor data, have important applications in numerous areas. Yet, the available tensor data in one single study is often limited due to high…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-11-18 Mingyang Ren , Yaoming Zhen , Junhui Wang

Factor analysis is a widely used statistical tool in many scientific disciplines, such as psychology, economics, and sociology. As observations linked by networks become increasingly common, incorporating network structures into factor…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-27 Jinming Li , Gongjun Xu , Ji Zhu

The use of graphical models to represent causal hypotheses has enabled revolutionary progress in the study of the foundations of quantum theory. Here we consider directed acyclic graphs each of which contains both nodes representing…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-03-17 Daniel Centeno , Elie Wolfe