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Multivariate probability density functions of returns are constructed in order to model the empirical behavior of returns in a financial time series. They describe the well-established deviations from the Gaussian random walk, such as an…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-10 M. I. Krivoruchenko , E. Alessio , V. Frappietro , L. J. Streckert

We establish new results for estimation and inference in financial durations models, where events are observed over a given time span, such as a trading day, or a week. For the classical autoregressive conditional duration (ACD) models by…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-12-02 Giuseppe Cavaliere , Thomas Mikosch , Anders Rahbek , Frederik Vilandt

This article studies the financial time series data processing for machine learning. It introduces the most frequent scaling methods, then compares the resulting stationarity and preservation of useful information for trend forecasting. It…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-07-09 Fabrice Daniel

Time series clustering is essential in scientific applications, yet methods for functional time series, collections of infinite-dimensional curves treated as random elements in a Hilbert space, remain underdeveloped. This work presents…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-03 Angel Lopez-Oriona , Ying Sun , Han Lin Shang

We investigate the sequence of great earthquakes over the past century. To examine whether the earthquake record includes temporal clustering, we identify aftershocks and remove those from the record. We focus on the recurrence time,…

Geophysics · Physics 2013-07-22 E. Ben-Naim , E. G. Daub , P. A. Johnson

The efficient market hypothesis has far-reaching implications for financial trading and market stability. Whether or not cryptocurrencies are informationally efficient has therefore been the subject of intense recent investigation. Here, we…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-02-06 Higor Y. D. Sigaki , Matjaz Perc , Haroldo V. Ribeiro

There are many cluster analysis methods that can produce quite different clusterings on the same dataset. Cluster validation is about the evaluation of the quality of a clustering; "relative cluster validation" is about using such criteria…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-10 Christian Hennig

The cross-correlation matrix of daily returns of stock market indices in a diverse set of 37 countries worldwide was analyzed. Comparison of the spectrum of this matrix with predictions of random matrix theory provides an empirical evidence…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Sergei Maslov

Starting from a dataset with input/output time series generated by multiple deterministic linear dynamical systems, this paper tackles the problem of automatically clustering these time series. We propose an extension to the so-called…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-03-09 Oliver Lauwers , Bart De Moor

In multiplex networks, cycles cannot be characterized only by their length, as edges may occur in different layers in different combinations. We define a classification of cycles by the number of edges in each layer and the number of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-12-22 Gareth J. Baxter , Davide Cellai , Sergey N. Dorogovtsev , José F. F. Mendes

Averaging amplitudes over consecutive time samples within a time-window is widely used to calculate the amplitude of an event-related potential (ERP) for cognitive neuroscience. Objective determination of the time-window is critical for…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2019-11-22 Reza Mahini , Peng Xu , Guoliang Chen , Yansong Li , Weiyan Ding , Lei Zhang , Nauman Khalid Qureshi , Asoke K. Nandi , Fengyu Cong

Clustering multivariate time series data is a crucial task in many domains, as it enables the identification of meaningful patterns and groups in time-evolving data. Traditional approaches, such as crisp clustering, rely on the assumption…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-05 Ziling Ma , Ángel López-Oriona , Hernando Ombao , Ying Sun

Time series clustering promises to uncover hidden structural patterns in data with applications across healthcare, finance, industrial systems, and other critical domains. However, without validated ground truth information, researchers…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-21 Isabella Degen , Zahraa S Abdallah , Henry W J Reeve , Kate Robson Brown

Most stars do not form in isolation but as part of a cluster comprising anywhere between a few dozen to several million stars with stellar densities ranging from 0.01 to several 10$^5$ \Msun pc$^{-3}$. The majority of these clusters…

Astrophysics of Galaxies · Physics 2015-05-13 S. Pfalzner

In this paper, a novel method to perform model-based clustering of time series is proposed. The procedure relies on two iterative steps: (i) K global forecasting models are fitted via pooling by considering the series pertaining to each…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-02 Ángel López Oriona , Pablo Montero Manso , José Antonio Vilar Fernández

An algorithm for determining stationary periods for time series of random sea waves is proposed in this work. This is a problem in which changes between stationary sea states are usually slow and segmentation procedures based on…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-22 Pedro C. Alvarez-Esteban , C. Euán , J. Ortega

Research into time series classification has tended to focus on the case of series of uniform length. However, it is common for real-world time series data to have unequal lengths. Differing time series lengths may arise from a number of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-11 Chang Wei Tan , Francois Petitjean , Eamonn Keogh , Geoffrey I. Webb

This paper analyzes correlations in patterns of trading of different members of the London Stock Exchange. The collection of strategies associated with a member institution is defined by the sequence of signs of net volume traded by that…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-13 Ilija I. Zovko , J. Doyne Farmer

Roughly speaking, clustering evolving networks aims at detecting structurally dense subgroups in networks that evolve over time. This implies that the subgroups we seek for also evolve, which results in many additional tasks compared to…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2014-01-16 Tanja Hartmann , Andrea Kappes , Dorothea Wagner

Things can go spectacularly wrong when clustering timeseries data that has been preprocessed with a sliding window. We highlight three surprising failures that emerge depending on how the window size compares with the timeseries length. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-19 Boris Alexeev , Wenyan Luo , Dustin G. Mixon , Yan X Zhang