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In this paper, we derive generic bounds on the maximum deviations in prediction errors for sequential prediction via an information-theoretic approach. The fundamental bounds are shown to depend only on the conditional entropy of the data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-12 Song Fang , Quanyan Zhu

We introduce a novel generalization of entropy and conditional entropy from which most definitions from the literature can be derived as particular cases. Within this general framework, we investigate the problem of designing…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-11-27 MHR Khouzani , Pasquale Malacaria

This paper explores the decentralized control of linear deterministic systems in which different controllers operate based on distinct state information, and extends the findings to the output feedback scenario. Assuming the controllers…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-09-09 Hongdan Li , Yawen Sun , Huanshui Zhang

We introduce and solve a general model of dynamic response under external perturbations. This model captures a wide range of systems out of equilibrium including Ising models of physical systems, social opinions, and population genetics.…

Exactly Solvable and Integrable Systems · Physics 2007-11-19 David D. Chinellato , Marcus A. M. de Aguiar , Irving R. Epstein , Dan Braha , Yaneer Bar-Yam

Shot noise processes are used in applied probability to model a variety of physical systems in, for example, teletraffic theory, insurance and risk theory and in the engineering sciences. In this work we prove a large deviation principle…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-18 Amarjit Budhiraja , Pierre Nyquist

Large-deviations theory deals with tails of probability distributions and the rare events of random processes, for example spreading packets of particles. Mathematically, it concerns the exponential fall-of of the density of thin-tailed…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-07-04 Erez Aghion , David A. Kessler , Eli Barkai

We present large deviations estimates in the supremum norm for a system of independent random walks superposed with a birth-and-death dynamics evolving on the discrete torus with $N$ sites. The scaling limit considered is the so-called…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-26 Tertuliano Franco , Luana A. Gurgel , Bernardo N. B. de Lima

Distributed systems, such as biological and artificial neural networks, process information via complex interactions engaging multiple subsystems, resulting in high-order patterns with distinct properties across scales. Investigating how…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-04-23 Aaron J. Gutknecht , Fernando E. Rosas , David A. Ehrlich , Abdullah Makkeh , Pedro A. M. Mediano , Michael Wibral

In this note we discuss a paradigmatic example of interacting particles subject to non conservative external forces and to the action of thermostats consisting of external (finite) reservoirs of particles. We then consider a model of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 F. Bonetto , G. Gallavotti , A. Giuliani , F. Zamponi

The event of large losses plays an important role in credit risk. As these large losses are typically rare, and portfolios usually consist of a large number of positions, large deviation theory is the natural tool to analyze the tail…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-03 Vincent Leijdekker , Michel Mandjes , Peter Spreij

In this thesis we aim to analyze and quantify the energetic and information contents that can be extracted from a dynamical system subject to the external environment. The latter is usually assumed to be deleterious for the feasibility of…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2018-05-07 Stefano Gherardini

We derive a thermodynamic uncertainty relation (TUR) under quantum continuous measurement and feedback control. By incorporating the quantum-classical-transfer entropy, which quantifies the information gained by continuous measurement, we…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-03-20 Kaito Tojo , Takahiro Sagawa , Ken Funo

Large random matrices appear in different fields of mathematics and physics such as combinatorics, probability theory, statistics, operator theory, number theory, quantum field theory, string theory etc... In the last ten years, they…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Alice Guionnet

This paper introduces a novel approach to the optimal control of linear discrete-time systems subject to bounded disturbances. Our approach is based on the newly established duality between ellipsoidal approximations of reachable and hardly…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-20 Egor Dogadin , Alexey Peregudin , Dmitriy Shirokih

We complete the first step towards the resolution of several decades-old challenges in disturbance-robust adaptive control. For a scalar linear system with an unknown parameter for which no a priori bound is given, with a disturbance that…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-04-07 Iasson Karafyllis , Miroslav Krstic , Alexandros Aslanidis

In this short note, we propose a new and short approach to polynomial escape rates, which can be applied to various open systems with intermittency. The tool of our approach is the maximal large deviations developed in \cite{mldp}.

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-03-04 Yaofeng Su

We study temporally persistent and spatially extended extreme events of temperature anomalies, i.e. heat waves and cold spells, using large deviation theory. To this end, we consider a simplified yet Earth-like general circulation model of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-05-22 Vera Melinda Galfi , Valerio Lucarini , Jeroen Wouters

We discuss a method to solve models with long-range interactions in the microcanonical and canonical ensemble. The method closely follows the one introduced by Ellis, Physica D 133, 106 (1999), which uses large deviation techniques. We show…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Julien Barre' , Freddy Bouchet , Thierry Dauxois , Stefano Ruffo

We review with a tutorial scope the information theory foundations of quantum statistical physics. Only a small proportion of the variables that characterize a system at the microscopic scale can be controlled, for both practical and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 R. Balian

The foremost aim of this study is to investigate the influence of time-delayed feedback on extreme events in a non-polynomial system with velocity dependent potential. To begin, we investigate the effect of this feedback on extreme events…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-07-20 S. Sudharsan , A. Venkatesan , P. Muruganandam , M. Senthilvelan