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We develop and implement a novel fast bootstrap for dependent data. Our scheme is based on the i.i.d. resampling of the smoothed moment indicators. We characterize the class of parametric and semi-parametric estimation problems for which…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-19 Davide La Vecchia , Alban Moor , Olivier Scaillet

The bootstrap is a widely used procedure for statistical inference because of its simplicity and attractive statistical properties. However, the vanilla version of bootstrap is no longer feasible computationally for many modern massive…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-16 Yingying Ma , Chenlei Leng , Hansheng Wang

Bootstrap methods are widely used for distribution estimation, although in some problems they are applicable only with difficulty. A case in point is that of estimating the distributions of eigenvalue estimators, or of functions of those…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-06-12 Peter Hall , Young K. Lee , Byeong U. Park , Debashis Paul

The maximum-likelihood estimator of nonlinear panel data models with fixed effects is consistent but asymptotically-biased under rectangular-array asymptotics. The literature has thus far concentrated its effort on devising methods to…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-01-28 Ayden Higgins , Koen Jochmans

We consider the problem of quantifying uncertainty for the estimation error of the leading eigenvector from Oja's algorithm for streaming principal component analysis, where the data are generated IID from some unknown distribution. By…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-23 Robert Lunde , Purnamrita Sarkar , Rachel Ward

In unit root testing, a piecewise locally stationary process is adopted to accommodate nonstationary errors that can have both smooth and abrupt changes in second- or higher-order properties. Under this framework, the limiting null…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-02-16 Yeonwoo Rho , Xiaofeng Shao

For modeling the serial dependence in time series of counts, various approaches have been proposed in the literature. In particular, models based on a recursive, autoregressive-type structure such as the well-known integer-valued…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-16 Maxime Faymonville , Carsten Jentsch

The multivariate linear regression model is an important tool for investigating relationships between several response variables and several predictor variables. The primary interest is in inference about the unknown regression coefficient…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-09-13 Daniel J. Eck

Model averaging techniques based on resampling methods (such as bootstrapping or subsampling) have been utilized across many areas of statistics, often with the explicit goal of promoting stability in the resulting output. We provide a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-28 Jake A. Soloff , Rina Foygel Barber , Rebecca Willett

Given a sequence of observations from a discrete-time, finite-state hidden Markov model, we would like to estimate the sampling distribution of a statistic. The bootstrap method is employed to approximate the confidence regions of a…

Computation · Statistics 2009-09-29 Cheng-Der Fuh , Inchi Hu

AI/ML methods are increasingly used in economics to generate binary variables (or labels) via classification algorithms. When these generated variables are included as covariates in regressions, even small misclassification errors can…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-28 Timothy Christensen , Silvia Goncalves , Benoit Perron

Monitoring machine learning models once they are deployed is challenging. It is even more challenging to decide when to retrain models in real-case scenarios when labeled data is beyond reach, and monitoring performance metrics becomes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-23 Carlos Mougan , Dan Saattrup Nielsen

When randomized ensemble methods such as bagging and random forests are implemented, a basic question arises: Is the ensemble large enough? In particular, the practitioner desires a rigorous guarantee that a given ensemble will perform…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-08-06 Miles E. Lopes , Suofei Wu , Thomas C. M. Lee

We propose a simple modification to the wild bootstrap procedure and establish its asymptotic validity for linear regression models with many covariates and heteroskedastic errors. Monte Carlo simulations show that the modified wild…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-06-27 Wenze Li

The asymptotic validity of a resampling method for two sequential processes constructed from non-degenerate $U$-statistics is established under mixing conditions. The resampling schemes, referred to as {\em dependent multiplier bootstraps},…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-05-29 Axel Bücher , Ivan Kojadinovic

Variational inference is a general approach for approximating complex density functions, such as those arising in latent variable models, popular in machine learning. It has been applied to approximate the maximum likelihood estimator and…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-04-19 Yen-Chi Chen , Y. Samuel Wang , Elena A. Erosheva

The existing theory of penalized quantile regression for longitudinal data has focused primarily on point estimation. In this work, we investigate statistical inference. We propose a wild residual bootstrap procedure and show that it is…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-05-10 Carlos Lamarche , Thomas Parker

In reinforcement learning, it is typical to use the empirically observed transitions and rewards to estimate the value of a policy via either model-based or Q-fitting approaches. Although straightforward, these techniques in general yield…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-28 Ilya Kostrikov , Ofir Nachum

One of the most commonly used methods for forming confidence intervals for statistical inference is the empirical bootstrap, which is especially expedient when the limiting distribution of the estimator is unknown. However, despite its…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-24 Morgane Austern , Vasilis Syrgkanis

This paper provides conditions under which subsampling and the bootstrap can be used to construct estimators of the quantiles of the distribution of a root that behave well uniformly over a large class of distributions $\mathbf{P}$. These…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-19 Joseph P. Romano , Azeem M. Shaikh